A Calm Analysis Of The Panic Of 2008 thumbnail

A Calm Analysis Of The Panic Of 2008

By Alex J. Pollock

Estimated Reading Time: 9 minutes

It makes sense that the 2008 bailouts inspired a lot of emotion, rhetoric, and hyperbole. Hundreds of billions of dollars had just been lost, the government was rescuing arguably undeserving institutions and their creditors, and the financial system seemed to be wavering on the edge of an abyss. Sixteen years after the panic, though, Todd Sheets manages to stay calm, analytical, and generally convincing in his new book discussing the Great Housing Bubble, its causes, its acceleration, its collapse, and the costly aftermath. 2008: What Really Happened dispassionately reviews the actions of key parts of the US government that were central to creating each stage of the bubble and bust over a decade.

In the early 2000s, Sheets tells us, he “had a growing concern that the Fed’s cheap-money policies were destined to end badly.” Then came the first financial crisis of the then-new twenty-first century. This disaster, we should remember, arrived shortly after we were assured by leading central bankers that we had landed safely in a new age of “The Great Moderation.” In fact, we landed in a great overleveraged price collapse.

In economics, the future is unknowable; we are usually confused by the present, and we can easily misinterpret the past. Sheets believes that “historical review reveals … a lengthy delay from an economic crisis to an understanding of what really happened.” He tells us that the book is a result of deciding, while reflecting on the crisis, that “I was confused about big-picture economic matters I had long taken for granted and realized it was time for a new self-study program … focused on financial history.”

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Five Phases of the Bubble

Sheets’ study has resulted in an instructive historical framework for understanding the development from growing boom to colossal bust. He proposes five principal stages:

1. The pre-Bubble era, pre-1998: This era is now 26 years, or a whole generation, away from today. Sheets emphasizes the long historical period when average house price increases approximately tracked general inflation. “In the century preceding the housing bubble, house prices more or less tracked inflation,” he writes, “increases in real house prices were negligible.” He believes this is historical normalcy. One might argue that the average real increase in US house prices had been more like 1 percent per year (as I did at the time in graphing the Bubble’s departure from the trend), but that does not alter the fundamental shift involved.

2. Liftoff, 1998–2001: “Beginning in 1998, housing prices suddenly departed from these long-term historical trends,” Sheets notes. In other words, the Bubble starts inflating ten years before the final panic. “Real home prices suddenly begin to increase at an average annual rate of 4.7% during Liftoff.” Why did they? We will discuss below Sheets’ proposals for the principal cause of each phase.

3. Acceleration, 2002–2005: In this phase, “the rate of real home price appreciation began to accelerate even more rapidly”—it “shot up again, to an average annual rate of 8.3%, reaching a peak of 10.4% in 2005.” Remember that Sheets is always dealing always in real price increases—those on top of the general rate of inflation. At this point, it seemed to many people that buying houses with the maximum amount of mortgage debt was a sure-fire winning bet. From 1998 to 2006, Sheets calculates that in real terms, house prices “appreciated over 10 X the level of cumulative appreciation in the 100 years before the bubble.”

4. Deceleration, 2006: “The rate of increase in real house prices slowed dramatically” in the transition year of the inflation turning into deflation of the bubble.

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5. Crash, 2007-2012: Home mortgage debt had by now become much more important to the US economy than before, surging strikingly, as Sheet’s table of mortgage debt as a percent of GDP shows:

A lot of people had made a lot of money on the way up, but any potential mortgage debt losses now had a much bigger potential negative impact than before. How much bigger? We were about to discover. Then, “beginning in 2007, real house prices declined … eventually falling about one-third.” Indeed, house prices fell for six years, until 2012. Between 1998 and 2012 we thus approximated the biblical seven fat years followed by seven lean years. There were vast losses to go around, defaults, failures, continuing bad surprises, and a constant cry for government bailouts, as inevitably happens in financial crises.

Sheets helpfully divides Phase 5, the Crash, into four component stages. For many of us, he reenergizes memories that may have been fading by now, and for those younger without the memories, provides a concise primer. Thus:

5(a) Awareness, June 2007-October 2007: “Hedge funds managed by Bear Stearns and BNP Paribas that were heavily concentrated in US home mortgages announced significant write-downs.” Oh-oh, but there was still much uncertainty about the implications for wider problems. “The markets still had no idea of just how precipitously housing prices would fall.” The Federal Reserve embarrassingly and mistakenly opined that the problems were “contained.” The stock market rose until October 2007. Showing some earlier awareness of looming problems, in March 2007 the American Enterprise Institute had a conference on “Implications of a Deflating Bubble,” which I chaired. We were pessimistic, but not pessimistic enough.

5(b) Stress, November 2007-August 2008: “A steady procession of substantial mortgage-related write-downs and losses were announced by a wide swath of financial institutions.” Two of my own favorite quotations from this time epitomize the growing chaos. “Hank,” the chairman of Goldman Sachs told the Secretary of the Treasury, Henry Paulson, “it is worse than any of us imagined.” And as Paulson himself summed it up: “We had no choice but to fly by the seat of our pants, making it up as we went along.”

In July 2008, “the Fed invoked special emergency provisions that enabled it to supply bailout financing” to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the dominant mortgage companies. Fannie and Freddie are called “GSEs,” or government-sponsored enterprises. Their creditors believed, even though the government denied it, that “government-sponsored” really meant “government-guaranteed.” The creditors were correct. In the same July, “President Bush signed a bipartisan measure to provide additional funds” to Fannie and Freddie. These two former titans of the mortgage market, the global bond market, and US politics were tottering. But Sheets stresses a key idea: “Markets found additional reassurance in the idea that federal authorities would continue to intervene,” as they did when Fannie and Freddie went broke but were supported by the US Treasury in early September. In a financial crisis, the universal cry becomes “Give me a government guarantee!”

5(c) Panic, September 2008-February 2009: The Treasury and the Fed provided government guarantees and bailed out the creditors of Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac. But on September 15, 2008, “the authorities unexpectedly allowed Lehman Brothers to fail.” Whereupon “the money markets lurched into a state of panic,” their confidence in bailouts punctured. As Sheets relates, this was followed by a series of additional, giant government guarantees and bailouts to try to stem the panic.

5(d) Recovery, March 2009-forward: “What the [panicked] short-term financing markets were looking for,” Sheets concludes, “was unconditional assurance that none of the remaining critical institutions—Citigroup, Merrill Lynch, or Bank of America—would become the next ‘Lehman surprise.’ The final bailout package for these critical institutions was announced in mid-January of 2009.” In 2009 bank funding markets stabilized and the stock market recovered. That is where Sheets’ history concludes, but we should remember that house prices did not finally stop falling until 2012, and the Fed’s abnormally low interest rates resulting from the Crash continued for another decade—through the financial crisis of 2020 and until 2022. But that is another story.

Problems spread to leading, household-name financial institutions. The bust had arrived, just as it had so many times before in financial history, and it kept getting worse.

What were the fundamental causes of the ten-year drama of the housing bubble and its end in disaster? “A plausible theory of causation must explain the sudden onset and the distinct phases of the bubble,” Sheets sensibly argues, thus that different phases had different main causes. As he identifies the principal cause of each phase, it turns out that the US government, in various manifestations, is the prime culprit.

“The Liftoff phase of the bubble in 1998 was triggered by the rapid expansion undertaken by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac,” Sheets concludes. The timing fits: “The sudden acceleration of GSE growth coincided with the onset of the housing bubble.” And the magnitudes: “88% of the excess growth in mortgages outstanding relative to the Base Period originated from the GSEs.”

Fannie and Freddie could have so much impact because they were the dominant competitors, had key advantages granted by the Congress, had deep political influence and allies—but most importantly—operated with a government guarantee. This was only “perceived” and “implied” it was said, but it was nonetheless entirely real. That enabled their debt obligations to be sold readily around the world, as they set out to and did expand rapidly, notably in riskier types of mortgages, seeking political favor as well as more business.

Fannie and Freddie’s rapid expansion was linked to the push of the Clinton Administration to expand homeownership through “innovative” (i.e. risky) mortgages. This was a perfect combination of factors to launch a housing bubble. Sheets correctly observes that Fannie and Freddie’s role was “aided and abetted by federal housing policy.”

He sympathetically discusses Franklin Raines, Fannie’s CEO from 1999–2004, whose “move back to Fannie Mae coincided almost exactly with the onset of the housing bubble.” This section should also have considered James Johnson, CEO from 1991–1998, the real architect of Fannie’s risky, politicized expansion. Both of them combined politics at the highest level in the Democratic Party with housing finance, a combination which produced, as Sheets says, “just the opposite of what was intended.”

Sheets’ conclusions are consistent with those of Peter Wallison’s exhaustive study, Hidden in Plain Sight, which states, “There is compelling evidence that the financial crisis was the result of the government’s own housing policies.” So that no one misses the point, Sheets reiterates, “We can safely conclude that the Liftoff phase of the housing bubble was caused by the GSEs, with the support of the federal government.”

In the acceleration phase, Sheets writes that “the Federal Reserve became the driving force behind the further escalation of real housing price appreciation” by suppressing interest rates to extremely low levels, including negative real interest rates. This made mortgage borrowing seem much cheaper, especially as borrowers shifted to adjustable-rate mortgages.

“The Fed dramatically lowered short-term interest rates in order to deal with the collapse of the Internet stock bubble in 2000 and then held rates at historically low levels. … The Fed pushed the real fed funds rate down to an average of minus 0.6% during the Acceleration phase.” And “Where did the stimulus go? Into housing.”

Sheets notes that after the Internet stock bubble burst in 2000, the Fed lowered short-term interest rates and held them at historic lows. That stimulus, he says, went into housing. I call this the “Greenspan Gamble,” after the famous Fed chairman of the time, who was then admired as “the Maestro” for his timely monetary expansions. As Sheets says, the Fed ended up with the housing bubble instead—which cost Greenspan his “Maestro” title.

After the Fed started increasing rates again in 2005–2006, the housing bubble decelerated, and then collapsed in 2007. House prices started to go down instead of up, the start of the six-year fall. Subprime mortgage defaults went up. Specialized subprime mortgage lenders went broke. The problems spread to leading, household-name financial institutions. In the fourth quarter of 2007, “Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wachovia announced steep profit declines due to mortgage write-downs, … Merrill Lynch announced the largest quarterly loss in the firm’s history, … Citigroup revealed [huge] pending write-downs … [and there was] the steady drumbeat of massive mortgage write-downs, historic losses, and jettisoned CEOs”—all this showed the bust had arrived, just as it had so many times before in financial history, and it kept getting worse.

When Fannie and Freddie went down in September 2008, it provided an affirmative answer to the prescient question posed by Thomas Stanton way back in his 1991 book, A State of Risk: “Will government-sponsored enterprises be the next financial crisis?” That took the crash to the brink of its panic stage. As discussed above, the panic began when the funding market’s expectation that Lehman Brothers would be bailed out by the government was surprisingly disappointed. Peak fear with peak bailouts followed.

Sheets believes this no-bailout decision for Lehman was a colossal mistake, describing the date of Lehman’s bankruptcy as “a day that will forever live in financial infamy.” He provides a summary of internal government debates leading up to the failure, considers the argument that the Treasury and the Fed had no authority to provide a bailout, and finds it unconvincing: “I believe that they could have chosen to bail out Lehman if given sufficient political backing, and that such a step would have averted the Panic stage of the crisis.”

Wallison relates that the decision seems to have originated as a negotiating position of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulsen, who explained that he thought “we should emphasize publicly that there could be no government money … this was the only way to get the best price.” Paulsen also “declared that he didn’t want to be known as ‘Mr. Bailout.’” Wallison is a former general counsel of the Treasury Department and thinks, like Sheets, that authority to rescue Lehman was available: “Paulsen and [Fed chairman] Bernanke … telling the media and Congress that the government didn’t have the legal authority to rescue Lehman … was false.”

What would have followed if there had been a bailout of Lehman, since the deflation of the housing bubble would still have continued? That is a great counterfactual issue for speculation.

2008: What Really Happened ends a good read with two radical thoughts about politically privileged institutions:

Given the understanding of the bubble set forth here, the keys to preventing a similar crisis in the future are relatively straightforward: Eliminate the role of the GSEs in the national housing markets. Eliminate or dramatically curtail the ability of the Federal Reserve to inflate asset bubbles.

Great proposals, with which I fully agree. But Sheets, like the rest of us, does not expect them ever to happen, so he does expect, and so do I, that we will get more bubbles and busts.

*****

This article was published by Law & Liberty and is reproduced with permission.

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Stinking Rich Pierces Myth of the Generous Billionaire thumbnail

Stinking Rich Pierces Myth of the Generous Billionaire

By Michael E. Hartmann

Estimated Reading Time: 7 minutes

Carl Rhodes’ forthcoming book offers biting critiques of the ultra-wealthy and those stories they tell, to themselves and others, about how they became and stay that way.

Carl Rhodes’ forthcoming Stinking Rich: The Four Myths of the Good Billionaire is among the better of several recent aggressive, populist, progressive critiques of, well, billionairehood, in and of itself. More particularly, it argues well against those who anti-democratically exercise the power that can come with, if not outright be purchased by, being a billionaire.

Much has been said about the inequities in wealth and power that the growing horde of billionaires represent,” acknowledges Rhodes, dean of the UTS Business School at the University of Technology Sydney, in Stinking Rich. “This book joins and complements those discussions by seeking to understand how these inequalities are maintained through a cultural moralization of the ultra-rich.”

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In that complementarity, Stinking Rich generally sets out to pierce “four myths of the good billionaire.” Billionaires have carefully constructed and continually cultivate these myths, repeating them to themselves, the people, and their elected policymakers. Too many willingly “buy” these myths, to ill effect, believes Rhodes—who previously authored 2021’s Woke Capitalism: How Corporate Morality is Sabotaging Democracy.

Specifically, the myths are of: the heroic billionaire, the generous billionaire, the meritorious billionaire, and the vigilante billionaire. The book’s covered billionaires are many, and they are from around the world. Those Americans among them include familiar ones like (merely alphabetically): Mark Benioff, Jeff Bezos, Michael Bloomberg, Warren Buffett, Yvon Chouinard, Michael Dell, John Doerr, Larry Fink, Bill Gates, Kylie Jenner, Phil Knight, the Kochs, Elon Musk, and Mark Zuckerberg, as well as “Davos Man” as a category. It is not complimentary.

Conversely and Perversely

The supposedly heroic billionaire, according to Rhodes, basically has expropriated the original, proper understanding of the American dream. “That billionaires are the poster children of the new American dream is less about the real possibilities for the advancement of ordinary citizens, instead ironically serving as justification of obscene inequality by heroizing the rich,” Rhodes writes, typically bitingly. “To believe the contemporary version of the American dream, where anybody can be rich if they just apply themselves, implies that those who are not rich deserve not to be. This dream reflects a merciless moral system.

“Following this cultural logic,” he continues, “being poor does not come about from structural inequalities, minority discrimination, class position, educational opportunities or family wealth, it is simply because the poor are losers.” Conversely, “billionaires are deserving of their wealth because they made it in the world while others did not. They are heroes.

“The original American dream may have reflected a democratic aspiration for a fairer society,” Rhodes rightly recognizes, “but perversely the new billionaire version of the American dream is a scam designed to provide a cloak of moral legitimacy over a political and economic system rigged for vast inequality.”

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The meritorious-billionaire myth “reveals the reality of systematically generated inequality, the beneficiaries of which are unwilling to recognize or admit to its own privilege,” according to Rhodes. “The poorly kept secret is that the distribution of wealth across society is a rigged game. Central to the rigging is getting people not in the elite group to believe that the same principles of merit and reward apply to rich and poor alike.

“Accepting meritocracy,” he writes,

as the moral bedrock of democratic and capitalist societies provides billionaires with a perfect escape route from accusations that they are undeserving of their wealth. By claiming to have achieved their obscene wealth meritoriously as self-made men, billionaires specifically exploit the idea of meritocracy to provide a moral justification for their excess.

Overlaps and Pivots

Comparing and contrasting the two myths of the heroic and meritorious billionaire, as Rhodes puts them forward, shows considerable conceptual overlap between them. Perhaps understandably, this actually exists among all four of his presented myths. They are related.

The vigilante-billionaire myth is sometimes difficult to comprehend, which Rhodes seems to realize—at times seeming almost apologetic for having to (re-) define, describe, explain, and interpret it. The vigilante billionaire is a plutocrat that sees himself as above and beyond the law, I take it, which is fine to him because of the moral ends he pursues and is more qualified to achieve than legally bound lessers—us.

I’m not quite sure I fully get this one, honestly. Is this even really a myth per se? As articulated, it seems reliant on a higher level of philosophical abstraction, which does at least usefully for allowing for pivots to other, narrower critiques—maybe its purpose?—including a good extended one of “Davos Man,” complementary if not duplicative of others’.

Ownership and Associates

Introducing Stinking Rich’s myth of the generous billionaire, Rhodes accurately writes, “From the advent of 1980s globalization through to the wake of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009, a new form of big philanthropy has developed as the world’s richest people hand over more and more of their fortunes to support charitable foundations, public causes and political activity.”

The industrialization of the Gilded Age that brought about what we might think of as the first mega-philanthropists has been succeeded by the globalized neoliberalism of our age that brought about even bigger givers, and larger inequality, Rhodes laments. His generous-billionaire chapter’s two principal examples of our latter time’s larger givers are Chouinard and Australia’s Gina Rinehart.

Chouinard, who founded the overwhelmingly successful recreational-clothing and -equipment company Patagonia, publicly announced in 2022 that he and his family were giving the company away to two entities. The first, the Patagonia Purpose Trust, received the family’s voting shares in Patagonia. It has effective control over the company and ensures that Chouinard’s values as a progressive businessman continue into the future. The second entity, The Holdfast Collective, is a tax-exempt, §501(c)(4) organization devoted to stopping climate change. Both the trust and the (c)(4), which can engage in political activity, have Chouinard’s family and close associates on their boards.

At the time, a Giving Review article by senior fellow Craig Kennedy wondered, “Where’s the outrage about Yvon Chouinard?” Well, admirably, Rhodes isn’t afraid to express some. “It would appear that while Chouinard was giving away the ownership of the company, he was not giving away any control,” according to Stinking Rich. “If anything, these changes would immortalize his life’s work by preserving the values and purpose he has long espoused and by providing a legal vehicle for political activity. In practical terms, it is unclear what exactly he was giving away” with the gift, if that’s what it was—which also “promised to be pretty good for business, too,” Rhodes passingly notes, “with Patagonia’s competitive advantage wrapped up in its climate activism.”

Part and Parcel: Politics and the People

As well, the “transaction” exemplifies “the relationship between billionaire power and political power that is key to understanding the myth of the generous billionaire,” Rhodes further notes. “Part and parcel of the changes that are afoot is that billionaire business owners are taking over as society’s moral agents and political actors, using their apparent generosity to address what they see as society’s greatest problems.” In the contemporary setup, “people’s lives and futures are increasingly dependent on the power and generosity of the self-elected rich elite rather than being ruled by the common will of the people.”

Rinehart is executive chairman of the also-overwhelmingly successful Australia-based mining and agriculture business Hancock Prospecting. Her philanthropy has included millions of dollars’ worth of support to the Australian women’s netball team. When a team member refused to wear Hancock’s logo her uniform because of many negative remarks Rinehart’s father made about indigenous Australians, including suggesting that eugenic measures be taken against them, high-profile controversy ensued.

Giving Review co-editor William Schambra has labeled eugenics the “original sin” of America’s progressive, “root-cause” big philanthropy, which was slow to apologize for its role. In Australia, amidst the controversy, Rinehart downright withdrew its major sponsorship of the netball team. To the further and strong chagrin of many in Australia, including Rhodes, Rinehart also met and publicly appeared with Donald Trump, including as he announced his 2024 candidacy for president at Mar-a-Lago.

“The cases of Chouinard and Rinehart are strikingly different examples of the myth of the generous billionaire,” Rhodes realizes. “The two cases do, however, share one key feature. For both, putative generosity is coupled with a desire for control.”

Power and Control, and Their Preservation

“When considering the apparent generosity of the ultra-wealthy in funding charitable foundations and causes of their choosing, it is naïve to assume that this is simply a matter of selfless do-gooding altruism,” according to Rhodes. “The question is, what do billionaire philanthropists expect in return for their economic largesse?”

In return for the transactional “exchange” of a gift, in Rhodes’ thinking, they expect political and social power and control over it. That’s what they’re “buying.” Essentially, they’re buying they’re way out of democracy—out of the healthy to’ing and fro’ing to which democratic processes would otherwise inconveniently subject the spending.

“Undermining the myth of the generous billionaire surfaces how billionaire giving is a ruse to secure the wealth, power and privilege of the billionaire class,” he writes. “Philanthropy is not designed to change the system but to preserve it,” he later adds. “Elite philanthropy is not something to be lauded, and the idea that it is the best way to solve the world’s problems is a myth that is both false and dangerous.”

Rhodes is on a roll here, though not a new one, for either the book or progressivism. “When billionaires make sizable gifts to charity, they are not channeling their money through a socially controlled process” of general taxation to fund projects for the common good and benefit society, “but rather through one that is largely privately controlled by them. The billionaires decide how much is spent and they decide what it’s spent on. The added sweetener is that, in most countries, charitable donations are tax deductible, serving to further impoverish the public purse.”

Increments, Allies, and Attitudes

In Rhodes’ Stinking Rich, it seems, pretty much almost everything billionaires do causes economic inequality and comes at the expense of democracy. He certainly doesn’t seem too worried about overstating it, actually—often with a little enjoyable academic bombast—but it’s an impressive case.

It could be both more nuanced and broader, one supposes. There aren’t many specific incremental policy solutions that are advanced, ones behind which a coalition could perhaps be built—thinking here of addressing the abused tax-incentivization of billionaire’s only arguably “charitable” giving. Since the book is borne of such laudable passion, maybe contemplation of those proposals and seeking that set of unorthodox allies is for others.

More largely, though—while Rhodes writes that “[t]he issue is broader than the spectrum of political differences drawn between right and left,” and maybe because of that belief—there isn’t much specific appeal to non-progressive populists. I think they would likely be receptive to his arguments against the myths of the good billionaire. That kind of directed appeal, too, may be for others.

In the democracies that Stinking Rich shows are being rigged, these citizens have a voice, too, however rarely exercised. In fact, recent electoral results in America and elsewhere arguably evidence wide agreement with his same healthy attitudes about those doing the rigging—including the mega-wealthy, moralized by myths, through their massive giving—and the deeper problems of which they are merely a symptom.

*****

This article was published by Capital Research and is reproduced with permission.

Your Support is Critical

The Prickly Pear is focused on delivering timely, fact-based news, and citizen opinion that reflects our mission to “inform, educate and advocate about the principles of limited government and personal liberty.”

To achieve that mission, Prickly Pear often engages with like-minded contributors and organizations who share our values. We encourage to support these partners in any way you can, as these partners make our efforts possible.

Direct support of the Prickly Pear can be made at the link below. Every dollar is greatly appreciated!

An Uneasy Prosperity: Kindleberger Meets Buffet thumbnail

An Uneasy Prosperity: Kindleberger Meets Buffet

By Neland Nobel

Estimated Reading Time: 9 minutes

Many commentators suggest the economy and the stock market are both exceptionally healthy and that Donald Trump is quite fortunate to have inherited economic conditions that are so favorable.  A good example of this view from Marketplace.org :

“President-elect Donald Trump is poised to inherit a remarkably healthy economy when he takes office in January. By almost all measures, the U.S. economy is doing exceptionally well. Gross domestic product was up an annual 2.8% last quarter, inflation is just about down to the Federal Reserve’s target rate of 2% and unemployment is low by historic standards. So what does that mean for the incoming president and his administration?”

Is it “remarkably healthy” to have much of the economic recovery financed by deficit spending on a wartime scale, the highest inflation in two generations, government employment leading job creation, most of the jobs going to illegal aliens, and the highest bankruptcy rate in 15 years?  Well, maybe not.

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President Biden recently also praised himself and touted the economy of Bidenomics, taking credit for the natural rebound that occurred after the world economy was virtually shut down because of the idiotic reaction to the man-made COVID pandemic.

Meanwhile, the jobs picture remains very murky, with some numbers showing jobs going up and some down, but the unemployment rate is up, and the number of new job openings is collapsing. Despite the administration’s boasting, real wages have actually fallen 1.3% under Biden.

Our concern is that this popular narrative suggests everything was great under Bidenomics and that if the economy and markets should falter, it will be Trump’s fault.  In this way, Democrats are set up to “Hooverize” the Republicans if there is a downturn like they demonized them in the 1930s and subsequently gained 20 years of political control.

It seems lost on these folks that the chief reason people voted for Trump was precisely because the majority of Americans did not regard the economy as healthy. How can we explain this disconnect?

In addition, we repeat a warning we have uttered before. The connection between the economy and financial markets is loose, but it seems uncanny that they reconnect once again at the peak of major cycles.

To help us understand this predicament, we will turn to Professor Charles Kindleberger, who taught Economics at MIT for 33 years and wrote Manias, Panics, and Crashes in 1978.  

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It is considered a classic by many economic historians.  To this, we will add our own experience as a financial advisor. We lived through the Crash of 1973-74 (50% drop), the Japanese boom and bust of 1988-90 (peaked in 1988 and only recovered in nominal, not inflation-adjusted terms this year), Black Monday, October of 1987 (35% drop in stocks in two days), the Dot-Com bust of 1999-2000 (50% drop),  the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-2009 (57% drop).

According to Kindleberger, each boom and bust cycle, while different in particular, has common elements.  Among them are:

Displacement is a significant economic change, innovation, or regulation that captures the public’s fancy and presents colossal profit opportunities. A good example is the Dot-com bubble of 1999-2000 and the promise of the Internet. Notice that the Internet was real and went on to change the world fundamentally. It was not a fantasy. That did not stop markets from having a cycle.

Credit expansion: Easy access to cheap, low-interest-rate money fuels speculation in asset classes. This encourages the use of financial leverage by corporations and within investment vehicles, which in turn amplifies asset price appreciation. Stock market booms are often associated with new investment vehicles using leverage.

Euphoria and Crowd Behavior:  The masses enter into financial speculation on the belief that prices will rise much higher, that risk is low, and that old rules do not apply because the world is entering a “new era.”

Asset Prices detach from underlying reality: Asset prices appreciate well above historical norms and well above their price range relative to other assets.  This overvaluation is usually ignored because it appears assets can be sold to others, even if the price is excessive.  This is sometimes referred to as “the greater fool theory” in that one can always sell to a greater fool when prices depart drastically from underlying fundamentals or past history.  Price no longer matters; it is only momentum and the chance to sell at even higher prices that are important.

These are all the general characteristics of the environment of a boom that turns into a bubble.

What about when the bubble pops?  What causes that?

Loss of confidence: Kindleberger says a triggering event or events usually cause investors to question their actions. This can come from negative news regarding war, interest rate increases, or sudden regulatory changes.

Liquidity problems: A series of events causes previously cheap credit to become restrictive. These may include tightening lending requirements, rising borrowing costs, financial institutions getting in trouble, new financial vehicles blowing up, financial institutions being weakened, or the inability of markets to absorb panic selling.

Market Saturation: An inflection point is reached when most of the maximum available money and number of investors become committed to a market idea. However, the available supply of funds and investors begins to fall off because new buyers have largely disappeared.  Everyone is in; who can get in, and few new buyers are left.

Psychological shift:  To commit money, the mind must first be convinced. But often, in speculative endeavors, attitudes become short-term and emotional, not logical.  Contagion occurs when crowd behavior takes over and rational thinking is no longer operable.  Euphoria and the dreams of riches grip the crowd and can be replaced relatively quickly by panic to cash in profits.

In his study of economic and investment cycles, Kindleberger sees a fairly reliable sequence. The shorthand sequence is displacement, mania, bubble, distress, crash, and panic.

Within this historical template is a high degree of repeatability because human nature appears not to change. While each period’s specifics may differ, people do not learn or remember previous boom and bust cycles.

Fair enough, you might say that history and analysis are fascinating, but is this history relevant to today?  Yes, if you think history tends to repeat.

Several candidates could qualify in terms of displacement, ranging from the disruptive potential of a new Trump Administration,  a social media landscape that has changed the way we get information and communicate, to the rapid changes wrought by artificial intelligence and robotics.

In terms of credit expansion, we can’t think of a time in history when the cost of money was kept at zero for much of a 20-year period. In inflation-adjusted terms, the cost was negative. If the price of beer were zero for much of 20 years, do you think it might change drinking habits?  Zero-cost money has induced many to borrow who might otherwise not have.  This includes individuals, corporations, and governments. Money supply, credit growth, and debt expansion have been very rapid, causing widespread price inflation, particularly asset price inflation. Government stimulus has been on par with significant wars or depressions, yet it has been applied to peacetime.  The current period easily qualifies with the past in terms of credit expansion and may exceed any other period.

In terms of herd behavior, US families now hold a greater percentage of their wealth in stocks than at any other time in history. New financial products abound. Among these are leverage ETFs that allow buyers to magnify price movement. Currently, there are 13 times more leveraged longs than shorts. Deutsche Bank recently conducted a survey of investor expectations for next year and concluded that the retail public has rarely been this bullish.  Yet, corporate insiders remain big sellers. That is worrisome.  And it is not just expectations.  The public is taking action, as seen by recent torrential monthly inflows of money into stocks.  Chart courtesy Markets& Mayhem

New-era thinking is now evident.  Black Rock, a giant and influential investment firm, believes we have entered a new period free from boom and bust cycles: “In its 2025 Global Outlook, Black Rock said it believes the world economy is currently in the process of being entirely “reshaped” by the emergence of five new “mega forces,” including the shift to net zero carbon emissions, geopolitical fragmentation, demographic trends, digitization of finance and AI.  …The fund manager, which controls $11.5 trillion worth of assets, said it now believes this “economic transformation” has seen the global economy break away from “historical trends” that have seen markets go through cycles of boom and bust for centuries. “

What about valuation? Historical metrics show that valuation for most asset classes is very high. The price of residential homes is beyond what most middle-class people can afford. Stocks are selling at PE multiples near the top of the range, as well as price-to-book ratio, price-to-sales, and market cap versus GDP (we are at 209% of GDP, the highest ever recorded). The same is true of the CAPE ratio, which is the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings multiple. It is currently at about 38, while the median average is just below 16. The US market has never been this expensive on a PE basis relative to global stocks in general. This raises the question: Does AI only apply to US companies?

Jason Geopfert runs an interesting site called Sentiment Trader, which is full of historical relationships. One that got our attention recently was a study of the long-term trend in stock prices. Current levels are about the highest in 90 years. “When we do those calculations…and it’s not a particularly pretty picture, as it suggests the S&P is so far above its long-term trajectory that only the 2000 and 1920s bubbles can compare.”  Thus, it looks like price has departed from underlying fundamentals.

To be sure, expensive markets can continue to appreciate to ever-more extreme levels, but examining all previous historical relationships suggests that risks are rising now, perhaps even faster than prices.

When price no longer matters, we have a problem.

Without getting into the merits of cryptocurrencies, we can only say WOW, but such parabolic rises in the past have ended in very sharp corrections.  However, it may be more of a display of speculative fervor that is dominating rather than a violation of fundamentals.  After all, their price action is so erratic that they cannot qualify as currency even though we use the word currency in naming them.  If they are not currencies, what the heck are they? They have no earnings and pay no dividends. And, unlike commodities, crypto is not used to make anything or feed anyone. Unlike bonds, they pay no interest. Moreover, some firms are now using their balance sheets and the ability to borrow to purchase Bitcoin.  This is a troubling sign.

So, it would seem that much of today qualifies with the template laid down by Kindleberger. That is the bad news. The good news is that we are not seeing a loss of confidence, liquidity problems, or any major breakdown in price trends…yet.

Recently, though, the market reached new highs with declining volume and more shares declining in price than advancing in price. This has persisted for more than a week near all-time highs. That may be a sign that the market’s technical underpinnings are weakening.  Usually, the period from Thanksgiving through Christmas into January is robust for stocks.  If so, the market behavior by the end of January could give us a peek into what should be expected in the coming year.

And while we don’t see any immediate liquidity threat, we point out what we have previously.  Namely, interest rates are defying the Fed and rising, even though they have pivoted to cutting rates.  This behavior is abnormal, and academic interest aside, the rising rates can create a liquidity crisis for the highly indebted.

We will close by noting that many economic data points floated by the press, usually at the government’s behest, have been subject to frequent revision. In almost all cases, they have been downward revisions. 

Most of the Biden era’s economic growth has been stimulated by deficit spending, government employment, or just a natural bounce back from lockdown. Reducing spending and government employment could make today’s soft numbers look much weaker. So much of our “growth” has been in government. The question is: how can one cut back on government without cutting “growth?”

We think the American people voted to cut the size and expense of government. It will be a painful but necessary process. But this historic shift is not occurring in a vacuum. It is happening within the context of an expensive market and overly leveraged economy, which displays most of the Kindleberger criteria for a bubble.

Contrary to public belief, Trump has been handed a struggling economy, not a robust one. Moreover, he has been given increasingly expensive and frothy markets, with extreme investor sentiments accented with “new era” thinking. He also has multiple foreign policy issues to handle, which we have no time to explore right now. Iran, Syria, Turkey, Israel, Ukraine, Russia, and the EU are all challenging in the best of times.  Each has the possibility of adverse outcomes.

One of the hallmarks of mania thinking is the famous quote from Irving Fisher, perhaps the most famous economist of his era.  He said 12 days before the Great Crash in 1929,  “Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau.”

This is part of “New Era” thinking. This time, it is different. Sure, the market is overvalued, and all segments of society are too heavy in debt. But today, the conditions that have historically caused markets to cycle up and down have been repealed by new technology and new ways to manage men’s affairs. Therefore, stocks will stay where they are or go even higher because a new dawn is about to break for all of our benefit.

Black Rock’s statement comes very close to saying the same thing, and they have more influence than a single academic economist. As Mark Twain noted, history may not repeat itself, but it sure rhymes. Let’s all hope we have more than 12 days before the markets respond to such hubris.

I don’t know if Warren Buffet is a fan of Kindleberger, but he has been selling equities and accumulating a most impressive hoard of cash.  Why is he doing that?

Maybe you should read a copy of Kindleberger?  Buy the 7th edition, 2017.

*****

Image credits:  Screenshot Amazon.com Bookcover and chart Financial Times.

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Harris/Obama/Biden leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

End the 1619 Project Indoctrination thumbnail

End the 1619 Project Indoctrination

By Mary Grabar

Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes

The reelection of Donald Trump is rightfully being seen as repudiation of “woke”—DEI (Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion) and CRT (Critical Race Theory). Trump is planning to root out the toxic, often deadly, ideology in federal departments.

First comes the abolishment of fake history, work Trump started toward the end of his hoax- and impeachment-beleaguered first term with the White House Conference on American History on Constitution Day 2020. Looking forward to the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence, he said that radicals burning American flags “want to burn down the principles enshrined in our founding documents. . . . In order to radically transform America, they must first cause Americans to lose confidence in who we are, where we came from, and what we believe.”

The summer 2020 rioting, which included attacks on historical monuments, was “the direct result of decades of left-wing indoctrination in our schools. . . . Our children are instructed from propaganda tracts, like those of Howard Zinn, that try to make students ashamed of their own history.” As one of the panelists, I drew upon my book, Debunking Howard Zinn.

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As President Trump also said, the 1619 Project “rewrites American history to teach our children that we were founded on the principle of oppression, not freedom.” I was then writing Debunking The 1619 Project.  I have monitored the creator, New York Times race reporter Nikole Hannah-Jones, since the initial project came out in August 2019 as a special issue of the New York Times Magazine accompanied by a newspaper supplement. Hannah-Jones presented 1619, when the first Africans arrived in Virginia, as her own discovery and aims to replace 1776 with 1619 as the year of our founding—of a “slavocracy.”

Hannah-Jones and an interlinking network of nonprofits and for-profit companies have found a “cash cow” in the 1619 Project. By 2021, two spin-off books—a children’s book and an expanded collection of writings and art, had been published by Penguin Random House. Films were produced by Oprah Winfrey. Hannah-Jones was garnering speaking fees averaging $25,000 at universities on a twice-monthly basis. By January 2022, she was commanding $55,000 to appear at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.  

These are veritable lovefests. Hannah-Jones refuses to engage in scholarly debate. When I revealed that she had admitted on Twitter that slaves were not “kidnapped” by Europeans but were bought from African chiefs, she blocked me after accusing me of affirming “white supremacy.”

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She applies the same racial interpretation to current events. On CNN, she justified the 2020 riots as necessary to make white Americans “confront” racial injustice and on MSNBC categorized them as part of black Americans’ historical push “further to democracy.” On public radio, she called the January 6, 2021, protest an “insurrection,” and to “hold onto white power,” as she elaborated, upon receiving an award from the Roosevelt Institute…..

*****

Continue reading this article at Real Clear History.

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Image Credit: Associação Brasileira de Jornalismo Investigativo

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Harris/Obama/Biden leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

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The Folly of Trying to Fix the Unfixable

By Craig J. Cantoni

Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes

Editors’ Note:  We agree that Edward Banfield was a first-rate intellect and a wise man. We reviewed one of his books, Government Project, previously “When Stalin Came To Casa Grande,” Part I and II.

Those who ignore Edward C. Banfield’s advice are doomed to make things worse.

Edward C. Banfield should’ve been a gambler or Wall Street investor instead of a political scientist, author, and Harvard professor.  His prescience would’ve made him very wealthy.

Over a half-century ago, Banfield foresaw the failure of voguish attempts to remediate crime, poverty, unemployment, housing shortages, urban decay, racial and class disparities, and other socioeconomic problems.  He famously wrote, “We cannot solve our serious problems by rational management.  Indeed, by trying we are almost certain to make matters worse.”

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Of his many books, the following three are the most notable—or the most notorious in some quarters, particularly among those whose livelihood depends on making things worse.

Government Project was published in 1951 and has recently been republished by the American Enterprise Institute.  It is a book version of Banfield’s doctoral thesis and was based on his experience as a New Dealer working for the Farm Security Administration.

The book tells the story of the US Government’s attempt to turn around the lives of destitute migrants during the Great Depression.  Government idealists established a cooperative farm in Pinal County, Arizona, about halfway between Phoenix and Tucson.  People who volunteered to work and live on the farm were provided good housing, generous pay, and job security—all of which were in short supply during those hard years.

After several years of success, the volunteers quit in anger and frustration, and the cooperative fell apart.  What happened?  Human nature happened.  The cooperative was beset by infighting and conflicts over the pecking order, workloads, goals, and leadership.

The lesson is that well-intentioned societal interventions will fail if they are designed and run in a top-down manner by ivory-tower “experts” removed from reality and deluded into believing that everyone thinks as they do, shares their values, and responds to the same incentives.   

The Moral Basis of a Backward Society was published in 1958.  It details life in a small town in Southern Italy, a village that was marked by envy, distrust, nepotism, and general dysfunction.  Self-interest and familial relationships were so strong that they overpowered the common good and kept villagers from working cooperatively with each other, for fear that their neighbors might take advantage of them.  This lack of social capital resulted in widespread poverty.  

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Banfield was assisted on the book by his Italian-American wife, who had learned Italian as a child and thus was better able to communicate with the townsfolk.  

The book shows the powerful role that culture plays in socioeconomic problems.  Government interventions and programs are prone to fail if they don’t take this into consideration and, for political reasons or fear of being judged as racist, are not honest about cultural realities.

The Unheavenly City was first published in 1970 and is the focus of the rest of this commentary.  It was re-published in 1974, with the title, The Unheavanly City Revisited, along with a new preface.  It was reissued in 1990 by Waveland Press, Inc.   

A recurring theme in The Unheavenly City is that time-orientation is a major determinant of social class.  

Those with a short time-orientation tend to live for the moment, are impulsive, seek immediate gratification, and don’t invest in their future or their children’s future.  Typically mired in poverty in the lowest social stratum, they tend to be slovenly in personal appearance and housekeeping, struggle with relationships, jump from job to job, are often in trouble with the law, and are disconnected from the larger community.

Those with the opposite traits, habits and values occupy the higher strata, and those with the longest time horizon are likely to be found in the highest stratum.

This isn’t to suggest that all poor people have a short time-orientation.  Many are born into poverty and bad neighborhoods, face discrimination or other injustices, or have had a medical or financial setback.  The industrious among them or their offspring will eventually climb out of poverty, especially if the government focuses on removing discriminatory barriers, protecting them from criminals, and providing targeted temporary assistance, when necessary, without making them wards of the welfare state.      

Whether due to nature, nurture, culture, personality, time-orientation, politics, or other variables, one-size-fits-all policies and programs often backfire.  

Take compulsory education.  As Banfield wrote, some students aren’t suited for 12 years of schooling, for various reasons.  They might have a dislike for academics, might be better at working with their hands, or might be too maladjusted socially to conform to classroom formalities and peer pressure.  Forcing them to sit in a classroom for 12 years can result in rebelliousness, withdrawal, disruptive behavior that interferes with the learning of other students, and a loss of self-esteem and self-confidence due to always being behind their classmates.   

A better option for them and the school system might be to reduce the years of formal education and replace that time with other opportunities, such as learning a trade while working as an apprentice.

But the conventional wisdom is stuck on 12 years, as if “12” is a magic number or scientifically determined, and as if there weren’t educated citizens before the advent of compulsory education in the latter part of the nineteenth century.  

Only about a third of K-12 students today are proficient in English and math, and it’s doubtful that even a third of high school graduates could comprehend the Federalist Papers, which were published in leading newspapers in 1787 and 1788, long before the public education movement.

President George W. Bush’s “No Child Left Behind” goal would inadvertently demonstrate Banfield’s point.  Perhaps it was an admirable sentiment or smart politics to wish that every student would succeed in school, but it was a goal that was bound to fail, at great expense—in spite of, or because of, the US Department of Education being established years earlier by President Jimmy Carter.  The department has grown into a sclerotic behemoth that has been captured by teacher unions and other interest groups.  

A corresponding folly was the idea that every high school senior should graduate with the academic ability to go on to college. A corollary proposition was that those who didn’t go on to college would be consigned to a life of low wages and ignorance.  

These notions led to high school grades being inflated, to colleges having to offer remedial courses to make up for what students didn’t learn in high school, to a movement to do away with SAT scores and other quantifiable measures of college readiness, to many students dropping out of college due to being ill-prepared academically, and to the student loan debacle (scam?).  

Aided and abetted by the government, the debacle drove up the cost of college; left students mired in debt, oftentimes for degrees of dubious value; and was endorsed out of self-interest by college administrators and faculty, thus revealing the hypocrisy of their platitudinal teachings about social justice.  

One is struck in reading The Unheavenly City that many of the same issues and follies that existed a half-century ago at its publication still exist today.  For example:  

Banfield debunked the notion that increases in the minimum wage would benefit the lowest social stratum, but the fallacy continues today with renewed vigor. 

Banfield said that urban renewal and downtown revitalization would tend to benefit the upper strata and shift the poor to other parts of a city, but such top-down plans continue unabated today, under the guise of helping the disadvantaged.  

Banfield predicted that government programs to increase homeownership and affordability would backfire, a prediction that the US Department of Housing and Urban Development seems determined to prove true, given that it has spent hundreds of billions of dollars to no avail while triggering two financial crises, the savings and loan crisis of the 1980s and the mortgage crisis of 2008.  In fairness, HUD didn’t accomplish this alone.  It was assisted by Fannie Mae, the Federal Reserve, and other agencies.       

There are many other examples of Banfield’s prescience, but we’ll end by focusing on just one more of them:  his predictions about race relations.

Banfield has been accused of racism, especially relative to blacks.  This is a complete falsehood. There is nothing in his writing to suggest that he believed that blacks—or any other race for that matter—are inherently or genetically inferior, or are naturally predisposed to crime, fatherless families, welfare dependency, poor grades, short-term thinking, or other negative characteristics and social norms.  In fact, he frequently discussed and lamented the historic injustices borne by blacks, and he stressed that equal rights were a precondition for blacks rising out of poverty as a group.  

The accusations of racism stem from his temerity in disagreeing with the conventional wisdom of other social scientists and with race activists on what should be done beyond equal rights to accelerate black achievement and income.

Banfield questioned the effectiveness of policies that ignored cultural impediments in black communities; thought that white guilt, virtue signaling, and paternalism were more harmful than helpful to blacks; and criticized race hucksters (my word) for imparting a self-defeating mindset of victimhood, which encouraged blacks to blame whites for their own failures.

In spite of all of this, Banfield saw that the attainment of equal rights had markedly and quickly improved black lives—improvement that would continue to advance naturally.  He also saw a paradox:  that as blacks closed the socioeconomic gap between themselves and whites, race hucksters and pseudo-intellectuals would become even more strident in their claims of victimhood and racism, as well as in their demands for government intervention.

He saw another paradox:  The upper strata of white society—those with college degrees, high income, a long time-orientation, and a concern for the larger community—would join in the pseudo-intellectualism, as if wallowing in perceived guilt and groveling performatively would somehow further black advancement. 

Banfield didn’t live to see how prophetic he was.  He passed before the advent of such divisive nostrums as critical race theory, white fragility, white privilege, exclusionary versions of DEI, and the stereotype that all whites are guilty of oppression, colonialism, imperialism, and racism.

Fortunately, Banfield predated today’s cancel culture and thus can’t be canceled for being right. 

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Harris/Obama/Biden leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

If You Doubt There is a Deep State, Read This thumbnail

If You Doubt There is a Deep State, Read This

By Bruce Bialosky

Estimated Reading Time: 4 minutes

Some people go to work for the federal government to represent their country with the idea they are going to help their government provide the services that citizens are paying to obtain. Mark Moyar was one of those people. He is a highly qualified individual brought in during the first Trump Administration. He soon found out there was a deep state and it attempted to destroy his career and livelihood. He chronicles that in a riveting book, Masters of Corruption.

I received his book right before election day and started to read it, thinking it would be meaningful. His book became an important guide for Trump’s victory in ensuring career bureaucrats did not crush the efforts of the political appointees in the second Trump Administration.

Moyar is someone you would think would be on the road to a roaringly successful life based on his resume. He graduated Summa Cum Laude from Harvard with a degree in history. By the age of 26, he had published his first history book, which was on Viet Nam. He then headed to obtain his Ph.D. in history from Cambridge with his young wife and first child by his side. He returned to the U.S after receiving his degree in 2003. He had quite a pedigree except for one major “flaw” – he was a political conservative.

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He started a postdoctoral fellowship at the Bush (George H.W.) School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M. He thought he would be welcomed there, but soon found out the professors chafed at the idea the school was named after the 41st president. When it came to getting on the tenure track, he was vetoed due to his political beliefs. He was likewise blackballed at 200 universities because of his politics despite having written another history book and having published numerous articles. He saw that the Duke University history department had a 32-0 Democrat to Republican ratio. The University of Iowa had a 27-0 ratio. He ended up at the U.S. Marine Corps University which few people knew existed.

Moyar decided to jump from the frying pan into the fire and take a job in the Trump Administration. He knew that the Obamas had stacked the professional bureaucracy with idealogues, but he had no clue how bad it would get.

He went to the USAID (United States Agency for International Development), an operation that most Americans would not recognize. “The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) is an independent federal government agency that receives overall policy guidance from the Secretary of State.” Moyar describes the agency as an “operational organization.” Moyar states, “Its main purpose is to design and fund development and humanitarian operations for implementation by for-profit and non-profit contractors. Otherwise, they hand out our money to foreign countries with a hands-on approach.” The current budget of the Agency is $32 billion. If you go to their website, the first thing they post in “about us’ is their DEI policy. That wasn’t in place when Moyar was there, but the elements existed.

On July 30, 2018, Moyar was officially promoted to be the Director of the USAID Office of Civilian-Military Cooperation. He had the goal of “fixing personnel and ethical problems and filling the void of strategic direction.” He had devised “a vision, a mission, and objectives for the office in line with the National Security Strategy based on White House and USAID leadership priorities.” Seems like the responsible thing to do. Except that was not the goal of the career staff.

Moyar told me, “Bureaucrats had mastered the art of bureaucratic sabotage quite well.” He had no preparation for the onslaught. He began to be confronted by a particular person who had been in the department for over 20 years. He was a member of the SES.

Experienced readers of my columns have become acquainted with the Senior Executive Service. There are about 8,000 of these people sprinkled throughout the government. They are basically untouchable. They cannot be fired. If you want to get rid of one of these people, you can only transfer them to Nome, Alaska, or Butte, Montana. And Moyar found out this SES thought he was in charge and there was nothing Moyar could do. On a typical workday, this person left work at 4 P.M. and went to a bar across the street from the Reagan Building where he held court with people throughout the national bureaucracy.

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When this person found out that Moyar was eyeing another supervisory position the SES had in mind for himself, the sabotage went full throttle. Moyar came to work one day to find his computer in the process of being taken. He had official charges lodged against him. The charges centered on the fact that he had included classified material in one of his books. Moyar is absolutely positive that all the material he has included in his books is in the public domain, and he has been meticulous about that. No classified material. It did not matter, as an unnamed two-star general from a different part of the government (supposedly the Pentagon) had made the charges.

For the next couple of years, Moyar was thrown into a battle for survival. His security clearance was yanked, effectively making him unemployable by the federal government. Moyar told me that during the last year of the Obama Administration, not one person had their security clearance suspended throughout the government. In the four years of the Trump Administration, 34 people had theirs yanked — in USAID alone.

He found out there was no protection for whistleblowers who were political appointees. The PPO (Presidential Personnel Office) or White House Counsel cannot do anything to help political appointees, and they can be fired without due process. (My information tells me Trump is looking to remedy this on day one through an executive order.)

He was faced with either resigning or being fired and with legal advice decided to resign. The problem was he was now in a Catch-22 where he could not really apply to get his security clearance back. He was out of work with a wife and three children. To say the least, Moyar stated, “This caused a lot of turmoil and financial stress.”

Moyar finally landed on his feet, getting a professorship at Hillsdale College. He fought back the best way he could think of — by writing his book to tell the story of how the deep state can destroy anyone or anything in their path.

On the eve of a new Trump Administration, Moyar’s book is essential reading to understand how career bureaucrats think they run our government and not our duly elected officials. They believe we are just bystanders, and they are actually in charge. Trump and his team must break the back of this system, or they will be stalled on all fronts where the bureaucrats wish to stop them.

*****

This article was published by Flash Report and is reproduced with permission from the author.

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Harris/Obama/Biden leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

Weekend Read: Nietzsche and Darryl Cooper Sitting in a Tree. . . thumbnail

Weekend Read: Nietzsche and Darryl Cooper Sitting in a Tree. . .

By Conlan Salgado

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

Tucker Carlson did a podcast with Darryl Copper. Since he is the most important historian (really??) of our times, I need not explain who he is. You already know. People such as other historians, journalists, and twitter emotes rushed to express their resentment, approval, and bemusement. The general sentiment from the mainstream right was: off with their heads.

I viewed this simply as Tucker’s first real attempt at retail punditry. If you’re not familiar with the phrase, it simply means a sort of cheap, persuasive packaging of ideas and thought, generally for the purpose of a mass audience which is fact-impoverished and poor in its ability to interrogate information. And no, I’m not an elitist. I’m an enthusiastic Walmart shopper.

Niall Ferguson wrote a fine article in response; Victor Davis Hanson wrote an even better one. But the best article of all on the topic was written by Mary Harrington, which she titled, “Darryl Cooper: Word War II Historian for the Woke Right.” The title gives you the idea of the thing; rather than shaming the historical sluttiness of Cooper’s assertions, she writes about the philosophy behind Cooper’s right-wing historical revisionism. I quote her at length:

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“And where contemporary Right-wing WWII revisionists set out to challenge the more modern Manichean account, it’s because they see how powerfully it contributes to shaping the contemporary political landscape. No Right-wing victory today is complete without an op-ed lamenting how the moment resembles “1930s Germany”; no debate over the wisdom of international conflict can pass without someone alluding to “appeasement”.  And, more importantly for such revisionists, WWII discourse functions overall as a powerful containment mechanism for the Right.”

There is powerful truth to this: the international Left has turned Nazism into a euphemism for “The Right”; one need only count the grains of sand in the world to know how many times Trump has been compared to Hitler, or MAGA voters to those dirty, racist, nazi, red-hat-wearing (probably) bastards who made up the Repub….., I mean, the Third Reich.

Darryl Cooper in fact admits as much; according to him, real right-wing values became impossible to support after the Nuremberg trials. That is to say, right-wingism itself, implies Cooper, was on trial in Nuremberg, and the International Left condemned it as guilty on all charges. The “manichean” version of WWII is the Left’s story of how the Right became fascist, genocidal, and altogether intolerable.

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Needless to say, I do not view Nazism as the authentic right-wing. However, I am trying to point out that Cooper, as a right-winger, has judged the Left as using WWII for its great story, or “myth”, in which the Right is the great force for evil and Globalism is the great force for Good. In Cooper’s mind, this story has been used to assassinate the characters of populist leaders, nationalist movements, and “right wing” values for 80 years. Thus he is trying to rewrite WWII. In his story, “the Right” is not as bad as everybody says it is. That great figurehead of Globalism, Winston Churchill, patron saint of Neo-cons, (yes, isn’t it ridiculous?), was the real villain of the Second World War.

Harrington has the insight to see Cooper’s project as very much in line with left-wing
revisionism, insofar as it is philosophical. Take, for example, the 1619 project. After all, the great conservative myth is the American Founding. Conservative values are those values predicated, in large part, on the founding. If one successfully destroys a myth, one successfully destroys a religion.

Conservatism is culturally weak because its stories, in the popular imagination, are lies. The American Founding was not a great accomplishment for the rights tradition, nor popular government. It was a compromise which allowed the moral atrocity of slavery, says the Left- wing yarnist with a sly, Darryl Cooper-esque smile.

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And there’s the rub: (Harrington took all my points before I could make them!). Cooper’s project is as postmodern as the revisionists of the left. “It’s also premised on broadly the same set of insights about the relation between historical narratives, ideology, and power as Left-wing “woke” revisionism, and particularly the crucial “woke” insight concerning the operation of power through language, narrative, and ideology.”

To reduce it to Nietzschean terminology, history is a function of power. That’s Cooper in a cracked nutshell. Of course, this says nothing explicit about the responsibility of Cooper’s project. I myself believe it a load of rubbish from the point of view of history, but found it to be primarily interesting as a piece of rhetoric.

I mean, consider this: Carlson and Cooper talked for two hours about terrorism in WWII without once mentioning the Holocaust. This is a strategy so bold, I cannot help but admire from a distance. It is indeed an advanced strategy, one exposited forthrightly in the Associated Press’ handbook for journalists: Elephant? What Elephant?

Consider the absurdity of this revisionist point: Tragic logistical circumstances forced the Nazis to kill 2 million soviet soldiers and tens of thousands of Jews and civilians. Cooper blames the Nazis for not having a plan “to take care” of, at the “end of the day”, these unfortunate millions, even if the Nazis had to invade and violate their non-aggression pact with Russia because of Romanian oil fields and Ukrainian neo-nazis and, like, really bad, bolshevik, crazy, zionist, sneaky, underhanded, jew-type stuff.

How to respond?

Together, let’s try an exercise from Elephant? What Elephant?. I’m going to quote from “Guidelines for the Conduct of the Troops in Russia” issued by the German High Command, and you have to forget these words were ever written as quickly as you find possible:

“Bolshevism is the deadly enemy of the National Socialist German people. Germany’s struggle is directed against this subversive ideology and its functionaries. . . .This struggle requires ruthless and energetic action against Bolshevik agitators, guerillas, saboteurs, and Jews, and the total elimination of all active or passive resistance. . . .The members of the Red Army — including prisoners—must be treated with the most extreme reserve and the greatest caution since one must reckon with devious methods of combat. The Asiatic soldiers of the Red Army in particular are inscrutable, unpredictable, devious, and brutish.”

Or perhaps let’s try brief excerpts from “The Decree on Exercising Military Jurisdiction in the Area of Barbarossa and Special Measures by Troops”; you’re job is the same: wipe you’re mind without delay:

“Guerrillas are to be eliminated ruthlessly by the troops in combat or while escaping. . . . All other attacks by enemy civilians against the Armed Forces, its personnel and its retinue also will be suppressed on the spot by the troops with the most rigorous methods until the assailants are annihilated. . . .Where such measures were not taken or were not possible at first, suspect elements will be brought before an officer immediately. This officer is to decide whether they are to be shot. . .. Regarding actions committed by personnel of the Wehrmacht or its retinue against enemy civilians, there is no obligation to prosecute, even where the deed is at the same time a military crime or misdemeanor.”

Notice Cooper’s use of the phrase “take care of” the Soviet prisoners. Even if we grant fiction supremacy over fact and acknowledge Cooper’s version of events — that the Nazis were merely underprepared for the number of prisoners and even if we imagine a scenario in which millions of Soviets are not starved or shot, how would the Nazis have taken care of anybody? They Nazis were invading the Russians’ homeland, killing their relatives in uniform, raping them of their land, destroying crops, pillaging the wealth of the land. . . . and we’re supposed to believe that if the Soviets had only been well fed in the prison camps, the Nazis would have been justified for what they did in the East? This is not straight-faced, masculine lying. This is feminine insinuation of untruth. It makes Cooper worse than he would otherwise be in my own view. . . .

Oh well. Enough is enough. Falsehood is like a forest fire. It would be folly to try stamping it out; my one article cannot combat all the lies and half-truths. I can, however, observe elephants when I see them. Especially when they are on such a small table between two people doing a podcast.

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Harris/Obama/Biden leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

The Progressive Case for Parenthood thumbnail

The Progressive Case for Parenthood

By Elizabeth Grace Matthew

Estimated Reading Time: 9 minutes

What Are Children For? On Ambivalence and Choice is an ambitious book that addresses arguably the most pressing questions of both our time and all time: Are people good? Is life worth living? What does it mean to be a parent? What is motherhood, what is fatherhood, and how are these roles similar and different?

In four lengthy chapters, bookended by personal essays that serve as the evocative introduction and conclusion, authors Anastasia Berg and Rachel Wiseman methodically walk readers through the sociological and cultural factors that are, they argue, responsible not only for America’s marked decrease in the birth rate but also for the introduction of a new kind of widespread indecision around the philosophical idea and the practical matter of parenthood. Drawing on interviews with mostly 30-something prospective parents and non-parents—as well as on personal anecdote, feminist theory, literature, and philosophy—Berg and Wiseman ultimately make what amounts to a progressive, secular case for the goodness and worth of parenthood by way of a progressive, secular case for the goodness and worth of humanity itself.

The New Parenthood Ambivalence

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This argument is unique and fresh, on multiple counts. To start, most arguments for having and raising children (my own included) are conservative in some sense, predicated on the religious understanding of children (and, by extension, of people) as “immortal beings.” In different ways and to different extents, other recent books endorsing (larger) families and (more) parenthood—most notably, Family Unfriendly by Timothy Carney and Hannah’s Children by Catherine Pakaluk—are premised on the belief that religious community and family prioritization are mutually reinforcing.

Berg and Wiseman are outliers in this regard. They also break from their own progressive milieu to argue that nearly everything about the way that today’s secular 20- and 30-somethings tend to approach (or not) love, marriage, and family formation is flawed and fouled on its own terms.

The authors challenge several tenets of what has become the conventional unwisdom of college-educated millennials and Gen Zers. First, they take issue with the popular assumption that “slow love”—as seen in today’s courtship rituals, in which one “must suppress the desire to have kids” if one wishes to “date authentically”—is the truest love. Dating divorced from any idea of household or family formation seems, to Berg and Wiseman, rather counterproductive. Second, they address the modern tendency to view parenthood (and motherhood especially) as a totalizing identity that razes any prior identity. This unnuanced perspective, they argue, currently presents a more significant impediment to parenthood than any economic obstacle. The authors acknowledge that this view of parenthood as a totalizing identity now transcends political identification and might in fact be strongest among the very secular progressives who view childbearing as just one more lifestyle choice. In other words, for young people who lean left today, unlike for older generations, parenthood is not inherently worthwhile in and of itself. In part, as a result, there is now an assumption that if one does choose to have children, motherhood is justified by its resemblance to self-imposed martyrdom.

Third and finally, Berg and Wiseman explain how moral, environmental, and political concerns give young people pause: they worry about human cruelty, violence, the environmental impact of family life, and also about women’s political and social inequality with men.

There are very real merits to the authors’ approach, but it is ultimately insufficient to quell the existential ambivalence about parenthood plaguing many of my fellow 30-somethings. In the end, Berg and Wiseman do persuade readers that many of the personal trends, political considerations, and philosophical arguments militating against parenthood fall short. They do not, however, provide any holistic or convincing answer to the provocative question posed by their title: What are children for?

Slow Love in the Fast Lane

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Berg and Weissman offer an excellent window into the “slow love” that constitutes a new norm among the young (and not so young) people comprising today’s dating market. Apparently, “personal, romantic compatibility” is considered by many to be at odds with the “search for a co-parent.” Online dating helps to foster the illusion that there is a person out there who could offer “super compatibility” and assumes a landscape in which daters scoff at compromise and are unwilling, when it comes to romantic partners, to accept the truism that “people aren’t perfect.”

Egg freezing now provides women who can afford it—and even those who struggle to do so—with the equivalent of a requested extension in the search for a life partner. So, today, Berg and Wiseman explain, many young women will throw a “‘93rd percentile match’ back into the pool so that they could wait ‘just a little bit longer’ and find someone ‘that’s even just a little bit better.’”

Among those who are not so young, the question of motherhood becomes not so much about what one will take on—but about what one will give up.

Women might know better if they listened to psychologist Lori Gottlieb, who made the case for “settling for Mr. Good Enough” in 2011’s Marry Him. And young people of both sexes might benefit greatly from a read-through of Brad Wilcox’s 2024 Get Married (a thesis of a title if ever there was one).

This is to say that the argument for speeding up the mating and family formation game—especially for women—is not new.

What Berg and Wiseman offer more than anything else is permission: For young women to think about family formation in tandem with romantic compatibility, and for young men to think about family formation at all.

I was genuinely unaware that such a writ was needed (at 36, I have been married for nearly 12 years and a mom for 10, so I would not know). But if young people need a secular blessing in concert with a reproductive science lesson, then good for these authors for attempting to offer both. That said, I do not think that one can get at the root of this “slow love” problem without addressing a broader “slow adulthood” problem that seems to encompass far more than the search for a partner. This is outside the scope of Berg and Wiseman’s project, but it seems to me that ambivalence about all responsibility, of which marriage and parenthood are the gravest, amounts to a contagion among much of today’s youth—whose future ranks are dwindling due to a failure to differentiate themselves from children by having some.

Meanwhile, among those who are not so young, the question of motherhood becomes not so much about what one will take on—but about what one will give up.

What Kind of Mother Will You Be?

In season four of Sex and the City, law firm partner Miranda Hobbes gets unexpectedly pregnant with her bartender ex-boyfriend. It is well-established that Miranda was not prepared for motherhood, both in the specific sense that she wasn’t intending to conceive a child and in the broader sense that she is not what passes for “maternal.” The series’ original foil—women who get married, move to the suburbs, and dote on their children in a saccharine, darkly humorous, and self-abnegating way—are Miranda’s polar opposites. Well into her thirties, Miranda exemplifies the ambivalence about motherhood explored at such length by Berg and Wiseman.

As Miranda’s due date nears, the overworked attorney still has not prepared either her home or her heart for forthcoming responsibilities. In a revealing bit of dialogue, comparatively “normie” Charlotte, who is not ambivalent about motherhood at all, presses the mom-to-be: “There are a million questions to answer before the baby ever gets here! Do you have a birthing plan? Do you know what kind of a mother you want to be?” Miranda, taken aback by these questions, replies: “Yes! I plan to be … a good mother!” Charlotte counters: “But, a marsupial mom, or a stroller mom? Will you be breastfeeding or bottle feeding? And what about baby proofing?” She pushes on: “Because once you have that baby, it’s not just you anymore. You’re not going to be able to control everything.”

Of course, Charlotte wants to help. And Miranda’s deadpan reply to her friend’s detailed queries—“I plan to be a good mother!”—is funny. But it’s not so funny when this sort of third-degree interrogation happens not in conversation with a friend during the third trimester of pregnancy but within one’s own consciousness in a way that makes parenthood seem utterly overwhelming.

In other words, what Charlotte said was: “Once you have that baby, it’s not just you anymore. You’re not going to be able to control everything.” But what Miranda heard was: Once you have that baby, you’re not you anymore. You’re not going to be able to control anything.

When college-educated women increasingly view motherhood as a morally neutral lifestyle choice rather than an innately good vocational purpose, that choice becomes one that they must justify by excelling at it according to an often silly and pointless societal rubric. And if this means sacrificing everything else that they are, believe, and enjoy, so be it. “You made that toddler bed,” says a culture that simultaneously disdains and sanctifies motherhood. “Now lie beside it until your child falls asleep even if it means you can never do anything else ever again.”

Who would voluntarily sign up for that?

As Berg writes in a lovely reflection on mothering her daughter, which serves as the book’s conclusion: “The assumption of obligatory identity change can imply that our myriad other identities will necessarily be flattened, or even lost. For prospective mothers, this can make the decision of whether to have children that much more daunting.” Berg makes the case for parenthood among women like herself—the “Mirandas,” who will not and likely cannot subsume all of our other interests and concerns to a version of modern maternalism in which “good mother” becomes our identity. Berg admits that she “used to believe that the inability to enjoy one’s child, wholly and completely, was a sign of personal failure.” She no longer believes that. Yet, she is glad to be her daughter’s mother, even though she doesn’t enjoy mothering all the time and does not embroider, say, the mind-numbing constraint of sleep training with some new definition of liberty that renders parenthood counterintuitively freeing. Brava.

Any case for parenthood that does not involve purpose and vocation is really no case at all.

But there is a sacred cow of modern parenthood that goes unchallenged in Berg’s essay, even though challenging it would strengthen her argument: That having children must be “disordered” and endlessly accommodating. Here is how Berg describes time with her daughter: “Pajamas off! Pajamas on! New socks, night socks, no socks. Yes hat, no hat, always hat, not that hat. Slippers on, slippers off, slippers in bed, slippers in bath, slippers to daycare. … Bread, no bread, cheese, no cheese, milk in bottle, coffee in bottle, now we drink the bathwater.” And so on.

I have four children, three of whom have gone through the toddler and preschool years in which such matters can become sources of contention. Here’s what that sounds like in my house: Kid: “No hat!” Mom: “Yes hat.”

When the strongest willed of my sons was two and three, such an exchange might lead to an hour-long tantrum. That was okay. I marveled at his spirit—I still do. And I got AirPods.

It is much easier to enjoy one’s children if one recognizes that parents, not children, are in charge. Moreover, the kind of parental authority that makes children likable is good for children themselves. Indeed, “civilizing the feral” is an apt tagline for a “past conception” of “having children” grounded in Augustinian reality rather than in Rousseauian fantasy.

Contra Berg and Wiseman, we can indeed “recover” and “resuscitate” such past conceptions if we so choose. But they are right that it won’t be easy.

After all, it’s not just the retention of pre-parental identity that makes parenthood more appealing. It’s also the establishment of parental authority that makes it much easier to have and enjoy not just one child, but a bunch of them. This is what one would argue for if one was really invested in human life for its own sake, rather than in parenthood as a lifestyle choice.

To Life, to Life, L’Chaim?

Berg and Wiseman make a case for the essential goodness of humanity that ultimately relies on a sort of “gotcha” about the existence of people that I am not sure their progressive friends will readily accept. “If,” the authors contend in the book’s philosophically and literarily thick final chapter, “it is wrong for anyone to bring a child into the world in the present, it has been wrong for everyone to have brought a child into the world in the past. … Every single human being … was born out of a grave moral failure.”

Well, not necessarily. Many progressives who view human reproduction as wrong might contend in response that we know better now—both about how to prevent pregnancy and about humans’ adverse impact on the environment—than we did 100 years ago. In this light, it is entirely possible to view your grandmother’s birth as an unfortunate accident but your nonexistent child’s nonbirth as a mortal wrong averted.

Beyond this questionable argument, Berg and Wiseman more astutely point out that feelings of moral unease about human reproduction related to war, poverty, violence, suffering, and climate change typically exist alongside ambitions to better a world in which one already assumes the existence of future humans. This is true enough. Even truer is the realization that “however difficult the going gets, however much we complain and protest, most of us still treat our lives not only as valuable but as precious.” Therefore, “the answer to the question of whether life is good does not really await our decision to have children.”

Yet, Berg and Wiseman do not endorse parenthood broadly or unequivocally. “The decision to have children,” they contend, is “as personally consequential as it is philosophically profound. … Only you can determine whether it is the right one for you.” So, at bottom, for all their book’s sophistication and insight into the shortcomings of exactly this approach, Berg and Wiseman are talking about parenthood as a mere lifestyle choice after all. Ultimately, for them, it cannot be anything else because they have no transcendent conception of what either children or people are for.

Of course, some worthy purposes and vocations do not involve parenthood. But any case for parenthood that does not involve purpose and vocation is really no case at all.

Indeed, Berg and Wiseman’s secular argument in favor of having children is perhaps the best that can be made. And it amounts to: To life, to life—if it’s right for you.

Not quite the same ring to it. But better, I guess, than nothing.

*****

This article was published by Law & Liberty and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Biden/Obama leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

Weekend Read: The Orwellian Left thumbnail

Weekend Read: The Orwellian Left

By Mark Wallace

Estimated Reading Time: 7 minutes

Over the last half-century, the so-called “Progressive” Left has spread its tentacles throughout innumerable nongovernmental organizations, the federal, state, and local governments themselves, public and many private schools, the universities, the media, the corporate world . . . the list goes on and on. Whether we are looking at Yale University, ABC News, the Washington Post, the FBI, the CIA, the highest-ranking generals and admirals in the military, the Department of Education, the teachers’ unions, we find them all infested with far-left progressives. That’s not to say that each and every FBI agent is a leftist — far from it — but the leadership of the aforementioned organizations and in certain (but not all) instances the supporting staff are leftist Democrats.

It’s fashionable in Republican and conservative circles to call the Progressive Left “Marxist,” “communist” or “fascist,” but in truth, the Progressive Left is not any of these. Numerous billionaires are far left. A true Marxist would be dreaming up plans to strip them of their wealth, but the Progressive Left that exploded in power and influence beginning in the Obama Administration has absolutely no intention of doing that. That’s why the tycoon Governor Pritzker of Illinois can continue to be a Democrat and pretend he cares about the average guy. The Progressive Left is more oligarchic than it is Marxist or Communist.

Make no mistake about it, the Progressive Left is a huge danger to our liberty. Its principal goal is the permanent seizure of power. All of the Progressive Left’s major policies are pointed specifically in that direction. Packing the Supreme Court so the Left can seize total control of the Third Branch of government. Making Puerto Rico and Washington, D.C. states so the Left can gain four more Senate seats and achieve a permanent majority in the Senate. Ending the Senate’s filibuster rule. Abolishing the Electoral College. Allowing millions of illegal aliens to vote. Giving the right to vote back to felons.

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The Progressive Left’s other major (and highly disguised) policy is to impoverish America’s working and middle classes so that they are dependent on the government. A person who can make a good living without help from the government (think of Thomas Jefferson’s yeoman farmer and the present-day successful small businessman) is despised by the Left because they cannot control him or her. The Green New Deal is intended to replace fossil fuels with far less efficient sources of energy generation so that utility prices can be hugely increased, thereby making it more difficult for the average guy to keep his family housed and fed.

The Progressive Left is not Marxist, communist, or fascist. It is Orwellian. Its aims are best exemplified by the comments of Inner Party member O’Brien in George Orwell’s novel “1984”: “The Party seeks power entirely for its own sake. We are not interested in the good of others; we are interested solely in power . . . Power is not a means, it is an end. One does not establish a dictatorship to safeguard a revolution; one makes the revolution in order to establish the dictatorship. The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power. . . . If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face — forever.”

Undoubtedly, in this late summer of 2024 the United States is still a long way from the absolute tyranny depicted in Orwell’s “1984” and his novel “Animal Farm.” But the Progressive Left is doing everything in its power to move the United States in that direction and has achieved notable successes, as shown below. Let’s review them one by one.

All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others. In “Animal Farm,” the farm animals boot out the human owners and establish a kind of animal democracy where all animals are equal. Gradually, the pigs take over and begin to substitute a new rule that although all the animals are equal, some are more equal than others (namely, the pigs).

In the United States today, we have “Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion,” in which members of certain identity groups are given special rights and privileges above and beyond those possessed by the rest of the populace. Using the word “diversity” in this context is a big lie because only certain identity groups count when it comes to “diversity.” Universities with DEI departments have faculties where Republicans or conservatives are either scarce or nowhere to be found. Where is the diversity there? To take another example, if you happen to be an Italian-American or an Irish American or a White Anglo-Saxon Protestant, forget about “diversity” in your case — you don’t qualify. When was the last time the Justice Department’s Civil Rights Division opened an investigation into the number of Italian-Americans or Polish-Americans (or Jews or Catholics or Presbyterians) in a police department or on corporate director boards? Clearly, in 21st century America some animals are more equal than others.

Newspeak. Oceania, the absolute dictatorship of Big Brother in Orwell’s “1984,” devotes resources to developing a new language named “Newspeak.” Newspeak is strongly related to standard English (known as “Oldspeak”) but has features designed to suppress dissent, advance Party causes and to generally force people into thinking the way the Party wants them to think. For example, the Newspeak word “thoughtcrime” brings to people’s attention that even thinking the wrong way is a crime.

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The Progressive Left has begun taking baby steps in this direction. A prime example is the substitution of “enslaved people” for “slaves.” This substitution now abounds in academic journals and articles. I was taught in English class never to use two words when one word would do. So why are college professors and social justice warriors now using “enslaved people”? It’s obvious, isn’t it? “Enslaved people” emphasizes victimization, which is a key element of the Left’s narrative.

As another example of Newspeak in 21st century America, “gender-affirming care” has come to mean in many cases castration for males and radical mastectomies for women. Note how this paves the way for deluded parents to tell their confidantes that their psychologically-disturbed son received “gender-affirming care.” It’s so much easier to say that than to say, “my troubled son was castrated last week at the hospital.”

The Use of Opposite Meanings. In Orwell’s fictional state of Oceania, government ministries include the “Ministry of Love” and the “Ministry of Truth.” In point of fact, what goes on in these ministries is the diametrical opposite of what is implied by their names. The Ministry of Love is where political opponents of the regime are tortured. The Ministry of Truth is a giant propaganda machine where inconvenient facts from the past are made to disappear (“memory-holed”) and where lies about the current state of affairs are rampant and all-encompassing. The Party’s slogans are also heavily loaded with opposite meaning: “War is Peace.” “Freedom is Slavery.”

In 21st century America, we have “Planned Parenthood.” This organization has virtually nothing to do with parenthood. Its main mission is non-parenthood. A more accurate name for Planned Parenthood would be Planned Non-parenthood. It currently operates hundreds of Death Camps for the Unborn.

Memory-Holing the Past. The Party’s slogan in “1984” is “who controls the past, controls the future; who controls the present controls the past.” This is the backdrop for a scene in the novel where Winston, the main character, is given the job of erasing for all eternity Big Brother’s past praise of a party functionary who later became persona non grata and was liquidated. We find a parallel in late summer 2024, where the mainstream media is now peddling the obvious lie that Kamala Harris was never really the “Border Czar” under Biden. (Note, however, that Donald Trump may have it right that she was really the “Invasion Czar” more than the “Border Czar.”). We find another parallel in the Left’s desperate efforts to prevent the public from learning about Kamala’s previous proposals to ban fracking, ban private health insurance, and replace it with Medicare-For-All, mandatory government repurchase of firearms, and other pet proposals of the Loony Left.

Forcing the Populace to Believe Obvious Lies. To really gain power over people, it’s essential to force them to renounce their true beliefs and to agree that obvious lies are actually the truth. We see this in “1984” where O’Brien holds up four fingers and asks Winston, who is tied up hand and foot to a torture machine, how many fingers he is holding up. Winston says “four” and is tortured. Suspecting that O’Brien wants him to say “five”, he says five and is tortured again. Finally, desperate to avoid any additional torture, Winston realizes that the correct answer is “whatever you want it to be.”

We see a similar, although less physically painful, pattern in 21st-century America when it comes to transgender issues. The Progressive Left wants us to believe that a biological man can actually become a woman and therefore must be treated by all of society as a woman. So does a man who decides to transition to a woman get all of his chromosomes to change from XY to XX? No. Does such a man acquire the ability to give birth to a child? No. Does such a man acquire a female pelvic and hip structure (for instance, wide hips and a uterus)? No. Can he change the pitch of his voice from lower to higher? No. Essentially, all that happens is that a biological man undergoing a surgical transition doesn’t become a woman but instead becomes a mutilated man. Yet we are supposed to believe the lie that he’s now a woman. And if we don’t, then we are characterized as “transphobic,” bigoted and cruel. Bonus Question: if a biological man decides to become a rhinoceros, does all of society have to treat him as a rhinoceros?

Thoughtcrime. In Oceania, to think even for a moment that Big Brother is a bad guy constitutes “thoughtcrime.” In 21st-century America, “hate crime” consists of (1) a criminal act such as murder or assault, and (2) certain kinds of thoughts internal to the perpetrator’s mind, such as a desire to hurt the victim on account of his race or other characteristics. Seen in this light, “hate crime” is, at least in part, thoughtcrime.

Persecution of Political Opponents. In “1984”, opponents of the Party were arrested, incarcerated in the Ministry of Love, and hideously tortured. In 21st-century America, opponents of the Progressive Left — ranging from Donald Trump to people praying outside abortion clinics— are arrested, subjected to political show trials and, if convicted, sentenced to fine or prison.

The Use of Intoxicants to Distract the Populace From Disastrous Government Policies. In “1984”, all or almost all goods and commodities are in short supply except one: Victory Gin. Victory Gin is plentiful, cheap, and most likely heavily subsidized. During the 2020-2022 Chinese coronavirus Plandemic, governors in Progressive Left states closed churches, synagogues, and gyms but kept the liquor stores open.

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Biden/Obama leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

Is It Okay to Be White? thumbnail

Is It Okay to Be White?

By Jeremy Carl

Estimated Reading Time: 8 minutes

The Left’s persecution against the majority is rising.

Sometimes when you’re asked to give a talk, you find that it’s already been titled for you. I was informed when I got the program that the title of my talk was “On the Persecution of Whites in America.” And I thought, persecution—is that really accurate? I say a lot of edgy things in my book, but persecution is a very strong word. So, of course, like any good scholar, I went to the dictionary, and I found persecution defined as “hostility and ill treatment especially on the basis of ethnicity, religion, or political beliefs.” Okay—so maybe persecution is a fair description of what’s going on here.

In my new book, The Unprotected Class: How Anti-White Racism Is Tearing America Apart, I’ve talked a lot, particularly when I’ve given interviews about the book, about not wanting to create a new victim class. I’m not here to encourage white people to whine to the refs, because the refs don’t like you anyway. But I am encouraging us to work in concert with non-white allies who are interested in equal justice under the law and will stand up for our unalienable rights that are guaranteed to all Americans in the Declaration of Independence.

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My book has been received very enthusiastically both by reviewers and the general public. More importantly, and I say this not to toot my own horn but because I think it indicates a shifting of the zeitgeist which we should all welcome, it’s received a lot of interest on the Hill. Just yesterday I was asked by a number of senior Hill staffers to give a presentation on the book. Afterwards, a staffer of a very mainstream, well-known member took me aside and said, “My boss would like to talk to you.” I spent an hour talking to him about my book, which is a clear indication that the Overton Window on this issue is shifting in some very interesting ways.

I asked myself when I decided to write the book, why write on such an unpleasant subject? Ultimately, I think it’s because we can’t really save the country without addressing this. It’s certainly not a sufficient condition, but it is, I argue, a necessary condition. What I found encouraging was talking to just about everyone on the genuine Right, and not just people who were kind enough to endorse the book like Tucker Carlson, Charlie Kirk, Victor Davis Hanson, or Peter Kirsanow, who’s about to become the longest serving member of the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights. But regular conservatives want to have this conversation. I think the Left is not ready to have this conversation, but if we’re only going to have the conversations the Left decides we’re going to have, we might as well just pack up and go home.

One question I get a lot from skeptics is, “What evidence do you have that white people are being treated badly by our current system? White people seem to be doing pretty well.” Well, first of all, that’s just wrong empirically. For those of you familiar with the work of Angus Deaton, the Nobel-prize winning economist at Princeton, and his wife Anne Case, also a distinguished economist, we find that white people in record numbers, particularly the white middle and working classes, are dying deaths of despair from alcohol, drug overdoses, and suicide.

Secondly, it depends on what you’re using as a comparison. Whites are obviously doing better in certain areas than some other groups. But if you compare whites to Asian Americans, a group the Left loves to erase in these comparisons, we’re worse off in every single category, whether it be health, wealth, or education. One of the things I talk about in my book is the average white incomes and social outcomes as compared to immigrants from Africa, South America, and Asia. Whites actually trail these immigrants pretty significantly. That’s one indication that whites are not doing well. Whites in Silicon Valley are doing well. But there’s almost nobody in America doing worse than Appalachian whites, the people who are the single most likely group to check off “American” on their census form.

Other evidence you can look at is what Steve Sailer has called “a flight from white,” or the explosion of non-white identification. We see this in a variety of different spheres. I’ll just give you one example: in 1960, there were about 550,000 self-identified Native Americans in the census. That was 0.3 percent of the population at the time. Now in 2020 we have 9.6 million, which is over 3 percent. This is not due to a Native American fertility explosion. It’s a bunch of white people with at least some traceable Native American ancestry who’ve decided that’s a much better horse to ride in 2024—and by the way, they’re not wrong to think that.

Ask any job applicant or college applicant, “Do you check the white box?” Not if you can avoid it. This is often called diversity, but as I show in my book, diverse is almost inevitably a synonym for less white. In fact, I point out a number of places where adding whites to a particular system would actually improve diversity, but nobody’s interested in doing that, because all they’re interested in is having less white people.

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The Great…

The original title of my book was somewhat impish. It was going to be called It’s Okay to Be White, and I actually got that by my editors to my slight surprise. But a couple of months later, they came back to me and said, “Sorry the sales staff says that we’re not going to be able to sell that at Costco and Barnes & Noble with that title.” The trivial thing is that if I had a book that was titled It’s Okay to Be Hispanic or It’s Okay to Be Black or It’s Okay to Be Asian American, nobody would think twice. But if I say It’s Okay to Be White, I might as well just put on my KKK hood right now. I think that’s indicative of how whiteness is viewed by society.

There are some more serious questions that I think are raised by this trajectory. What happens when an ethnic community that is largely and historically responsible, just as a matter of pure numbers if nothing else, for building American society and its institutions goes from a dominant position to being one group among many—and a legally and culturally disfavored group at that? What does a post-white America look like, especially when a post-white America actively denigrates much of the cultural, political, and social legacy that built the country? Can America and its institutions survive that kind of transformation? How do we avoid the sort of civil strife and ethnic violence that has characterized a huge percentage of multiethnic societies in the past?

We’re in the midst of a vast demographic transformation, an uncontrolled social experiment. If you looked at the 1960 census, which was right before the Hart-Celler Immigration Act of 1965 that radically transformed America’s demographics, we were about 86 or 87 percent white non-Hispanic, 10 or 11 percent African American, and 3 percent everything else, which mostly was Hispanic. Eighty percent of the latter group were native born Americans at that point as opposed to about 60 percent now, and some of whom, the Californians and the Tejanos, actually had roots in what had been U.S. territories going back hundreds of years. Compare that to where we are today, 60 years after Hart-Celler: we are now a 57 percent white non-Hispanic country. For those 18 and under, we are now a white non-Hispanic minority. This has just been a huge demographic transformation—and dare I even say it, a great replacement of whites.

Speaking of the great replacement, what we saw—because this is not just a U.S. phenomenon—in France with the recent election of National Rally is the same sort of phenomenon just on a different substrate. It is fascinating to me intellectually, because other parties in France claim to be about a lot of other things. Whether they’re literal Communists or alleged free marketers, ultimately, when the chips were down, when a gun was put to their head and they had to make a choice, their choice was to be the party of replacement—to be the party that was going to replace the French people with foreigners was the underlying principle that they would not compromise on. The Communists were willing to get in bed with the capitalists. At the end of the day, their belief in globalism, their belief in being ruled by Brussels, and their belief in replacing the French population animates those parties. Every single French party besides National Rally revealed itself to be the party of the great replacement.

Michel Houellebecq, the famous French author, comments that the Left always screams when you say great replacement, which is why I was shocked when they called it a theory; it’s not a theory—it’s a fact. I thought Vivek Ramaswamy put it well in the U.S. presidential debates. He said this isn’t some grand right-wing conspiracy theory—it’s a basic statement of the Democratic Party’s platform.

I’ve spent several years of my life living and traveling in the developing world. I was talking to an Indian gentleman here a little bit earlier in the conference, and he was telling me about what he was doing in Indian politics, and I sort of cut him short. I said, “Actually, I used to live in India, so I’m pretty familiar with the Indian political context.” I wrote for the Indian Express. (I think it’s sort of indicative that a lot of the so-called far-right people I know are actually some of the best-traveled and culturally knowledgeable people I know, and it’s because we understand and respect other cultures, which is why we want to guard the integrity of our own.) I can understand why Modi wants India to be a Hindu nation, because I want America to be a Christian nation, defined not in total but in part by its European historic identity.

I don’t think it’s possible to talk about any of this without talking about civil rights, and there are some questions on our side of the aisle as to whether we should use civil rights law or fundamentally reform it. I think the answer is both. We need to use it right now for aggressive lawfare—but we also need to fundamentally transform a set of laws that were designed for a world that no longer exists. We have a very different set of problems today, and I think that’s obviously going to be a big political lift, but I think it’s a necessary political lift.

Persecution Complex?

Finally, I want to conclude by talking about persecution. In fact, I realized that in my book I actually talk about something even perhaps more extreme. American whites are victims of a cultural genocide, and I’m suggesting this partially again to troll any leftist media who might be in the room and furiously scribbling my unforgivable hate speech in their notebooks. But I’m not saying it entirely for that purpose.

What’s the historical justification for saying such an outrageous thing? Raphael Lemkin, who’s the Polish Jewish lawyer who invented the term genocide in 1948, was working with the United Nations and formulated the Genocide Convention. He had a broader definition of genocide than what ultimately was agreed to, but his definition of cultural genocide has subsequently been picked up by a number of leftist scholars. For Lemkin, a cultural genocide consisted of the mass distribution of intoxicants, the re-education of children, forced relocation, and the destruction of important cultural symbols. I discuss in my book how each of these things could accurately describe what’s going on with whites in America right now….

Why is this all going on? It doesn’t just spring fully formed like Athena from Zeus’s head—that’s just not how social phenomena work. I think that, ultimately, this is a justification for resource distribution. The late sociologist C. Wright Mills talked a lot about the concept of a legitimating ideology. In 2024, you don’t just go up to a group and say, “Hey, I’m taking your stuff.” What you do is say, “White supremacy, white privilege, white fragility, and by the way, you’re so awful. That’s why I’m getting your stuff.” Again, I spell this out in quite some detail. In my book, affirmative action, racially punitive taxation, reparations, the Land Back movement—all sorts of re-education can be understood as ultimately being viewed through that lens.

We do have anti-white persecution in America. Of course, I’m not suggesting that somehow every white American’s life has become a dystopian hellscape out of 1984. Clearly, that’s not the case. However, one interesting first big media interview I did on the book was with Charlie Kirk. Charlie said, “Jeremy, whenever I talk to my older donors, they get a little freaked out about this. They’re like, ‘Can you say that? Is that allowed?’” Every time I go on a college campus, every white student comes up to me and says, “Thank you. This is the number one issue for me right now as a young white American.” So, I think there’s a generational divide that is happening now.

I gave an enthusiastic talk to the D.C. Young Republicans last night, and they all get it, but the good news is that we have tools to stop this persecution. We are thankfully not a 1 or 2 percent minority in this country. We’re still the majority. We still have huge numbers of Americans of every ethnic background who are interested in America’s founding ideals, principles, and the idea of equal justice under the law. I have number of folks who endorsed my book who are very obviously and visibly not white, so I think that we have potential allies in the country in the room.

We just need to be brave enough and have enough integrity to take our own side in this fight.

*****

This article was published by The American  Mind and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Biden/Obama leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

A Roadmap—If We Want It

By Charles C.W. Cooke

Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes

In the course of my work examining the original meaning of the Second Amendment, I have often had cause to sift through some of the great legal textbooks of the past. Among these, I count such efforts as A View of the Constitution of the United States of America by William Rawle, Commentaries on the Constitution of the United States by Joseph Story, and General Principles of Constitutional Law by Thomas Cooley. I have always enjoyed perusing these works, not only for their considerable explanatory value, but because, while reading them, I have gotten the unmistakable sense that their authors liked and revered their subject of choice. In our age, detailed descriptions of the Constitution are more often penned by its most aggressive critics. “Here is the system,” they say; “and here is why it shouldn’t be.” Or, even, worse: “Here is the law, and here is how my friends and I think it can be cleverly undermined.” I am happy to report that, at long last, we have an entry into the canon that fits the older, more celebratory model. That book is Yuval Levin’s American Covenant.

That Levin likes the Constitution—indeed, that he considers it to be a work of great and timeless genius—is not merely incidental to the argument he proffers. It is central to it. And yet this is no saccharine love letter. Levin believes that James Madison hit upon an extraordinarily appropriate and prescient set of rules—rules that, unlike those that would replace them, accurately account for the nature of the United States and the permanence of human nature—but he at no point allows this judgment to push him toward sentiment, boosterism, or myopia. On the contrary: Levin is worried about America, and about its Constitution. In his telling, we are unduly angry with one another, and, in almost every area of public life, we have forgotten how to use the system we were bequeathed. As a result, we are filling the presidency with men who lack the characteristics that make that office work, we are filling Congress with lawmakers who do not wish to make law, and we are fetishizing the finality of the judiciary at the expense of more democratic forms of debate. Or, to put it another way: We are not being failed by the Constitution; we are failing the Constitution.

Both practically and intellectually, this is a fraught argument to advance. Practically, it is awkward for any democratic society to accept that the people themselves are at fault. Intellectually, the charge that the people are not living up to the Constitution yields the obvious question, “Then shouldn’t we consider that Constitution to be unfit for purpose?” Levin acknowledges these problems, considers their ramifications, and then answers them in depth.

In Levin’s view, our present discontent is the product not of our constitutional order’s being intrinsically broken or hopelessly outdated, but of our having succumbed to a neither-here-nor-there arrangement that is simply incapable of making us virtuous or happy. Specifically, Levin charges that, over time, we have constructed a peculiar hybrid model of government, in which our expectations and the parties that channel them are Wilsonian in nature, but our institutions remain Madisonian. This amalgam, he suggests, does not work—and never will.

Nor, Levin argues persuasively, would giving up on our Constitution completely be likely to improve anything. Why? Well, because politics is division, and because the Madisonian system that he champions incorporates that fact into its design in a way that no other scheme can rival. It is here, in his assessment of human nature, that Levin is at his most conservative. He pushes back hard against the supposition that the political divisions that have animated Americans since the founding of the republic are shallow or fake, and that it is private corruption and architectural inertia, rather than earnest disagreement, that makes our politics fractious. Likewise, he rejects the claim that there is “a preexisting unity” in the country that is “waiting to be represented at last,” rather than “durable differences that need to be negotiated and assuaged” at all times. “An implicit premise of the Constitution,” he writes, is that “the diversity of interests and views in American society is a permanent reality” that cannot be stamped out by force or by expertise. Insofar as the Constitution is used in a manner that acknowledges that, it will work nicely.

The public is routinely presented with a peculiar bastard-child version of the Constitution that leads voters to precisely the opposite set of conclusions than the ones Levin submits.

By “used,” Levin is careful to stress that he does not solely mean by judges. Indeed, he records throughout that, while the Constitution is our highest law—and while it ought to be treated as such—its role in American life goes far beyond litigation. In this sense, Levin’s work represents an extended call for originalism in every area of our civic life. In his chapter on the courts, he acknowledges that originalism has prevailed within the judicial sphere—and that this development is salutary—but he worries that this has given those who affected that change a form of tunnel vision that has led them to focus exclusively on Article III. For the Constitution to be restored in toto, Levin insists, Americans need to understand what it is for in every area to which it applies. Accordingly, in addition to a correct understanding of the courts, they need a correct understanding of federalism, a correct understanding of the role of Congress, a correct understanding of the nature of the presidency, a correct understanding of the role of political parties, and, ultimately, a correct understanding of their rights and responsibilities as citizens. He treads lightly in this area, as is his style, but, clearly, he does not believe that enough citizens currently possess that understanding.

While he considers this regrettable, it does not necessarily surprise him. As a matter of fact, he notes that James Madison himself possessed “a kind of middle of view of the virtues of his fellow citizens,” which led him to conclude that there “was no escape from self-interest and ambition” but that “Americans, nonetheless, did take freedom, equality, and personal honor seriously.” On this, he and I agree. But I suspect that we differ a little in our estimation of how likely to come to fruition the restoration he seeks really is. I agree with basically everything Levin says. I agree with his description of where we are. I agree with the premise of his broader case: That the Constitution is the roadmap to renewal. And I agree with him on most of the particulars. With the exception of his briefly offered view that “Congress alone is empowered to decide” “how much of the federalist compromise of the Constitution should be abandoned”—I see no limiting principle there and would like to learn more about what he means—I am, in almost every way, a Levinite. Were he a sorcerer, able to instill his view of the Constitution into the hearts of the American people, I would happily acquiesce to the endeavor. Ultimately, though, I am not as optimistic as he is.

This is not dispositional. Like Levin, I am a flag-waving immigrant who, on balance, tends toward gratitude and buoyancy. Rather, it is because I seem to worry more than he does about two key drivers of constitutional illiteracy that Levin does not meaningfully address: the media, and the schools. Levin begins his book with the observation that people shape constitutions, and, in turn, constitutions return the favor and shape the people. This is correct, and there is no doubt in my mind that this process has kept America freer and better governed than any other democracy over the last 250 years. Nevertheless, that shaping process is only as good as the people doing the shaping, and it seems clear to me that the vast majority of our mediating institutions have decided in recent decades to promulgate a version of the US Constitution that simply does not exist. Were Levin’s vision to be the norm in our newspapers and universities, I’d expect to see a revival in two decades flat. Instead, the public is routinely presented with a peculiar bastard-child version of the document that leads voters to precisely the opposite set of conclusions than the ones Levin submits. That ersatz Constitution has Wilsonian assumptions about the role of each branch—but only when a Democrat is in charge; it is almost entirely driven by outcomes, rather than processes; and it allows no room for the sort of informed nuance that serves as a prerequisite to the proper understanding of our system. That being so, I would add a step to Levin’s plan. First, we must transform our elite culture; then, once the people have been given a fair chance to learn about the structure under which they live, we must prevail upon them to live up to their patrimony.

But that, ultimately, is a nitpick. Levin is an intellectual, not a sorcerer or a politician, and it is his job to describe the world as he sees it, irrespective of the political niceties. At this, he excels, and in a style that is unusual for our cynical, partisan age. Back in the 1780s and 1790s, during the debates over the ratification of the Constitution and the Bill of Rights, James Madison liked to write letters to figures whom he believed had characterized his handiwork particularly well. One such missive, written to Tench Coxe in 1789, thanked him for his “explanatory strictures” on the first ten amendments, and suggested that the prospects for ratification were “indebted to the co-operation of your pen.” That I can imagine Madison sending an updated version of these words to Yuval Levin speaks volumes about the scale of his achievement.

We have a roadmap—if we want it.

*****

This article was published by Law & Liberty and is reproduced with permission.

Image Credit: Wikimedia Commons

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Biden/Obama leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

The Long and Winding Road to Socialism

By Gabriel Gasave

Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

“The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design.” Friedrich August von Hayek

First released in 1944, Friedrich August von Hayek’s The Road to Serfdom serves as a powerful cautionary tale against totalitarianism while also presenting a robust advocacy for individual freedom and market economics. Beyond being merely a political thesis, the book meticulously examines the practical ramifications a socialist economy would encounter in addressing economic and social obstacles.

It’s crucial to recognize that during that period, Hayek was formulating his intellectual ideas amidst the backdrop of two devastating World Wars, a rising enthusiasm for socialism within academic circles, and continual predictions proclaiming the imminent collapse of capitalism.

Like the saying “The road to hell is paved with good intentions,” attributed to the French saint Bernard of Clairvaux, the book begins by analyzing how ideas that promote collectivism, while they may be laced with the noble intentions of creating a more just and equitable society, inevitably end up leading to tyranny and oppression by concentrating both economic and political power.

This is why Hayek emphasizes the indivisibility of freedom and the close relationship between economic freedom and political freedom, pointing out that any attempt to restrict the former eventually leads to the suppression of the latter.

Hayek imparts a crucial lesson on how centralized planning inevitably results in the inefficient allocation of scarce resources, leading to widespread hardship and a diminished standard of living. He warns that no one can possess omniscient awareness of all societal needs and preferences. With millions of individuals each holding only fragmented knowledge, Hayek underscores that a society built on principles of individual freedom, private property, and market economics—guided by the information conveyed through relative prices—is the true safeguard of prosperity and progress.

In his own words:

The peculiar character of the problem of a rational economic order is determined precisely by the fact that the knowledge of the circumstances of which we must make use never exists in concentrated or integrated form but solely as the dispersed bits of incomplete and frequently contradictory knowledge which all the separate individuals possess. The economic problem of society is thus not merely a problem of how to allocate “given” resources—if “given” is taken to mean given to a single mind which deliberately solves the problem set by these ‘data.’ It is rather a problem of how to secure the best use of resources known to any of the members of society, for ends whose relative importance only these individuals know. Or, to put it briefly, it is a problem of the utilization of knowledge which is not given to anyone in its totality.

He continues that individuals respond to these price signals by making decisions in a dispersed manner. Thus, Hayek contrasts centralized planning with the concept of spontaneous order. Only, he tells us, free markets generate more efficient and adaptive outcomes than any well-intentioned decision by a mastermind.

In a 1977 interview with Thomas W. Hazlett for Reason Magazine, Hayek expands on this point 33 years later:

I’ve always doubted that the socialists had a leg to stand on intellectually. They have improved their argument somehow, but once you begin to understand that prices are an instrument of communication and guidance which embody more information than we directly have, the whole idea that you can bring about the same order based on the division of labor by simple direction falls to the ground.

As for competition, Hayek sees it as an efficient mechanism for allocating resources and stimulating innovation while understanding that state intervention in the economy distorts this process and generates inefficiencies. Hayek also analyzes the role of government and the purpose of laws in society, advocating the establishment of a limited government whose main function is to protect individual rights and enforce public order, that is, to impart justice, as opposed to one that seeks to direct the economic and social life of citizens in an authoritarian manner and opposed to a genuine rule of law.

In the interview where reference is made to his book, which Hayek genially dedicated “To Socialists of All Parties,” and his interlocutor questions him about whether Britain at that time was inevitably on the road to serfdom, Hayek responded, “No, not irrevocably. That’s one of the misunderstandings. The Road to Serfdom was meant to be a warning: ‘Unless you mend your ways, you’ll go to the devil.’ And you can always mend your ways.”

Eighty years later, The Road to Serfdom remains as relevant as ever. Its warnings about the dangers of centralized planning, the vital significance of individual freedom, and the advantages of the free market still resonate in discussions about the role of the state and the economy. Let us remember the cautionary message Hayek imparted and persist in our efforts to ensure that all paths lead to one destination: freedom.

*****

This article was published by The Beacon, a publication of the Independent Institute, and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Biden/Obama leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

Race Hustlers Are Destroying America thumbnail

Race Hustlers Are Destroying America

By Jude Russo

A new book underlines the desperate straits of the nation qua nation.

The Unprotected Class: How Anti-White Racism Is Tearing America Apart, Jeremy Carl, Regnery, 256 pages.

The latter decades of the Ottoman empire are occasionally held up as a golden age of pluralism and tolerance; in some respects, they were, particularly after the British put the kibosh on the lion’s share of the Arab slave trade. The empire’s non-Turkish, non-Muslim populations were organized into millets, or “nations,” governed by the laws particular to their religious and national groups. Armenians, Syrian Christians, Greek Orthodox, a variety of Jews, Arab Catholics—all were able to practice their religions and participate in public life with relative impunity under their own leaders, who answered to the sovereign of the sublime House of Osman, sultan of sultans, khan of khans, kalif, padishah, etc., who generally had more pressing concerns than micromanaging the affairs of the millets.

The problem was that the Ottoman state didn’t end up doing the things we expect states to do very well at all. Inefficient revenue-collection techniques and the marginalization of the Silk Road as a central trade route sent the fisc into a long period of decline. The farther-flung polities notionally under the suzerainty of the Sublime Porte did more or less whatever they wanted, including committing various violations of the rights of the millets. (The Iraqi Jewish Sassoons, the great trading dynasty of the 19th century, fled Baghdad for British India because of the depredations of the Mamluks, who were so independent as to wage occasional wars on the central government in Istanbul.) Various Western powers exploited the independence of the millets to meddle in Ottoman internal affairs under the guise of “protection.” This administrative and fiscal chaos meant that the sultan had difficulty doing things like fielding a modern army, which became a serious, even thematic weakness in the First World War.

The aftermath is well known: the last-ditch Ottoman efforts to modernize and homogenize, which featured what are characterized as the first modern genocides; and the failure of those efforts, which led to the collapse of the empire. The secularism, nationalism, and official monoculturalism of the modern Republic of Turkey, particularly the enforcement of Turkish language use irrespective of ethnic background, were ultimately a reaction to the failure of the millet system. The unified nation-state is the way we moderns have balanced the particular and the universal in human society. It hasn’t been perfect, but it has worked.

In one of the characteristic backwards steps from more sophisticated to less sophisticated political systems in the past 60 years, the Western world has moved away from nationalism and embraced milletization, particularly in the face of mass immigration. Western milletization has some peculiar twists, though. First, it is everywhere inflected through the peculiarities of American racial dynamics, even in places where those dynamics are almost unintelligible. (Why were there Black Lives Matter marches in Sweden, where there is no history of African slavery and blacks make up less than 1 percent of the population?) Second, the institutions of the nation are themselves identified with “whiteness,” which is denigrated, but those institutions are then expected to be used to dole out compensatory privileges to historically disfavored millets.

Jeremy Carl, a senior fellow at the Claremont Institute, has addressed the dangerous oddities of the American millet system in The Unprotected Class: How Anti-White Racism Is Tearing America Apart. His argument is that, thanks to the civil rights regime as codified in 1964, America has undergone milletization that is totalitarian—it affects every aspect of public life—and incomplete—as applied, it does not address protections for the declining share of the population that is identified as “white.” His remedies focus on dismantling the legal structures of affirmative action and disparate impact.

It is not a comfortable book to read, but it is important. The central contradiction in our system—treating the characteristics of the American nation, from the Constitution to the English language, as manifestations of “whiteness,” and the consequent direction of institutional power inward against the institutions themselves—threatens the very substance of our shared public life. (The traders in identity politics agree with George Lincoln Rockwell that America is a white nation—they just think that is a bad thing, and use it as cover for attacking America itself.) Carl argues that, while a future in which Americans’ primary identification as American is desirable, the slide toward such conspicuous multicultural success stories as South Africa cannot be arrested so long as whites are a disfavored class and America itself is identified with that disfavor: “As people who, for better or worse, are soon to be just another patch in the American quilt, whites need to be able to speak up unapologetically for their own rights…. If we do not correct the course we are on, I fear we are headed for the civil strife and racial violence that has characterized so many other multiracial countries over the centuries, including, in the past, our own.”

Carl is fundamentally arguing for steps toward renewed national unity, rather than for white identity politics as an end per se: “That I am criticizing the way America has sacralized diversity does not mean I hate the diverse groups of people who call themselves Americans. It means I hate the social dynamics we are creating through anti-white discrimination, unfettered immigration, and a declining focus on cultural assimilation.” This is a worthy goal, but the very problems he identifies make it doubtful that this disclaimer will save him from the usual accusations. They also make implementing solutions difficult. The traders in identity politics, even when they are in power, no longer exactly think of themselves as part of the American body politic; if enough people follow them, there won’t be an American body politic left.

“Being a nation is a baffling thing; for it is wholly subjective,” Enoch Powell, himself a strenuous opponent of the color bar and race-based disparity of legal rights and privileges, wrote, “they are a nation who think they are a nation: there is no other definition.” It may be too late for our shared subjectivity.

*****

This article was published by The American Conservative and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Biden/Obama leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

The Colorblind Counterattack thumbnail

The Colorblind Counterattack

By GianCarlo​​​​ Canaparo

We prefer the term “righteous indignation” to “hatred” because we know that it is very hard to pour hatred on sin without splashing any on the sinner. Yet hatred is the right response to evil. Righteous indignation can deliver only a pulled punch; hatred, a death blow.

That blow must be carefully aimed, but if it is, we will find in delivering it a kind of joy: the joy of “finding at last what hatred was made for.” Few good men, CS Lewis tells us, ever encounter this joy. They pull their punches, fearing that their hatred is aimed, at least in part, not at evil, but at another soul.

Two men writing two books, however, have found that rare and furious joy. In their very different assaults upon the same evil idea, Andre Archie (The Virtue of Color-Blindness) and Coleman Hughes (The End of Race Politics: Arguments for a Colorblind America) have found “congruity between [their] emotion and its object,” and they rain blows on it.

Their object is the racialism that has poisoned America. It goes by different names: critical race theory, antiracism, and diversity, equity, and inclusion. Whatever it’s called, it holds that color, not character, is the locus of moral merit; that differences in material outcomes among color groups are the prime evil; that these differences come from oppression; and that to cure this oppression, society must discriminate against oppressors. In short, it holds that individuals of certain colors ought to be sacrificed to benefit groups of another color.

Hughes calls this ideology “neoracism,” and Archie, “corrosive barbarism.”

Each frames his book as a defense of color-blindness — the principle, in Hughes’s words, that “we should treat people without regard to race, both in our public policy and in our private lives.” Yet both authors are frustrated that their books are even necessary. How on earth, Archie seems to wonder, could the “noble racial tradition of color-blindness” retreat in the face of race hucksters peddling “intellectual nonsense” to “useful idiots” who go along with it to get along? How on earth, Hughes seems to wonder, could the ideas of Frederick Douglass and Martin Luther King, Jr., find themselves labeled “white supremacist”?

Hughes and Archie have shaken off the shellshock, and now stand ready to fight back. Their books are therefore better characterized as counterattacks than as defenses.

The authors pour fire and scorn on the “sophistry,” “absurdity,” “bigotry,” “defeatism,” and “nihilism,” of the “depressing and debilitating belief” that every American is defined by his race label. Both books explore the origins of this evil idea, paying special attention to the prominent race hucksters who popularized it. After that, however, the authors’ avenues of attack diverge.

Hughes attacks on logical and empirical grounds. He argues that the defining features of the racialist worldview are arbitrariness and fact-blindness. The hucksters are wrong, he reasons , because they cannot produce the quantitative outcomes that they say they want. Worse, they will harm the very people they claim to want to help, to say nothing of everyone else.

Consider the racial categories with which we’re all so familiar. They may work in casual conversation, but try to use them as the basis of policy, and you will immediately realize that they are spectacularly arbitrary. To give slavery reparations to black people, for example, you run into a host of unfixable problems. One-in-five black Americans are recent immigrants, only four-in-ten black Americans say their ancestors were enslaved in the United States, and many, like former president Barack Obama, are descendants of both slaves and slaveholders. Most vexing yet is the problem of deciding who is black. One-half? One-eighthOne drop?

And then there are the neoracists’ empirical claims about the causes and cures of racial disparities. Here, Hughes channels Thomas Sowell and launches a fusillade of data at his opponents’ myths and absurdities. If we discriminate on the basis of race, as the neoracists do, the results will be arbitrary, and arbitrary policies can’t help anyone. Instead, Hughes argues, they will “create an enormous amount of justified resentment,” and breed the “racial tribalism” that has “marred and disfigured human societies throughout history.”

The core of the problem, says Hughes, is that the race hucksters are trapped in cognitive dissonance. They say race is a social construct but enforce “the rules of race” with a zeal matched only by “old-school racists.” They decry stereotypes but use stereotypes. They demand justice but mete out injustice to punish “racial-historical bloodguilt.”

Hughes’s argument is thorough, his logic relentless, and his use of data rigorous. These strengths, however, are also weaknesses. His opponents’ arguments are neither logical nor empirical. They speak in the language of morality warped by emotion, and Hughes has responded to them in a different language.

Still, there are many people who are not in thrall to the misbegotten morality of the neoracists. They speak Hughes’s language, and his message is powerful.

This brings us to Andre Archie.

Unlike Hughes, Archie attacks the racialist worldview on ethical grounds. It is no coincidence that a professor of Greek philosophy called his book the Virtue of Color-blindness. The hucksters are wrong, he argues, because they promote ascriptive qualities over character. They assign moral worth to the body, not to the soul. In so doing, they tear at the creed and culture that sustain America and, if left to it, will “destroy completely the ordered liberty that has defined our way of life for nearly three hundred years.”

Archie’s book is aimed at conservatives. In his telling, the race hucksters successfully beat back and bottled up the color-blind principle mainly because conservatives failed to fight. Conservatives didn’t want to fight when the race hucksters falsely claimed the moral high ground. Conservatives didn’t want to be called racist.

Left unsaid by Archie, but true, is that many conservatives failed to defend color-blindness not only out of fear of being called racist, but also because they forgot how to make any arguments but utilitarian ones. And those are hard arguments to make; who has the time to read everything by Thomas Sowell?

But Archie’s point — and this is his profound contribution to a genre over-saturated with data analysis — is that data don’t matter. Even if the hucksters were right that “antiracist discrimination” would usher in a utopia of material equality, Archie would still oppose them because material ends cannot justify immoral means. There are souls within these arbitrary racial groups, and when souls are at stake, “quantitative judgments don’t apply.”

At this point, we find a potential weakness in Archie’s book: its highest authority is the ancient Greeks. Socrates, Plato, and Aristotle were three of the greatest minds in history. Their philosophical tradition served as a cornerstone of America. But what those great Greek minds said about human nature, character, and choice — about the soul — is not worth believing simply because those great minds said it, but because it was first written on their hearts by a higher authority that Archie only hints at, leaving his reader wondering whether the Greeks’ greatness alone is enough to rally wavering conservatives.

In Archie’s defense, however, because the truths that the Greeks found are written on our hearts, people will respond to them no matter what they believe about their source. Truth moves us. We can’t help it.

At any rate, it is very good luck, if luck it is, that these books came out at the same time. Like hammer and anvil, both are needed to smash what lies between them. Hughes’s book is needed because Americans have forgotten how to make moral arguments. We are utilitarians now, so empirical books remain essential. If, however, empirical books were enough to defeat racialism, then Semple, Sowell, Steele, Loury and countless other data wizards would have dispelled it ages ago. Unfortunately, empirical analysis is not enough: “The race problem is a moral one,” wrote Alexander Crummel in 1889, “its solution will come especially from the domain of principles.” Thus, a rebirth of moral reasoning is needed. Thank heaven for Archie.

Maybe, if we storm racialism from both sides, then color-blindness can retake the offensive and beat back and bottle up its foe. We might not kill racialism outright on this side of eternity, but we might just manage to make color-blindness our “North Star,” as Hughes said in a recent interview. If we do, we will have done ourselves and our country a lot of good.

But only, as Archie reminds us, if we are willing to stand up and fight. So up, and over your barricades. There is joy to be found in this fight.

*****

This article was published by AIER, the American Institute for Economic Research, and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Biden/Obama leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

The Secret Side of Facebook thumbnail

The Secret Side of Facebook

By Ralph l. Defalco III

In 2021, Facebook insiders began to leak internal documents that revealed the company’s executives knew its platform was being widely misused. Pornographers, human traffickers, pedophiles, drug cartels, and other unscrupulous users found a home on Facebook. Yet, time and time again, Facebook executives chose to ignore or minimize these problems.

The leaks, however, became the source for a series of articles by The Wall Street Journal investigative journalist and tech reporter Jeff Horwitz. His exposé—tied to the revelations of a whistleblower who eventually went public—prompted other media outlets to begin releasing The Facebook Papers with damning details of widespread abuse of the platform.

Horwitz’s new book, Broken Code: Inside Facebook and the Fight to Expose Its Harmful Secrets, is a behind-the-scenes look at Facebook. The author explores the company’s failed content quality enforcement systems, its role in promoting political zealotry and violence, the negative and even crippling effects of widespread use of social media, and the special treatment afforded celebrities, politicians, and VIPS. Broken Code includes the insights from dozens of Facebook employees who spoke both on and off the record to explain the efforts they made to rein in the worst abuses only to see their work ignored, sidetracked, watered down, and marginalized.

The North Star Metric

From its inception, Facebook and its associated platforms, WhatsApp and Instagram, were measured by one overarching metric: how often, on average, people used the platforms. “Daily Average People” (DAP) was the company’s “North Star,” and that oversimplified metric became, the author explains, an insidious trap for corporate decision-makers. “Making decisions based on metrics alone, without carefully studying the effects on humans, was reckless,” Horwitz writes. “But doing it on average metrics was downright stupid. … In the interest of expediency, Facebook’s core metrics were all based on aggregate usage.”

Horwitz makes it a point throughout Broken Code to amplify the difference between how often people use Facebook and how people use Facebook. Trolls, peddlers of misinformation, and spam farms, for example, could easily drive up usage statistics, as could bots and other programs that simply replicated puerile, pernicious, or pornographic content and reposted it to other pages on the platforms. Hype techniques, including clickbait (sensationalist headlines) and engagement bait (appeals to forward content), and Facebook’s aggressive algorithmic amplification spread content further and drove up DAP still more.

These practices, Horwitz explains, empowered inauthentic actors to accumulate huge followings by rewarding publishers with content that was either stolen, aggregated, or spun (altered in some trivial way). The author claims nearly 40 percent of all posters with significant followings and 60 percent of those posting videos used these techniques—and Facebook had no mechanisms to stop them. The result was that “products routinely garnered higher growth rates at the expense of content quality and user safety.”

The content was easily forwarded by the click of a mouse to any of Facebook’s three billion users or any of thousands of groups. Advertisers paid Facebook to target these click-worthy users and groups. And it drove Facebook’s explosive growth and billions of dollars in revenue and profits.

2016 Election

Facebook’s watershed moment, according to Horwitz, came in the wake of the 2016 elections. “The prospect that Facebook’s errors could have changed the outcome of the election and undermined democracy,” shook executives and employees—and Broken Code tracks the fallout that roiled the company’s corporate culture in the years to come.

The author describes a culture heavily invested in the company manifesto that “changing how people communicate will always change the world” was paired with “the conviction that, thanks to the wisdom of crowds, users would simply suss out falsehoods on their own and avoid spreading them. The revelations around the 2016 election had quickly given the lie to that line of thought.” A hugely woke company, the author argues, came face to face with the reality that misinformation and political diatribes spread on Facebook impacted voter’s decisions.

They also confronted the even harsher reality, Horwitz explains, that not all Facebook users came to the platform with benign intent. Some content on the company’s platforms was clearly problematic—hate speech, human trafficking, child sexual predation, advocacy for genocide and violence, and teen suicide. Employees knew mechanisms to control this content were flawed and even downright ineffective. Moreover, they knew the publishers of this vile content could target select hidden audiences by using code words that triggered users who spread it to others with the speed of the internet.

Broken Code is the inside story of Facebook and the serious and even dangerous problems of social media writ large.

Angry Emojis

Horwitz writes that “there had been no question that Facebook was feeding its users overtly false information at a rate that vastly outstripped other media.” As efforts to combat misinformation took hold, the company’s metrics began to nosedive. People stopped posting and reposting free content that was the lifeblood of Facebook.

The situation was compounded, the author explains, by growing public concern about the effects of social media on mental health. At CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s direction, the company pivoted from providing content services to offering “Meaningful Social Interactions (MSI)”—one of dozens of vacuous terms the company regularly invented. Now the new MSI metric would measure how often people engaged with content by tracking the frequency of their comments. Rushed into use, MSI was badly flawed.

It included no effort at sentiment analysis, meaning it gave equal value to a heartfelt bereavement note and a declaration of intention to piss on the departed’s grave. What mattered was not the content of the message but the fact of the comment itself. The company had already added a host of reaction emojis beyond the basic “like.” … Facebook did not care if you choose a heart or an angry face, as long as you clicked on something.

The company had built its new media platform on the baseless argument that the more users “liked” content, the more likely it was to appeal to others. A mouse click had taken the place of meaningful dialog or any attempt to explain why content had value worth sharing. People had become mere users of content. And now machine-made little emojis could stand in for the emotions at the center of real human social interactions.

The results, writes Horwitz, predictably added “an exponential component to the already-healthy rate at which problem content spread,” as “adoption of MSI turned the rarely used “angry” emoji into the bellwether of political content’s success.” The angry face provoked arguments among users, pushed even more inflammatory content to the fore, and spread it farther and faster with each agitated user’s click.

Whistleblower

Broken Code is the inside story of Facebook and the serious and even dangerous problems of social media writ large. It’s a compelling story but not an engaging one because it lacks a well-crafted narrative that draws in the reader. Much of the book lurches from one episode to the next as Horwitz shares pieces and parts of the recollections of dozens of Facebook employees. There’s a human dimension missing here as the author recounts these employees’ complex reminiscences in language loaded with tech jargon. The truly emotional side to these stories is only captured in fleeting instances.

Horwitz has an encyclopedic knowledge of Facebook executives and employees and their roles and is wholly familiar with the company’s balkanized structure of seemingly always feuding fiefdoms. But, there is no index of names and titles to help the reader through this thicket. Nor is there an organization chart, a list of acronyms, or a glossary with the names and functions of the various Facebook teams, departments, and activities that appear throughout the book.

Broken Code finally gets traction with the reader when Horwitz begins a first-person narrative of his experiences with Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen. While many of the other employees cited and quoted in the book seem to take bit parts, Haugen is at center stage in the last third of the book. The narrative here is crisp, the stakes are clear, and Horwitz’s recounting of the enormous efforts that led to the publication of the Facebook Files is a solid look at the challenges of good investigative journalism.

Horwitz describes how Haugen was disheartened to realize Facebook routinely traded off content safety for platform growth and was unnerved by the scale of what she found. The author recounts the stress, self-doubt, and isolation she experienced as she spent six months collecting thousands of internal Facebook documents. The documents detailed what the company knew about the widespread abuses it failed to check.

Haugen’s findings also led to an investigation of Facebook’s business practices with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Warned she might be sued by Facebook, and the target of a carefully orchestrated back-channel smear campaign, Haugen took her story public on a 60 Minutes broadcast. Her career in the tech industry was over.

In the end—Haugen, like many of the other employees who came forward with the grim details that fill the pages of Broken Code—dealt with both deep-seated regrets and damage to their professional careers to bring to light the problems that plagued Facebook. Theirs is the content that was never posted to Facebook.

*****

This article was published by Law & Liberty and is reproduced with permission.

Image Credit: YouTube Screenshot CSPAN

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Biden/Obama leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

Principleless, Panicked and Power-Hungry thumbnail

Principleless, Panicked and Power-Hungry

By James Allan

Pandemic Panic was a fascinating book to read, especially for a lawyer like me. It very quickly had my blood pressure way up as it reminded me of the nearly three years of governmental thuggery, heavy-handedness, imposition of idiotic and often irrational rules, and resort to lockdown lunacy. If that last sentence sounds as though I was a lockdown skeptic, full disclosure I was. From virtually day one this native born Canadian, who has lived in Australia for two decades, was an open skeptic of the lockdowns on the pages of the Spectator Australia, the British Lockdown Sceptic website (now Daily Sceptic), and once or twice in Law & Liberty in the US. I even had a couple of published peer-reviewed law articles on the topic rejected for listing by SSRN (presumably because only public health types were then deemed suitable to comment on this fiasco, and only lockdown cheerleader ones at that). Right from the start it seemed silly to me, verging on crazy, to think that in conditions of great uncertainty what you ought to do is proceed directly to some version of the precautionary principle on steroids, thereby mimicking the authoritarian response of the Chinese politburo – and in the process throw away a hundred years of data that informed the then pandemic plans of the British government (and the WHO for that matter) and that unambiguously rejected lockdowns.

The smart response in an information vacuum is to carry on as you are making changes at the margins to protect those most at risk as you wait for more information. And very early on it was known that this virus was over a thousand times more deadly to the very old than to the under-thirties. In most countries, for most of the pandemic, the average age of those dying from COVID was over the country’s life expectancy. For governments to proclaim that ‘we are all in this together’ was not true in any sense that could lead to the sort of policy response we saw everywhere in the democratic world outside of Sweden, Florida, South Dakota and a few other outliers that got their responses more or less correct (a fact that today’s cumulative excess deaths data, from start of the pandemic to today, brings home in the bluntest fashion going). Nor should it have led to the sort of massive government spending and debt and money printing that effectively (in part via asset inflation) transferred huge wealth from the young to the old and from the poor to the rich. Or that shut down schools in a way that will see many children, especially poor ones, disadvantaged for life.

So full disclosure, I came to this book very sympathetic indeed to the authors’ underlying position that the national and provincial government responses in Canada were seriously wrong-headed. The authors detail the ‘sometimes inane, often unprecedented and unusual public health measures taken over the roughly three-year pandemic period’. They recount public policy absurdities, including the Province of Quebec requiring unvaccinated people to be chaperoned in plexiglass carts through the essential aisles of big-box stores and the city of Toronto taping off the cherry blossoms and of quarantine hotel nightmares and incompetence. You can read of police heavy-handedness, sometimes more aptly described as thuggery, and of the differential treatment of anti-lockdown protesters as compared to, say, BLM protesters (both during the pandemic). Readers learn that Canada imposed a vaccine mandate for citizens to travel by plane, train or ship domestically or internationally. And that the provinces of Ontario and Quebec had some of the world’s longest lockdowns. Oh, and there are two chapters that touch on the truckers’ Freedom Convoy, especially how the Trudeau government needlessly invoked the Emergencies Act (think ‘threats to the security of Canada’, martial law type legislation) to deal with non-violent – though clearly loud, disruptive and annoying to many – truckers’ protests in Ottawa of the sort that had been dealt with elsewhere in the country using parking by-laws and the Highway Code. This emergency legislation, by the way, allowed the government to seize the bank accounts of anyone participating and assisting the convoy, which it did of many.

Having said all that, the book is very much focused on the law and the legal aspect of the governmental responses to the pandemic. The overarching approach starts with Canada’s entrenched bill of rights, the Canadian Charter of Rights and FreedomsThe two authors, both constitutional lawyers, look at how some of the key enumerated rights fared in protecting Canadians against government overreach. The book is structured so that each chapter considers a different one of the key rights provisions. For example, chapter two considers freedom of assembly, chapter eight freedom of expression, chapter seven the equality right, and so on including religious freedom and privacy rights. Moreover, in terms of running readers through some of the key decisions by the top judges in Canada (and occasionally the US) the book is a handy little primer of cases brought, their outcome, and how the judiciary treated attempts to wind back government pandemic regulations and rules. The short answer to that, of course, is that in case after case after case the judges upheld governments’ COVID measures. The Charter of Rights did nothing. Nor, for that matter, did any bill of rights in any jurisdiction in the democratic world – leave aside one or two ‘churches can open if big stores can, too’ cases in the US and Scotland. But essentially one way to read this book is as a compendium of the myriad failures as regards the attempt to beat (or at least to ameliorate or even just to take the edge off) the lockdown heavy-handedness through the courts.

Thus far thus good then. The book is interesting, informative and with an underlying sense of a pervasive disbelief at just how panicked, principleless and even power-hungry the public health and political castes were during the pandemic. Throw in most journalists too if you wish.

Yet having conceded all that, for my way of thinking the core premise of this book is all wrong. You see I am a long-time skeptic of the desirability of bills of rights and in a way that many Americans will not have encountered. In essence my view is that when you buy a bill of rights you are ultimately just buying the views of the lawyerly caste and of the unelected ex-lawyers who are the top judges. Worse, if you are outside the US there is no way to import US First Amendment jurisprudence, along with your post-WWII Bill of Rights, so that you will almost certainly end up with outcomes that downplay free speech outcomes much more than in the US. In Canada and Europe rights analysis takes place in two steps – first judges decide on the proper scope of the enumerated right and then they move on to consider whether the governmental legislation is a reasonable, justifiable and proportional inroad on it. So stage one is something of a freebie and allows judges to virtue signal because all the work is done at stage two. Worse, this proportionality analysis is at its core plastic and – much as with the claim of Lon Fuller’s hypothetical judge in his famous The Case of the Speluncean Explorers – allows its user to reach either outcome in play perfectly plausibly. You tell me the answer you want, said Justice Keen in that Fuller mock hypothetical Speluncean case, and I can use the approach to give it to you. Ditto proportionality analysis or the second stage in Canadian Charter analysis. (Of course this is not to say that rights in the US are treated as absolute. They are not. It is just to say that in American analysis there is only one step, deciding the scope of the right. This may impose slightly more constraints on the deciding judges. Maybe.)

At any rate, during the lockdowns judges in Canada (and let’s be blunt, around the democratic world) were as panicked as all the other elites. Retired UK Supreme Court Justice Jonathan Sumption may have noted early on that the authoritarian response to COVID amounted to the biggest inroads on our civil liberties in two hundred years. Yet he was a very solitary voice. Nearly all the judges were as frightened and panicked as most everyone else. There was next to no chance litigants were going to roll back governmental regulations through the courts. I said so in print at the start of the crisis and I believe events have proved that true. My take was that we would have to wait till everyone calmed down and the panic subsided and then you would see the judges discover a bit of a willingness to overturn some of these rules and regulations. But as far as the COVID years were concerned the entire edifice of human rights law, and all its accoutrements, was totally useless. Worse than useless in fact.

But I suppose my deeper objection to the foundational worldview on which this book rests is that I do not think we really should even want to live in a world where the lawyerly caste – whose political and social views the evidence today clearly shows to be an order of magnitude or more to the left of, and more ‘progressive’ than, that of the median voter’s – could decide these sort of issues through the courts. And that is true even when we strongly, even vociferously, disagree with what the government is doing, as I did throughout the pandemic. The remedy here had to be political. Elect someone who will stand up to the panic and show what should be done. If we lived in a world where unelected judges could roll back what elected governments did (however stupidly and pusillanimously) trying to deal with a worldwide pandemic then it’s not clear to me what would ultimately be left to the voters and democracy. Put more bluntly, after decades of working in university law schools around the Anglosphere and knowing the lawyerly and judicial caste very well indeed I can tell you that I fully agree with the sentiment William Buckley conveyed when he said that he would rather be governed by the first 2,000 people in the Boston telephone directory than by the Harvard University faculty. For me, make that also the lawyerly caste that gives us our top judges. The authors of this book implicitly disagree with that core sentiment of mine, though our view of the pandemic overreach is much the same. Wherever readers stand on both those issues, this is a book well worth reading.

*****

This article was published by AIER, American Institute for Economic Research, and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

The Prickly Pear’s TAKE ACTION focus this year is to help achieve a winning 2024 national and state November 5th election with the removal of the Biden/Obama leftist executive branch disaster, win one U.S. Senate seat, maintain and win strong majorities in all Arizona state offices on the ballot and to insure that unrestricted abortion is not constitutionally embedded in our laws and culture.

Please click the TAKE ACTION link to learn to do’s and don’ts for voting in 2024. Our state and national elections are at great risk from the very aggressive and radical leftist Democrat operatives with documented rigging, mail-in voter fraud and illegals voting across the country (yes, with illegals voting across the country) in the last several election cycles.

Read Part 1 and Part 2 of The Prickly Pear essays entitled How NOT to Vote in the November 5, 2024 Election in Arizona to be well informed of the above issues and to vote in a way to ensure the most likely chance your vote will be counted and counted as you intend.

Please click the following link to learn more.

Weekend Read: Review of Two Books by Alan Dershowitz  thumbnail

Weekend Read: Review of Two Books by Alan Dershowitz 

By Marvin A. Treiger

Alan Dershowitz began composing War Against the Jews: How to End Hamas Barbarism on October 8, the day after Hamas’ horrific attack. He set aside all his other projects to produce this tome in 32 days. Alan is extraordinarily well qualified for this task. He personally knows and has conferred with Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu, with President Isaac Hertzog, as well as numerous high officials in the military and government from the principal political factions.

Before examining this just-published book, some comments are for his earlier more comprehensive volume: The Case For Israel (2002). Alan is an accomplished Constitutional lawyer and here he brilliantly structures his arguments as a legal brief replete with history, anecdotes, and extensive research all duly referenced. Each of the 32 chapters begins with 4 statements that begin by making the best case for the opposition in (1) The Accusation & (2) The Accusers. He then takes them apart in (3) The Reality & (4) The Proof. 

In order to grasp the scope of this earlier examination, the title of chapter 1 is “Is Israel a Colonial, Imperialist State?” The final 32nd chapter is “Why Do So Many Jews And Even Israelis Side With The Palestinians?” His evocative summary conclusion “Israel—The Jew Among Nations,” nails the scope of contemporary Jew hatred.

This book belongs on the shelf of any serious student of Israel and the Middle East.

His recent book begins with a succinct summary of a few arguments from the earlier book and quickly moves on to the massacre (pogrom) of October 7 and the war that has followed.

He also provides a necessary history of Hamas and the Gaza regime as it relates to the overall conflict in the region. He dives into the reaction from our elite Universities, the struggles in our streets and the rise and spread of Jew hatred – a  better term, in my view, than anti-semitism which has lost the appropriate emotional charge. And, anyway, Arabs are semites (members of any of the peoples who speak or spoke a Semitic language, including in particular the Jews and Arabs), are they not?

Dershowitz makes the case for total war against Hamas that must end in their complete elimination from power of any sort. He argues that the total defeat and unconditional surrender of Germany and Japan transformed them both into reliable friends and allies. Uncompromising power and strength rather than appeasement and weakness transformed defeated Germany and Japan into allies within a generation.  Prosperity was the other critical ingredient necessary for success and the Marshall Plan laid the groundwork for that.

In the Middle East there is the notion of “the strong horse and the weak horse,” making total victory indispensable for ongoing peace even more than in Europe. Prosperity will be a bigger problem due to the cultural backwardness of the region. We can only do so much without falling into our oft-failing projects of nation-building – so that part is up for grabs. 

Dershowitz’ recent book also includes useful supplementary material: a verbatim debate between Alan and Cornel West with Sean Hannity as moderator; it also contains the text of the original Hamas Charter (1988) where they declare “Israel will exist and continue to exist until Islam will obliterate it just as it obliterated others before it.” The West’s imperial, colonial ambitions never even dreamt of such an apogee. Also included are the “amended” Hamas General Principles And Policies (2017) which were intended to soften public opinion from prior ferocious criticisms of the 1988 version.

The latter document asserts “Hamas believes that the Palestinian issue is the central cause of the Arab and Islamic Ummah (i.e., worldwide Muslim community-MT) and thus, their right to the “entire land”. Why? Because any land conquered by Islam cannot legitimately revert to any other authority. Ultimately, this would include southern Spain, etc., as well. It also explains why historically they didn’t bother to emphasize “nationalism” except to indicate regional entities. The Ummah defines Islamic rule so the concept of nationalism is in essence superfluous. That, at least, is the ideology of groups such as Hamas (a branch of the Muslim Brotherhood) and ISIS.

Arab nationalism finally arose in the Holy Land late into the 1920s in response to the growth of the Jewish community and the subsequent inflow of Arabs seeking to find work, safety and prosperity. Remember that in 1850 the first census of the Ottoman Empire found that approximately 50% of Jerusalem residents were Jews.

Dershowitz, on most questions, is a moderate Democrat with strong classical liberal and Constitutional views, especially regarding free speech and the rule of law. He declares “I will remain a Democrat and vote for Biden while seeking to marginalize the radical anti-Israeli elements in that party.”

This feels counterintuitive to me. He appears on Fox more than on other stations on many issues. Insofar as conservatism has become the guardian of classical liberalism, he is a conservative. I even began to think he was staying with Democrats to not lose them as an audience for his views. But his views, expressed in the book regarding the Judicial turmoil in Israel prior to the pogrom, convinced me that at bottom he remains part of the old Democratic Party coalition that is fearful of the right.

The controversy surrounding the Israeli Supreme Court vs. Knesset (parliament) roiled Israel in the weeks before the pogrom. This is the weakest part of the book. He admits that this section was in part compiled out of previous essays he had written on these topics. Unfortunately, in editing, bald-faced contradictions have remained in place.

For example, he states (p.94) “Indeed, the reforms (of the Court-MT) would bring Israel closer to being a pure democracy governed by majority rule. But they would endanger minority rights, civil liberties, equal rights, due process, and the rule of law. That’s why I oppose them. Israel would be a better democracy with these principles kept intact than if they were compromised by a reduction in the power of the Supreme Court to enforce them.”

Yet a few pages later (p.110) after the Knesset ruled that the Supreme Court may not rule using the “unreasonable” argument to overrule legislation, he comes to agree with this reform. Likewise, (p.98) “It may also be appropriate to eliminate the current veto that judges have over Supreme Court appointments.” In other words, the Court now appoints its successors guaranteeing Judicial tyranny as the end game. This too is a big reform. Why not have elections for Judges bringing this issue directly back to the people further distributing power?

Dershowitz, as an old time liberal, fears what he calls right-wing extremist settlers and the Court tends to represent the old guard, socialist-leaning, original Ashkenazi cohort in a demographic that is shifting rightward due also to immigration and the high birth rates of Orthodox Jews. Muslims comprise 21% of the Israeli population yet Jews are not allowed to live in any nearby Arab lands. Can this be just?

The Knesset itself, as part of a compromise, should consider reforms that compel something greater than a majority to pass legislation when opposed by the Court thus checking the Knesset’s power, preventing majoritarian tyranny and compelling a greater consensus for the truly big issues.

This will, of course, make Israeli government somewhat less efficient. This is exactly the motivation underlying James Madison’s doctrine of the balance of powers. Power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely, as those with an inkling of knowledge of human nature know very well.

You will come to your own conclusions after reading this important book which is a powerful weapon in our effort to save a great ally and the only democracy in the Middle East. Hamas must be eradicated now and forever.

Thank you, Alan, for your indefatigable efforts to inform us all and rescue the Democrats from themselves.

*****

Image credit: YouTube screenshot of the Dersh Show

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Weekend Read: From National Review to National Conservatism thumbnail

Weekend Read: From National Review to National Conservatism

By Eric Kaufmann

American conservatism has always engaged in identity politics. We are tribal creatures and a nod to our desire for identity and belonging is part of politics. While primal identities such as race or religion can lead to division, when these are sublimated into party and ideology in an attempt to “launder” such identities, they are neutralized, becoming part of a wider frame that is racially cross-cutting and checks extremism. This is the gist of George Hawley’s fascinating new book, Conservatism in a Divided America: the Right and Identity Politics.

What ideas should form the basis of conservatism? The post-1950s Republican strategy has been to lead with classical liberalism, fiscal conservatism, and military hawkishness while subtly signaling to white and Christian voters that the party is looking out for their group interests—while doing little to advance those interests. This formula succeeded in keeping the GOP in office from Nixon to Reagan to the Bushes, and its establishment continues to get its way even during the Trump era.

Whether the Republicans can continue this balancing act is an open question. The universalist, classical liberal rhetoric of the establishment period is, for Hawley, politically irrelevant in our post-Cold War age. As he acerbically notes, “Calls for individualism built on arguments about natural rights are unlikely to persuade Americans to abandon identitarian concerns.”

Content-lite Republican tribalism, however, may do the trick. The cult-like devotion to Trump and “stop the steal,” despite his limited domestic policy wins and egotism, can look more like the relationship between fans and a pro-wrestler than that of committed idealists assessing whether their leader is delivering for them. And while there are subtle associations between white, male, and Christian identities and the Republican brand, the party has been willing to embrace egalitarian tropes and reinforce progressive taboos like “the Democrats are the real racists” to pump up the tribe and score ephemeral rhetorical points. Yet, for Hawley, this circus act may possess aspects of nobility: it keeps primal identities and emotions from breaking the surface of politics.

Hawley, a young academic with seven books to his credit, is a rising star from the infinitesimally tiny universe of American political scientists who lean culturally conservative. A University of Alabama professor who hails from Sumas, Washington, Hawley has carved out a niche as, to quote an Amazon reviewer, ”An original and idiosyncratic thinker who writes original and idiosyncratic books.” Unwilling to beat the partisan drum or champion a distinctive brand of conservatism, he toggles between the modes of detached observer and engaged moderate conservative. In so doing, he pushes back on progressive left alarmism as well as the right’s pretense that it has transcended identity to ascend the hallowed realm in which toga-clad individualists approach politics from an Archimedean point.

This book does us the service of knitting together the history of postwar American conservative thought—William F. Buckley, James Burnham, Leo Strauss, Irving Kristol, and others—with highly contemporary anti-leftist or conservative writers such as Ben Shapiro, Patrick Deneen, Jordan Peterson, Chris Rufo, Christina Hoff Sommers, Oren Cass, Bari Weiss, Yoram Hazony, Rich Lowry, and James Lindsay. Many of these figures, like their Cold War predecessors, unite behind classical liberalism, opposing identity politics and, more recently, wokeness. A garnish of religion or patriotism is occasionally applied, but for many, there is little beyond midcentury individualism. While communitarians such as Deneen, Cass, and Hazony meaningfully diverge, the most prominent conservative voices at CPAC, in Congress, and on Fox News largely recite anti-Democratic boilerplate.

For Hawley, one of the key tensions in American conservatism is how to manage the dissonance between the GOP’s individualist philosophy and the identitarian motivations lying beneath the universalist surface.

Drawing on a range of political science research that shows a correlation between measures of white, Christian, and Republican identification, Hawley argues that the progressive claim that these identities matter for Republican voters contains a large measure of truth. Where he parts company with left-liberal academics is that he believes elite conservatives are sincere in their desire to keep racists and other extremists out, and are attached to classical liberal principles. They leverage identitarian anxieties for electoral purposes without ministering to or espousing them. And while conservative intellectuals have generally opposed progressive initiatives, they have typically adjusted their views to remain respectable, adhering to shifting elite conventions and norms.

The book begins with the National Review circle in the fifties around editor William F. Buckley. These mid-century conservatives were centrally concerned with the Cold War and desperately sought to rescue the economic liberalism of pre-New Deal America. When it came to liberal cultural initiatives, the right was skeptical and instinctively opposed. Even though proportionally more Republicans than Democrats voted for the Civil Rights Act, this is not the case when you screen out the Dixiecrats, a largely autonomous entity by this time.

Hawley notes that an early civil rights measure, California’s Proposition 11 in 1946, which would have made it illegal for employers to discriminate on the basis of race, was soundly defeated, with greater opposition in Republican areas. In a similar vein, Buckley’s 1957 editorial, “Why the South Must Prevail” made the argument that African-Americans were not “advanced” enough to deserve the vote, though in time they could be “enlightened” so as to be able to do so. This said, in the following issue of the magazine, Brent Bozell took the view that if this standard were to be applied it must hold equally for less educated whites. He argued against Buckley that the segregationist position was “dead wrong” and would harm the conservative cause. There was no single editorial line.

As the Civil Rights movement progressed, the conservative stance shifted from ambivalent resistance to the new legislation to the view that desegregation was the right approach for government and public schools, but businesses should remain free to discriminate. Freedom of association and federalism were key constitutional principles that should not be superseded by equality law. More recently, Chris Caldwell argues that the Civil Rights Act, in permitting the principle of equality to override these classical liberal cornerstones of the Constitution, has fundamentally altered the basis of American law and, by extension, culture.

Hawley asks us to imagine an alternative scenario in which conservatives and the Republican Party leaned into an explicit racial appeal. … Instead, the intellectual and political right endorsed civil rights [and] kept extremists out of the party. For this they have received no credit from liberals.

By the mid-60s, the intellectual right had, in Hawley’s estimation, “conceded the moral high ground” on Civil Rights and, in addition, became concerned that perceived American racism could damage the country’s soft power in the fight against communism. Conservatives now viewed the early Civil Rights movement as a just cause that came to be supplanted by Black Power radicalism and affirmative action in the late 60s.

Progressives often paint with a broad brush, perceiving conservative actions through the Manichaean lens of racism. This is where Hawley, who is outside the left’s echo chamber, offers a more granular perspective. He asks us to imagine an alternative scenario in which conservatives and the Republican Party leaned into an explicit racial appeal, embracing the white superiority of a Wallace or Thurmond. This would have unlocked a flood of southern votes. Instead, the intellectual and political right endorsed civil rights, kept extremists out of the party, only elliptically signaled identitarian appeals, and sought to retain elite respectability. For this, they have received no credit from liberals.

Hawley makes a similar point with regard to Trump and white nationalism. Again, Hawley has done some of the most important work on this topic because, though a critic of the alt-right’s violent and exclusive vision, he does not feel the need to tip his cap to the progressive claim that we are always just one rally away from Hitler’s Germany or Bull Connor’s Alabama. He is thus able to smudge black-white narratives into more fine-grained shades of grey to help the reader grasp the nuanced dynamics of the far right. He nicely parses the distance between the ethnostate extremism of a William Pierce and the still-violent but conventionally patriotic appeal of many January 6 rioters or Proud Boys. The Capitol Riot was neither an insurrection, (that is, ”the worst attack on our democracy since the Civil War”) nor ”a normal tourist visit,” but a riot in which a small number of participants possessed insurrectionary fantasies. Much more interesting than this stale debate, observes Hawley, is the fact that the alt-right was virtually absent from the January 6 affray because doxing and lawsuits had successfully neutralized it.

Hawley winds through sections on religious conservatism, national conservatism, the Intellectual Dark Web, and wokeism, culminating in an intellectual humility that is rarely found among academics or journalists: “This book would probably be more successful and controversial if I could offer some kind of plan for conservatives. … Unfortunately, I remain as perplexed as I was at the start of this project.” He grasps the importance of identity for Republican voters, expresses frustration at the emptiness of some of the party’s mantras, yet wonders whether the “noble lie” of colorblind individualistic Americanism may in fact be the least worst option.

I applaud this kind of candor, and the nuanced, empirically-informed analytical frame that Hawley brings to bear on his subject matter. His engaging intellectual and social scientific tour de force helps the reader grasp how the new generation of conservatives and classical liberals is building on the foundations laid by previous generations.

The account focuses on the National Review circle and the post-1950s conservative movement. This is understandable, given its continuing influence on American conservatism. That said, I think the case can be made that the period from the fifties to 2015 may not last. As Hawley notes, most of the National Review clique were Catholic or Jewish, as were the neoconservatives and theocons. This, at a time when, according to the National Election Study, such groups made up only a quarter of the population and 10 percent of 1960 Republican voters. This was a very unusual group, arguably only weakly connected to the traditions of the provincial Protestant majority that supplied the vast bulk of the party’s voters and politicians.

Hawley also neglects virtually the entirety of what I elsewhere term the ”left-conservative” tradition. Prior to the twentieth century, extending into the 1920s, the opposing factions in American politics could better be described as left-conservative versus laissez-faire. Left-conservatism, springing from the post-Civil War agrarian populism of the Grange and Alliance movements and fin-de-siècle Progressivism, could best be described as restrictionist on immigration, anti-urban, and anti-Catholic, “dry” on the alcohol question, interventionist in the economy and society, and supportive of women’s suffrage. Unions like the Knights of Labor and the American Federation of Labor came out squarely in favor of immigration restriction between the late 1880s and 1920s.

A strain of romantic nationalism is also a neglected part of the conservative story, encompassing the Anglo-Saxonism of Founders like Jefferson, nineteenth-century writers such as Emerson, historians like Francis Parkman and Teddy Roosevelt, and artists like those of the Hudson River School. This thread resurfaces with Regionalist (American Scene) art in the 1930s, sponsored by the New Deal and commercially popularized by Time-Life features and Associated American Artists lithographs. The left-modernist avant-garde around Partisan Review consciously attacked the Regionalists as fascists in the late 30s, successfully marginalizing key figures such as Thomas Hart Benton or Frank Lloyd Wright from the New York intellectual elite. Others, like Benton protégé Jackson Pollock, were induced to abandon Regionalism for abstract expressionism. This was a major defeat for this “revolt of the provinces” and its brand of American cultural nationalism.

More recently, a handful of writers—Christopher Lasch, John Judis, Michael Lind, Mickey Kaus, Nathan Glazer—have criticized both capitalism and expressive left-liberalism, defending the nation and calling for reduced immigration. They are the heirs of the Populist-Progressive and Regionalist traditions. To a large extent, the populist backlash against the Republican establishment that produced Buchanan and then Trump came from voters tired of being ignored on immigration and other cultural nationalist concerns while the expressive individualist preferences of urban coastal elites predominated.

The tension between the GOP’s classical liberal elite and its communitarian and tradition-minded base continues. While Trump has reshaped the party, Hawley correctly observes that its policy agenda has remained conventional. Commercial interests and established lobby groups continue to punch above their weight. It may be that Republican voters are only after a cheerleader who can fire up the crowds and provide a communal identity while politicians’ day-to-day business continues to concentrate on tax cuts over cultural conservatism. The identitarian anxieties this book so adeptly highlights may, once again, merely flow towards the partisan reality TV show while power continues to reside with the party’s economic liberals.

Will party politics be sufficient to keep the conservative masses content? Ronald Reagan naively delegated the setting of school history standards to a group of mainly progressive academics who swiftly subverted it. He granted amnesty before seeing any evidence of effective border control. Neither culture nor immigration were priorities in his administration, which focused on a conventional economic and foreign-policy agenda. These problems have metastasized. Large numbers continue to cross the southern border while Critical Race Theory and gender ideology consolidate their grip over schools and institutions, remaking the consciousness of future generations.

The next two years may indicate whether conservatives are genuinely able to alter the direction of American culture and institutions. If they can, it would mark a decisive break from a half-century in which movement conservatism has presided over an accelerating shift to the cultural left.

*****
This article was published by Law and Liberty and is reproduced with permission.

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Give The Gift Of True American History With These Wonderful Biographies For Children thumbnail

Give The Gift Of True American History With These Wonderful Biographies For Children

By Joy Pullmann

Photo credit: Joy Pullman/The Federalist

Everyone was reading the Heroes of Liberty books in my home for Thanksgiving, from the early elementary kids to their twenty-something aunts and uncles to their grandpa.


After I opened a box containing the children’s history series Heroes of Liberty and set the books on the playroom table, I hardly saw five of my six kids for the next three days. (My sixth is 2 years old and never sits still.) They were all gobbling down the beautifully illustrated biographies of notables such as Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett, Harriet Tubman, and Alexander Hamilton, pitched at ages 7 to 12 — exactly the ages of my oldest four.

Even though my children are notorious readers because we don’t allow them screen time except for Monday movie night, this was still a slightly startling development. Usually, I have to carefully source books for my kids by interest and age. Even low-screen kids like mine turn up their noses at certain books, according to each one’s persnicketies. This series, however, captured the attention of every one of my readers. And not just them.

When several dozen people filled my home for the long Thanksgiving weekend, the phenomenon repeated among all ages. Everyone was reading the Heroes of Liberty books, from the early elementary kids to their twenty-something aunts and uncles to their grandpa. They sat in the living room passing the volumes around like a funny cat video. Except these held their attention far longer and gave them far more meaningful scope for thought.

Kid-Attractive and Sturdy

The series consists of well-bound, engaging, inspiring, and accurate biographies with child-attractive illustrations. They have a high-quality look and feel. As a mom of kids who read books to bits, I know that the strong hardcover binding will help these books last, hopefully all the way to my grandkids.

I prefer a slightly more elegant and detailed illustration style, but I’m unusual in my strong taste for the traditional. It makes sense for the illustrations in these books to meet at the intersection of quality comic book and animation. It is certainly several steps up in quality from the illustrations I like least in children’s books: those that imitate the artistic efforts of preschoolers, who have the excuse of undeveloped fine motor skills.

The poor bindings and illustrations of many good older books I regularly introduce to my kids often repel them before they even open the cover. This series cleverly attracts children even if its pictures don’t rise to Sistine Chapel-level artistic standards. If I had to choose between the two artistic possibilities, I’d make the same choice as the series editors, because there’s no point in putting out a book people don’t read.

Extremely High Production Quality

Also delightfully surprising was the amount of text these books contained, and how interesting the fact-driven storytelling was. I’ve read thousands of picture books with my children and hundreds of children’s books about American history. This series is competitive with the best I’m aware of, if not the best of their own category. It is delightful to see something at this level of quality from a smaller and conservative-marketed publisher, due to the cliché of religious and conservative materials often not being quality-competitive with big corporate.

There are indeed good history books for kids (try the Cornerstones of Freedom series; a few are politicized but most are solid), but I don’t know of any this good that provide a toe-for-toe counterpart to the heavily politicized junk biographies filling library shelves in the children’s history section. That is why I also set aside my reservations about writing biographies of living people such as Amy Coney Barrett — those already exist of leftist counterparts like Ruth Bader Ginsburg, so they ought also to exist of exemplary Americans such as Barrett. These biographies should truly be on every school library’s shelves.

If your public library doesn’t already have these and allows patrons to request titles as mine does, request that your local library purchase this set. Also, or alternatively, buy your own if you’re able — you won’t regret this investment in your family’s self-education. Since this series is sadly less likely to land on those shelves due to the library and teaching profession’s deep political bias, parents, grandparents, and others have an obligation to provide children good histories when our corrupted public institutions will not.

Honest about American History

Like me, the Heroes of Liberty editors are clearly not interested in replacing leftist propaganda in children’s history with conservative propaganda. The series does no propagandizing, as I (perhaps foolishly) worried given its affiliation with conservative personalities. The books instead simply state true and compelling facts in an easy-to-follow story form and let the truth speak for itself.

Here’s an example from the Harriet Tubman biography in the series: “…blacks were not only free in Philadelphia,” where Tubman escaped from slavery. “They were also active in public and religious life. The city was home to the Pennsylvania Society for the Promotion of the Abolition of Slavery, the oldest anti-slavery society in the country. Its first president was Benjamin Franklin.”

As mentioned, these are all simple and simply stated facts. Yet in themselves they undercut several false narratives about race and American history, including that black Americans lack agency, and that the American founders were wholesale slavers and the Constitution they produced a “pro-slavery document.”

It’s utterly refreshing. These books destroy false historical narratives without displaying bitterness or bias and without fulfilling the lies and smears always launched against such efforts, such as claims that conservatives “don’t want to talk about slavery or America’s sins.” When appropriate, these books absolutely do so. The Tubman biography, for example, is not at all shy about illustrating the horrors of slavery in age-appropriate detail. In fact, it does an exemplary job of educating about American chattel slavery.

Here’s another example of that from the Hamilton biography: “Then there were also the slave markets where human beings were bought and sold, like cattle, in plain sight. Young Alexander saw it all. And he never forgot what he saw. It all shaped who he would become.” On the same page as this text is an illustration of a slave auction.

Although the books do not shy away from tragedy in their subjects, both personal and national, they also are deeply hopeful because they show how these great Americans worked to rise above the inevitable tragedies of life. This is why biography is known as an inspirational genre, even when it necessarily treats of difficult subjects. At its best, biography reveals human nature and ideally human greatness amid life’s suffering and sometimes crippling constraints. Very little better reading material can be made available to all, but especially children, who like all of us need such examples to look toward as they grow.

Definitely Worth Buying

I’ll admit, I was skeptical of this series until I looked at them. Now I and my children are dedicated fans. My 7-year-old, whom I required to tell me what he had learned in exchange for giving him the next book in the set, summed up with this: “If you stop reading anywhere, it’s a cliffhanger.”

It’s refreshing as a parent to be able to trust the writers and publishers of a book so I don’t have to pre-read, scrutinize, and pre-emptively guard my children’s minds from those who seek to prey upon them with popular lies. It’s refreshing to learn facts about my beloved country and its wonderful people that celebrate the human spirit and especially its peculiar American expressions. It’s refreshing to let my guard down and just enjoy reading about American history with my children from a trustworthy source that isn’t trying to push us in any direction politically, but just to tell true human stories of our ancestors and their dreams, failures, and achievements.

The review copies the Heroes of Liberty team sent me will be donated to a K-12 school library to encourage, educate, and inspire as many children as possible. We will be buying the forthcoming books as they arrive and donating those, too — after we’ve all gobbled them up in our living room. For Christmas, birthdays, and beyond, the Heroes of Liberty team is offering Federalist readers an amazing 20 percent off with the special code FED22.

Quite frankly, I would go with the 12 books for $129 or all 14 currently published for $159 Christmas specials — that’s a ridiculous steal for brand-new hardbacks, and the series is worth it. It’d be a wonderful and enduring present for a special child or family in your life. The two-year book-of-the-month subscription offers a similar value with the bonus of your recipient getting to look forward to personalized mail each month — something my kids absolutely adore.

*****

This article was published at The Federalist and was reproduced with permission.

Joy Pullmann is executive editor of The Federalist, a happy wife, and the mother of six children. Here’s her printable household organizer for faith-centered holidays. Sign up here to get early access to her next ebook, “101 Strategies For Living Well Amid Inflation.” Her bestselling ebook is “Classic Books for Young Children.” Mrs. Pullmann identifies as native American and gender natural. She is the author of several books, including “The Education Invasion: How Common Core Fights Parents for Control of American Kids,” from Encounter Books. Joy is also a grateful graduate of the Hillsdale College honors and journalism programs.

Weekend Read – Bibi: His Story thumbnail

Weekend Read – Bibi: His Story

By Neland Nobel

Editors’ Note: Netanyahu is right now in the process of forming a new government.

Bibi, of course, is Benjamin Netanyahu, the longest-serving Premier in Israel’s history.

This almost 700-page volume (Bibi: My Story) covers his incredible career as well as many interesting historic takes on Israel, foreign policy, US relations, US political figures, and the history of his remarkable family.  If you have an interest in history and current affairs, it is a must-read.

Born in 1949, Bibi grew up in both Israel and America.

His father was a noted historian and a specialist in the Spanish Inquisition. He was an early Zionist working on the founding of the state of Israel.

Zionism had a dominant socialist streak in it, but the Netanyahu family came from the more conservative minority Jabotinsky wing.  This was reflected early in the divide among the armed revolutionaries with the socialists largely in the Haganah and the conservatives in the Irgun.

Despite the early leadership being mostly from the socialist wing, Bibi’s father was selected to go to the United States to help form public opinion.  The senior Netanyahu felt America, not Britain, was the rising power, and hence public opinion in the US must be altered before politicians would pay attention.

Initially, he could not get much attention from the dominant Democrat Party in the US because both the WASP-dominated State Department and the Roosevelt Administration were opposed to an independent Israel.  They feigned concern about Britain’s declining empire and influence in the mid-east while at the same time pressuring Britain to give up her empire elsewhere.

Here, the book cuts some new historic ground most will not be familiar with.  The consensus view (especially among liberal American Jews), was that support for Israel was largely the creation of Democrats, especially Harry Truman.  That is not quite what happened.

Zionists early on felt that to get US support, it had to be a bipartisan effort.  After being rebuffed by Democrats, they approached Republicans and found an ally in the rising conservative leader of the party, Senator Robert Taft from Ohio.  Thus, the first public declaration in support of an independent Israel is to be found in the 1944 Republican Party platform.  The Democrats followed later.  It is true Harry Truman, who read his Bible seriously, did support the founding of Israel against the advice of the State Department, but Republican support came earlier and was just as necessary.

Bibi spent a good deal of his youth and high school days around Philadelphia.  He was both a jock and a nerd.  While excelling at soccer, he also graduated in the top 1% of his class.

At age 18, he went back to Israel for military service while his father maintained his professorship in a few American colleges.  Bibi had been accepted at Yale, but military duty came first.

He came back to the US to finish college after military service but switched from Yale to MIT.

In the military, he became a commander in “The Unit”, or Israeli Special Forces.  His older brother Yoni, who he admires greatly, did so as well.

Bibi was wounded during a raid to rescue hostages taken on a Belgian airliner, and his older brother Yoni was killed during the dramatic raid to rescue hostages taken to Entebbe, in Uganda.

Therefore, it is clear that love of God, family, and country was not a slogan for Bibi, it was his life. He put that life at risk multiple times, conducting dozens of special operations against terrorists.

He knows terrorism, upfront and personally.  For him, this is not a theory, but literally a question of life or death.  Such encounters tend to focus the mind, and you get a sense early on, that this is a serious man.  It would prepare him for things to come as he later would clash with both Israeli and American politicians.

The book covers a very interesting history of the War in 1956, the stunning victories in 1967, and the almost fatal Yom Kippur War in 1973.  Much of this has to do not only with Israeli politics but the off and on again relations with the US through successive administrations.  In the coverage of Israeli politics, one finds so many striking parallels with what has gone on in the US.  One theme that dominates Bibi’s 40-year-plus career is the unstinting bias and animus against conservatives in the Israeli press.  The other is the political theatre constantly pulled by the Left, which echoes similar movements in the US.

In 1973, it became clear that Arab forces were going to attack, but Golda Meir and the Labor Party felt that unlike in 1967, they would not make a pre-emptive strike.  They felt that if Israel were to act that way again, they would lose support in the US and the UN.  That bet to please world public opinion came within a hair of losing the nation and plunging the Jewish people into annihilation. Once again, he served, this time in the 1973 War.

After the war, the Likud Party was formed to avoid Labor’s romantic visions again destroying the country and Bibi began to rise within its ranks.  He came back to the US to serve as Israel’s Ambassador to the UN, won a seat in the Knesset (parliament) in 1988, and later became Deputy Foreign Minister.

He became Prime Minister and served from 1996-1999.

The parallels are eerie to American politics in Netanyahu’s two terms as Premier, even down to the granular detail of having his personal residence invaded by police, the intelligence services being turned against him,  success at building a large security fence, dealing with an invasion of migrants, endless investigations and harassment, all the way to the poor treatment of his wife by the Israeli press. Then there was the ugly smear that critics of the Olso Accords and Rabin (Bibi and Likud) were guilty of creating an “atmosphere of hate” that led to Rabin’s unfortunate assassination. It is almost as if the future attacks on Donald Trump were first modeled by the Israeli Left and subsequently adopted by Democrats. 

That Netanyahu could prevail against these same forces that plague American conservatives is a story worth studying by conservative political leaders in the US.  Reading this, you realize how brutal the politics are in Israel compared even to the US, especially since they have a parliamentary system, with multiple quarreling political parties that can bring down a government at any time.

But as you read the book one thing comes through: despite all the attacks, Netanyahu got big things done for his country.

A rival of Ariel Sharon, he was brought into the Likud government and served in what arguably would be his most important post, that of Finance Minister.  With the help of Israeli and the US Nobel Prize-winning economist Milton Friedman, he painfully started the conversion of Israel from a socialist, labor union-dominated, monopoly-prone welfare state to a free market economic powerhouse.

Later in his second term as Premier starting in 2009, he completed many other economic reforms.  One, in particular, was making Israel a leader in cyber security.

A tiny, new, water-starved nation, besieged and threatened on all sides, plagued by terrorism, became a “start-up nation”, a high-tech mecca that now has per capita income higher than France and the UK.

His economic reforms have proven a great success.  However, the struggle for security and with US liberals continues to this day.

Many US leaders always seem to look at the Middle East as a real estate deal gone bad.  All problems are based on the centrality of the “Palestinian”-Israeli conflict that can only be solved by Israel making land concessions eventually creating a “Palestinian state”.

Netanyahu sees it rather as a conflict between Western values and radical Islam.  He suggests there is no use negotiating with terrorists that don’t even recognize your right to exist. Moreover, it is hard to argue, that attempts by Iranians to assassinate Saudi leaders, civil war in Iraq, civil war in  Syria, or Muslims killing Christians in Africa, have anything to do with the presence of a tiny Jewish country.  Nor could it have much to do with the Pakistani and Indian conflict or the tragic history of Afghanistan.

The problems that lie within Islam are what plague peace in the Middle East, not Israel’s existence.

In and out of power, Bibi came back and served from 2009-2021, thus his combined terms make him the longest-serving Premier in Israel’s history. This long period of leadership allows the reader to see Bill Clinton,  H.W. Bush, George Bush, Barak Obama, and Donald Trump conducting their respective foreign policies, and their individual temperaments.

Clinton and Obama directly involved themselves in the Israeli elections.  This included funding the opposition and the dispatch of personal campaign staff to directly defeat Likud and Bibi.  Understanding this, the constant bleating by some US politicians about “foreign interference” pales in comparison to what they actually did during the Israeli elections.

The most hostile, was Barak Obama, who fully engaged the theory that it was the mere presence of Israel and its real estate, that was causing the problem.  He viewed Israelis as “colonizers”, pushing indigenous Arabs aside. He never understood the Jews were there first, thousands of years before Mohammad was born. He pushed hard to earn his Nobel Peace Prize by advocating “not one brick”, or no new construction of settlements.  This was true, especially in Jerusalem.

Bibi would say this is not a “territory”, this is our capitol and holy city to Jews.  What would the US think if some foreign power dictated what could, or not be built, in Washington, D.C?

Obama believed these building restrictions would bring Hamas, Fatah, and other terrorists to the peace table?  But as in the past, more concessions on land brought more terror and more demands. Obama’s arrogance and ignorance were astounding.   At one meeting, Obama dresses down Bibi and suggests that Israel should not cross him. Why?  Because Obama had dealt with tough street gangs in Chicago in his function as a “community organizer”.  Imagine talking that way to the longest-serving elected official in Israel, a war hero, who personally has had to kill terrorists.  Reading some of this, just makes your blood boil.

American officials, always eager for good press, forget about the cost because they did not feel it.  For example, in the second Intifada, Israel lost over 1,000 civilians to terror.  Another 8,000 or so were injured. Buses were blown up, pizza parlors shot up, and weddings gunned down. If the US had lost equivalent numbers adjusted for population, in that one period we would have lost about 37,000 people, compared to the 3,000 or so on 9/11, which set our nation up for a 20-year war.  Yet, Israel was often criticized for striking back after taking large losses to terrorism.

However, holding bipartisan support for Israel had to come first, and Bibi had to bite his tongue. But Obama’s plans to allow Iran to develop nuclear weapons went beyond what could be tolerated. Bibi felt Israel could survive the terror, but not a nuclear Iran. Invited by the Republican Speaker of the House John Boehner, Netanyahu gave one of the most stirring speeches ever delivered by a foreign dignitary to Congress.  He said it was better to have no deal with Iran, rather than the bad deal being pushed by Obama.  It moved public opinion and Obama never could submit his proposal as a treaty.

Fifty Democrats refused to attend the speech, Nancy Pelosi turned her back, and Joe Biden arranged an absence.  But as you can see, it struck a chord with most in Congress.  If you don’t remember this speech, it is presented below and is worth your time.  It gives you a measure of the man.

Of course, Iran and its nuclear development is once again a matter of top priority.

Bibi had much better relations with Donald Trump.  Both felt that Israel was not “causing” middle eastern strife, but rather strife among nations in the middle east was causing the Arab/Israeli problem.  Hence the substantially different approach of the Abraham Accords, and new treaties of cooperation between Arab countries and Israel, with or without the Palestinian radicals.

Many now feel Iran is a greater threat to them and seek an alliance with Israel against the Iranian threat.

There is so much in the book about the history of the region, the truly nasty nature of Israeli politics, and the relationship between America and Israel, that it is hard to summarize.  What does come out quite clearly is that Benjamin Natanhayu is one remarkable man and a tremendous leader.  Now in another crisis with the US and Iran, he may be just about to come back again in a time of turmoil, to lead his nation once again.