Calling Europe’s Floods ‘Climate’ is Unscientific Propaganda

“When all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.” 


To the warming-Left, every natural weather event looks like “climate.”

Europe has been hit by devastating floods with the death toll reaching 188 and rising.  Of course the usual suspects are exploiting this genuine, heart-rending tragedy to advance their climate agenda.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that Germany must “be faster in the battle against climate change.”

“Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo said the link with climate change was clear.”

No less an expert than teenage high school dropout Greta Thunberg posted:

Deadly heatwaves, floods, storms, wildfires, droughts, crop failures…  This is not “the new normal.”

We’re at the very beginning of a climate and ecological emergency, and extreme weather events will only become more and more frequent.

After the catastrophic recent developments – especially in Western Europe – everyone seems to be talking about the climate emergency, and rightly so. But as soon as these tragedies are over we’ll most likely forget about it and move on like before.  Unless we treat the crisis like a crisis all the time, we will not be able to halt the climate emergency.

All three of them, along with the rest of the politicians, media and pressure groups attributing Europe’s flooding to climate are shamefully wrong.

Does anyone rationally believe that Europe’s floods, or the heatwave in the western U.S. for that matter, were meaningfully worse because the temperature of the Earth warmed slightly, far less than climate models projected, almost entirely last century?

Australia’s intrepid Joanne Nova did her usual no-nonsense job of showing that Europe’s floods, devastating though they may be, are historically normal. In fact, in 1714 Europe flooded on Christmas Eve killing 14,000!  “It’s as if European history doesn’t exist,” she writes (posted at CFACT.org).

Every so often Europe’s rivers will inevitably flood.  The flooding will be worse when, as happened this time, pressure systems leave the weather lingering in place, rather than pushing the storm rapidly through.  This is how Hurricane Dorian devastated the Bahamas two years ago.  This type of extreme weather event cannot be prevented through taxation, redistribution, carbon trading, windmills, solar panels, or electric vehicles.

We can, however, protect people and property from extreme weather through forecasting, early warning, preparedness and response.

This is where Europe’s bureaucrats devastatingly dropped the ball.  This is the preventable man-made disaster.

The London Times reports that the reason for the flood’s terrible loss stems from  a “monumental failure of the warning system.”  Excerpts via the U.K.’s GWPF at Climate Depot:

The first signs of catastrophe were detected nine days ago by a satellite orbiting 500 miles above the tranquil hills around the Rhine river. 

Over the next few days a team of scientists sent the German authorities a series of forecasts so accurate that they now read like a macabre prophecy: the Rhineland was about to be hit by “extreme” flooding, particularly along the Erft and Ahr rivers, and in towns such as Hagen and Altena.

Yet despite at least 24 hours’ warning that predicted, almost precisely, which districts would be worst afflicted when the rains came, the flood still caught many of its victims largely unawares…

“People should have been receiving warnings; people should have understood the warnings. It’s no use having massive computer models predicting what’s going to happen if people don’t know what to do in a flood.”

Instead, the overwhelming majority of people in the path of the floods carried on with their everyday lives, oblivious to the danger, as the waters began to rise.

Western Europe had all the infrastructure it needed to protect its people.  It failed to use it.

Don’t let Europe’s failed bureaucracy wiggle off the hook by shifting the blame to “climate.”  Europe was going to flood whether you drove to work and used electricity or not.  The weather warnings were clear, but not shared with the public.  Tragic.

There are a few particularly onerous weasel words the global warming campaign uses when natural disaster strikes.  Warming makes extreme weather “more likely” and “more severe,” they say.  The fact that global temperature did not make the disaster meaningfully more likely or severe they leave out entirely.  This is where the media fails its responsibility and declines to ask the relevant questions.

The New York Times reports that team warming is planning to use “rapid attribution” of natural weather events to climate in an attempt to preempt those of us prepared to present the scientific and historical evidence that falsifies their claims.

That’s how human behavior leads to weather that kills — as it did in Europe.

COLUMN BY

Craig Rucker

Craig Rucker is a co-founder of CFACT and currently serves as its president.

EDITORS NOTE: This CFACT column is republished with permission. ©All rights reserved.

Three Absolute Truths About The Climate

CLIMATE: The prevailing influence or environmental conditions characterizing a group or period.

“In the beginning when God created the heavens and the earth…”Genesis 1


Climate Change?

In his column “The Magical World of ‘Climate Change’” Hadley Arkes wrote:

“Climate change” gives the Left a “moral” code, a kind of pseudo religion, without the reasoning that animates true religion.

Arkes noted:

The Left may reject moral truth, but they want something to feel righteous about, and they do want to ring condemnation for their adversaries.  “Climate change” has given them a “moral” world nicely detached from those vexing moral truths, and a kind of pseudo-religion, bereft of the weave of reasoning that runs through the religion we have come to know.

Environmentalism is a “cult” that is neither science or religion. It is a way for individuals to feel good by trying to save the planet from global cooling and/or global warming to actually trying to control the climate by controlling themselves and others.

QUESTION: How are environmentalists trying to control the climate?

ANSWER: By controlling the lives of people.

The environmentalist movement, and those elected officials who support it, do so by controlling people and their day to day lifestyle choices.

Hence we see the growth of high priced organic foods, the pushing via government incentives and regulations forcing the use of solar and wind power and, of course, the push for all electric vehicles. None of these incentives, policies or regulations have had any significant impact on the climate. In fact they are doing more harm than good, e.g. the brown outs in California and the ongoing power outages in Texas due to wind turbines freezing.

The problem is that all foods are organic, even additives are organic. Both solar and wind power are unreliable sources of energy because the wind stops blowing and the sun goes down. Finally, electric cars require energy to recharge and 90% of America’s energy comes from fossil fuels, oil, natural gas, coal and nuclear power plants.

The Three Absolute Truths About The Climate

A good friend of mine, John Casey, told me three absolute truths about the earth’s climate.

John L. Casey is one of a few, if not the only U.S. climate and solar researcher, to have correctly predicted the Sun’s energy output based on sun spots. John’s research led to the creation of the The Cold Truth Initiative.

Here are three absolute truths about the climate:

  1. The climate changes.
  2. These changes in the climate follow natural cycles.
  3. There is nothing mankind can do to change these natural cycles.

No matter what policies are enacted the climate will not change because of them. However, the climate does and will continue to change. We have morning, noon and night. During the day the temperatures will vary. We cannot control the weather. When it rains we cannot stop the rain. When we have cyclones, hurricanes and tornadoes we cannot by anything we do change these from happening.

Reducing CO2 emission’s is harms us more than helps us. For you see CO2 is plant food. Plants, and therefore a green planet depends on the CO2 we breath out and the emissions from our vehicles, power plants and yes even cow flatulating.

So What Can We Do?

What we as individuals can and must do is to be good stewards of planet earth. God gave man dominion over the earth and all of its creatures. But he tasks us to use what He has given us wisely.

We must grow our crops to feed ourselves and others. We must use our technology to improve upon how we live, work and play. We must do our best to take what we have been given and help others to reap the great and glorious bounty of our planet, and what lies beyond on other planets.

Controlling people using the ideology of environmentalism is a clear form of tyranny. History tells us that tyranny, in any form, is both dangerous and deadly.

Freeing people to do their best to use what we have been given is liberating.

I choose liberty over tyranny. I am a conservationist, not an environmentalist. I embrace the freedom to choose. My body, my choice on what I eat, drive and do.

How about you?

©Dr. Rich Swier. All rights reserved.

Fitch: Low River Levels Likely To Increase Arizona Water Bills

The expected water cuts from the Colorado River as a result of the Drought Contingency Plan (DCP) will likely mean higher water utility rates, according to Fitch Ratings.

The U.S. Congress passed the DCP in 2019 to protect water levels in Lake Powell and Lake Mead which provide water to Colorado River basin states. Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming, and Mexico entered into the DCP, which mandates how water cuts will occur when the lakes drop to certain levels, called tiers.

The agreement was sealed because public agencies, eight major private corporations, and non-governmental organizations(NGOs) contributed tens of millions of dollars to leave water in the lake for conservation projects and to provide aid to Pinal County farmers, who would be the hardest hit by reductions.

The DCP included a new water level for extra protection, “Tier Zero.” If the water level dips below 1090 feet above sea level, reductions are made to leave water in the lake. Lake Mead has been in Tier Zero. A tier 1 shortage occurs when the lake drops to 1075 feet above sea level.

Water volume at Lake Mead, the Lower Colorado Basin’s principal reservoir serving Arizona, as well as Nevada and California, has fallen to historically low levels due to the drought throughout the west. As of April 26, Lake Powell was down to 35% full, while Lake Mead was down to 38 percent.

Fitch Ratings predicts that the drought will cause a tier 1 reduction in water allocation for 2022 when shortage levels are announced in August as part of the US Bureau of Reclamation water study. In addition, Fitch expects further water delivery reductions over the next several years, which will result in increased delivery rates to customers to counterbalance lower sales volumes.

According to the DCP, Arizona is required to take reductions of about 18% of its allocation in a tier 1 shortage. The largest cuts under the DCP will be absorbed by the Central Arizona Water Conservation District, which transports water via the Central Arizona Project (CAP) to three counties in central and southern Arizona under long-term contracts with strong purchasers.

The tier 1 shortage will reduce water to the Central Arizona Project by 320,000 acre-feet, enough water to supply 1.2 million individuals for a year. These reductions will affect farmers first because they have low priority rights for river supplies. Municipalities and tribes are considered a higher priority and are unlikely to see any early reductions to supply. However, they will still be subjected to higher prices.

The largest purchasers of CAP water include Tucson, Phoenix, Scottsdale, Gilbert, Mesa, and Peoria. CAP participants have been taking more water at lower prices and storing it in anticipation of cuts to guard against price increases.

Regional wholesale and retail purchasers of CAP water will likely rely on other supply sources, such as groundwater or stored water reserves, and/or pass on the CAP rate increases to users to eventually pressure rate flexibility.

Ted Cooke, general manager of CAP, said in a briefing led by state water leaders that the reductions would not harm most citizens and businesses.

“We have a plan. It’s called the Drought Contingency Plan, and we’re implementing that plan,” Cooke said. “This is a day we knew would come at some point and we’ve been preparing for this moment for at least a couple of decades.”

*****

This article was published on July 6, 2021 and is reproduced with permission from  The Center Square.

AWED: Media Balanced Newsletter — We cover COVID to Climate, as well as Energy to Elections.

Welcome! We cover COVID to Climate, as well as Energy to Elections.

Note 1: Each issue now has a url, so it’s simple to share on social media. We’re also hoping that the new Newsletter format makes it easier to read.

Note 2: Our ten election integrity reports are at: Election-Integrity.info. Please pass Election-Integrity.info onto your social media contacts…

Note 3: For multiple reasons, we STRONGLY recommend that you read this Newsletter on your computer, not your phone!


— This Newsletter’s Articles, by Topic —


COVID-19 — Therapies:

Ivermectin is effective for COVID-19 when used early. Analysis of 62 studies

MD Testimony about the failure to alert the public about COVID-19 therapies

Ivermectin Invictus: The Unsung COVID Victor

YouTube’s Censorship of Ivermectin

Study: Theoretical study and molecular modeling of inhibitors of SARS-CoV-2

Study: Phytochemicals in ginseng possess potential to inhibit SARS-CoV-2

COVID-19 — Vaccines:

Prominent medical journals highlight death risk from COVID vaccines

Biden Announces Door-to-Door ‘Outreach’ Teams to ‘Get Americans Vaccinated’

Inventor of mRNA vaccine gives interview on the safety of gene therapy shots

Those dying post-vaccine: Where are the autopsies?

COVID-19 — Models and Data:

Portugal Court Rules Only 0.9% of ‘Verified Cases’ Died of COVID

“Panic Porn Dressed Up As Science” – Exposing the Truth About the Delta Variant

COVID-19 — Misc:

Covid And Climate: Key Failures In Policy Parallels

Why the Masses Unquestionably Obeyed COVID-19 Restrictions

Pseudopandemic

Lambda variant raises concern due to ‘unusual’ mutations

Short Video: Jim Jordan Attacks Fauci’s Actions At Start Of COVID-19 Pandemic

Fauci Hit with Hatch Act Complaint

Renewable Energy Health and Ecosystem Consequences:

Wind and Solar are the Most Environmentally Destructive Energy Sources

Rural communities and conservation groups sue NYS over renewables’ siting process

Bat Death Toll Near Turbines Raises Concerns

Iowa: Company illegally storing hundreds of old wind turbine blades

Study: Wood Pellet Damage

Wind Energy:

Wind energy in crisis as expansion stalls in Germany

Offshore wind support vessel forced to leave after fishermen protest

New Maine law prohibits offshore wind projects in state waters

Two Australian wind projects fined $1+ million for their role in blackout

Solar Energy:

Every Indiana school system where solar farms were located had a 10-20% decline in enrollment within a five-year period.”

Study: Graphene-Based Nanotechnologies for Energy Applications (e.g. Solar)

Study: Toxicity of graphene-family nanoparticles

Nuclear Energy:

U.S. can’t hit net-zero power target by 2035 without Nuclear

US Legislation introduced to extend production tax credits to nuclear

Nuclear Energy Will Not Be the Solution to Climate Change

Report: Ten Years of Fukushima Disinformation

Nigeria pursues nuclear ambitions

Fossil Fuel Energy:

Alex Epstein Congressional Testimony for June 30, 2021

Five Asian countries building 600 new coal plants

Oil, Gas Stock ETFs Are Attracting Most Money in a Decade

Record-breaking European gas prices signal an expensive winter for consumers

Coal aversion by Biden, environmentalists threatens transition to electric vehicles

Coal output in U.S. rising most since 1990 as global demand surges

Surging U.S. LNG undermines Biden’s climate agenda

Fossil Fuel Hatred Will Deliver Disaster and Tyranny

Geothermal Energy:

Geothermal Energy is the Future

Full steam ahead for Cornwall’s geothermal energy project

Misc Energy:

Powering the future of North Carolina

Climate Successes = Rolling blackouts for parts of Northwest

Hydrogen Hype and Hurdles

Toyota Warns (Again) About Electrifying All Autos

Shortages flagged for EV materials lithium and cobalt

Study: Safety of Grid Scale Lithium-ion Battery Energy Storage Systems

Residential energy use: “interventions” that alter daily habits vs top-down regulations

Green Energy for the Woke Is No Bargain for the Awake

Manmade Global Warming — Some Deceptions:

Short video: The Climate Religion

Dear Climate Alarmists: Your fear mongering isn’t cool anymore

Confirmation Bias in Event Attribution Analysis

When Climateers Let the Truth Slip Out

Is Global Warming Really the Cause of the Pacific Northwest Heat Wave?

CNN Says Florida Building Collapse Caused By Climate Change

What is good for the climate geese is NOT good for the ganders

They Blame Heat Deaths, etc on Climate Change Because They’re Causing Them

NYT columnist: Now Democrats have only 1 year to save planet

Climate Justice Is Just An Excuse to Impose Green Ideology

Manmade Global Warming — Misc:

Progressives tell Biden to ignore China abuses for climate fight

Ecocide Reveals the Totalitarian Heart of the Climate Cult

A Scientist Scientifically Uses Science to Debunk Global Warming

Biden’s ticking climate clock

To Stop Climate Change Americans Must Cut Energy Use by 90 Percent…

BBC deletes list of climate change benefits after fury from activists

Democrats Hope to Pass Climate Bill After Failing a Decade Ago

Coastal sinking, caving explained by researchers

Milloy to EPA Administrator: Pick a new CASAC or see you in court

Archive: The Creator, Fabricator and Proponent of Global Warming – Maurice Strong

US Election — HR.4:

Stop HR.4, a Federal Veto of State Election Laws

HR.4 — The Pelosi Power Grab Act

60 Seconds: Voting Rights (IWV)

60 Seconds: H.R. 4 and Federal Pre-Clearance (IWV)

Celebrate Consent of the Governed, then Reject Democrats’ Attempt to Sabotage It

Dems’ election power grab: Republicans fighting partisan assaults on voting

Short good video: House Judiciary Hearing Highlights (6-29-21)

Riordan 6-29-21 Testimony to House Subcommittee

Lawyer Testifies to Voting Section’s History of Abusing Its Authority

H.R.4 Voting Rights Act Poll

US Election — Other:

Ten Reasons The 2020 Election Was The Fairest Election Of All Time

2016 Dem’s Vote Rigging Ran Out of Time

Brnovich Turned the Tide in Election Integrity War

Dems Can’t Stem the Flow of Election Revelations No Matter How Hard They Try

Book: The Deep Rig — How Election Fraud Cost Trump the White House

US Election — Arizona:

Supreme Court: A Victory in the Arizona Voting Rights Case

The Reality of the Arizona Election Audit

Key Questions While We’re Waiting for the Arizona Audit Report

Live streaming of the AZ Maricopa County Audit

Report: Laws Governing the Measurable Effects of Pre-Determined Aggregate Percentages to Engineer an Election; Maricopa

US Election — Georgia:

Justice Department’s Lawsuit Against Georgia Is Completely Partisan

GA State Senator: ‘I Think We Can Ask For Our 16 Electoral College Votes Back…’

Judge declines to block portions of Georgia election law

US Election — Pennsylvania:

Why I am initiating a forensic investigation of the 2020 PA Election

Gov. Wolf Vetoes Voting Rights Protection Act Despite Overwhelming Voter Support

US Election — North Carolina:

NC Board of Elections Agrees to Allow More Poll Observers

Collusive settlements by the NC attorney general prohibited in budget

US Election — Other State Issues:

State Legislatures Can Reverse 2020 Outcomes If Fraud Found

Some Good State Election Recommendations

Election Integrity Efforts Across America Since The Disastrous 2020 Election

A.U.D.I.T. of Elections: Democrats Getting Concerned

Did Biden Really Win California?

Judge orders new election after 78% of mail-in ballots proven to be fraudulent

AuditEngine Florida Case Study Report & Videos

US Politics and Socialism:

Short video: NC Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson – Reparations

Mainstream media has openly embraced advocacy over reporting

Why Are They Woke?

Attacking ‘merit’ in the name of ‘equity’ is a prescription for mediocrity

The Attempted Destruction of US Through Open Borders and Mass Migration

All Things Great and Small ……Are Racist

Fear Is Contagious and Used to Control You

BLM leadership reveals plan to ‘completely dismantle’ society

A Free Press is Not Just a Right, it is a Choice…

Air Force Chief of Staff Brown’s Racism Witch Hunt

US Independence Day:

Celebrating America’s Birthday

How Nations Slip from Greatness to Obscurity

41 Years After the Most Memorable US Sporting Event, Patriotism Dropping

Other US Politics and Related:

Statement on Supreme Court Citizen Privacy Ruling

On Slavery, Climate, and the Promise of Gettysburg

Citizens of NY County partition it to be a Constitutional Sanctuary

Biden’s Infrastructure Package Will Federalize Local Zoning Laws, etc.

Proposed Green ecocide law does not work

Facebook To Provide Warning When Your Friends Begin Thinking For Themselves

Aides Nervous as Biden’s Life Alert and Nuclear Launch Buttons Look Similar

Religion Related:

Vatican indicts ten, including a cardinal

At least 20 Canadian churches set ablaze or vandalized amid indigenous anger

Why Revival is America’s Only Hope!

Education Related:

Our Colleges Should Accomplish More

China, Universities and Climate Change

A Teachers’ Guide to Miseducating the Young

Preschool, Kindergarten Enrollment Drops 13 Percent Nationally

Why Did a Christian College Fire a Tenured Professor?

Science and Misc Matters:

Canadian man jailed for calling his biologically female child his ‘daughter’

The historical foundations of the linear non-threshold dose response model

Scientists develop simple blood test for early detection of Alzheimer’s disease

CDC Warns Doctors About a Mystery Bacterial Outbreak

The invisible addiction: is it time to give up caffeine?

1,500± businesses infected in one of the worst ransomware attacks ever

New LinkedIn Data Leak Leaves 700 Million Users Exposed

DuckDuckGo is now the second most popular search engine in the West

Eulogy of Tom Wysmuller

Israel makes AI Drone History

Please use social media, etc. to pass on this Newsletter to other open-minded citizens…


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Note 1: We recommend reading the Newsletter on your computer, not your phone, as some documents (e.g. PDFs) are much easier to read on a large computer screen… We’ve tried to use common fonts, etc. to minimize display issues.

Note 2: For recent past Newsletter issues see 2020 Archives & 2021 Archives. To accommodate numerous requests received about prior articles over the twelve plus years of the Newsletter, we’ve put together archives since the beginning of the Newsletter — where you can search by year. For a detailed background about the Newsletter, please read this.

Note 3: See this extensive list of reasonable books on climate change. As a parallel effort, we have also put together a list of some good books related to industrial wind energy. Both topics are also extensively covered on my website: WiseEnergy.org.

Note 4: I am not an attorney or a physician, so no material appearing in any of the Newsletters (or the WiseEnergy.org website) should be construed as giving legal or medical advice. My recommendation has always been: consult a competent, licensed attorney when you are involved with legal issues, and consult a competent physician regarding medical matters.

Copyright © 2021; Alliance for Wise Energy Decisions (see WiseEnergy.org).

What Is Good For The Climate Geese Is NOT Good For The Ganders

The billionaires prolificating “green” for the world, such as Mike Bloomberg, Tom Steyer, Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Al Gore, Leonardo DiCaprio, and others are the same individuals amassing huge carbon footprints for their numerous private jets, houses, boats, and cars.

For Bloomberg alone, a Business Insider analysis found that Bloomberg’s emissions-heavy private jets took more than 1,700 trips and emitted at least 10,000 metric tons of CO2 over a four-year period from August 2016 to August 2020.

Simply put about these “green” preachers, is that if something is good for these wealthy people, it should be equally as good for other people, but these hypocrites want everyone else to take the electric bus to reduce emissions and help fight climate change.

Politicians and movie stars, having easy access to microphones, verbalize that sunshine and breezes can provide all the world’s electricity via weather-dependent solar and wind generation. As a result of the power (no pun intended) of the microphone, huge amounts of taxpayer’s monies are being committed to subsidizing weather-dependent industries for electricity.

These “green” preachers have yet to promote the need for clones to the oil derivatives that are the basis of more than 6,000 products manufactured from petroleum that did not exist a few hundred years ago, that are the basis of these billionaires lifestyles and worldwide economies.

The social media giants have become the new bums only too happy to promote the same ideologies and squelch any thoughts, not in accord with the favored religion of those drinking the same Kool-Aid. The level of deceit from the administration opens pandora’s box as this kind of behavior is now accepted as normal. The biggest traitor is the press.

A complex trade-off associated with policy choices of moving too quickly into intermittent electricity from weather generation systems is that abandoning fuels and products from oil will further deprive and/or delay from providing at least 80 percent of humanity, or more than 6 billion in this world living on less than $10 a day, from enjoying the same products that benefit the wealthy and healthy countries.

The greatest threat to the environment is not affluence, it is poverty. As Germany, Australia, and California have proven, weather is the most expensive way to generate intermittent electricity as they now have among the highest costs of electricity in the world for their residents and businesses. As a means of control, Michael Bloomberg supports regressive expenses and taxes, meaning that they end up costing poor people proportionately more money than their more well-off counterparts.

We can easily observe the world’s poorest and developing countries to see what lifestyles are like without the thousands of products from oil derivatives that benefit the richer countries. In those poorer countries, there are 11 million children in the world dying every year. Those fatalities are from the preventable causes of diarrhea, malaria, neonatal infection, pneumonia, preterm delivery, or lack of oxygen at birth as many developing countries have no, or minimal, access to those products from oil derivatives enjoyed by the wealthy and healthy countries.

In the richer and wealthier countries, the inventions of the automobile, the airplane, and the use of petroleum in the early 1900s led us into the Industrial Revolution and winning World Wars I and II. The healthier and wealthier countries of today now have more than 6,000 products manufactured from petroleum derivatives that did not exist a few hundred years ago. Those products have resulted in the increase in longevity projections and virtually eliminated weather related fatalities.

The United Nations Climate Change Conferences are yearly conferences held in the framework of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). They serve as the formal meeting of the UNFCCC Parties (Conference of the Parties, COP) to assess progress in dealing with climate change, and beginning in the mid-1990s, to negotiate the Kyoto Protocol to establish legally binding obligations for developed countries to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. Let me repeat that: “legally binding obligations for DEVELOPED countries”.

China and India, with their 2.7 billion combined populations are DEVELOPING countries, and are exempt from any financial penalties from those COP conferences for not reducing emissions.

Developing societies in Asia and Africa are reliant on fossil fuels for lifting and keeping their population out of poverty. China, India, Indonesia, Japan, and Vietnam are jeopardizing global climate ambitions by investing in 80 percent of the world’s planned new coal plants as they plan to build more than 600 coal power units. African countries are planning to build more than 1,250 new coal and gas-fired power plants by 2030. Asia and Africa are focused on the most abundant, affordable, reliable energy feasible for their developing economies.

The sites chosen for the last 25 COP conferences from 1995 to 2019 have all been in the healthier and wealthier cities of the world to accommodate the elite attendees. Rather than hold the climate conferences in locations where very few of the world’s 8 billion reside, why not conduct them in the developing countries that are the major contributors of emissions and where most of the people reside in this world?

For the wealthy climate geese, the inconvenience of having the COP conferences in those developing countries is that there may not be airports for their private jets to land, nor major hotel resorts and exotic eateries to meet their social existence needs, but that’s where the “ganders” of many African, Asian, and South American children are being enslaved and dying in mines and factories to extract and process rare earth and exotic minerals required for solar panels, wind turbines, electric vehicle batteries, and utility-scale storage systems to work to mine for those blood minerals and metals to support the construction of EV batteries, solar panels and wind turbines.

How dare we, in the healthier and wealthier countries, turn our backs on the 11 million kids dying every year in developing countries, and insist that we should limit poor country’s future access to the fuels and products from oil? Cheap, reliable, accessible power, and products from fossil fuels are lifesaving, and one of the best ways out of poverty.

*****

This article was published on July 9, 2021 and is reproduced with permission from CFACT, Committee For a Constructive Tomorrow.

REAL Threats To Planet And People

Totalitarian actions in the name of ‘climate change’ threaten wildlife, people and freedoms.

 

Environmental activism was already nasty and lethal when I wrote Eco-Imperialism: Green Power – Black Death 18 years ago. It’s gotten steadily worse since then, especially with hysteria about the “looming manmade climate apocalypse” driving ever more extreme demands that we rid the world of fossil fuels and prohibit or roll back modern living standards.

The demands have reached previously unimaginable extremes – based primarily on GIGO computer models and wild assertions about planetary temperatures, weather, icecaps and vanishing wildlife. The claims have little basis in real-world evidence, but are presented as Gospel Truth by climate alarmists.

One group of extremists wants to make what it calls ecocide an “international crime” – then prosecute and imprison political leaders and corporate executives who have engaged in “mass ecological destruction” that these zealots assert has now reached a magnitude “similar” to Nazi genocide.

Others are agitating for a “Great Reset” – demanding that corporations reject their traditional roles and goals, and focus instead on “saving the planet” and advancing racial and gender “equity.” This unavoidably means companies must embrace “a certain degree of eco-dictatorship,” corporate-state tyranny and “top-down authoritarianism.” But in exchange they will reap huge profits by trying to replace reliable energy, while reducing middle and working class living standards, in the name of climate stability.

The radical left routinely employs eco-hysteria and Nazi analogies to deflect attention from the horrific disease and death tolls they have inflicted on Third World “people of color,” by denying them access to reliable energy, spatial insect repellants and modern farming technologies. Slinging these epithets at fossil fuel providers, users and defenders is as wanton, wicked and baseless as claims the Nazis made to justify exterminating Jews, Gypsies, Slavs, disabled people and other “undesirables.”

Meanwhile, in the real world, the actual threats to our planet, people, wildlife and freedoms come from the green zealots who demand we replace hydrocarbon energy with electricity generated by weather-dependent wind turbines and solar panels, and backed up by half-ton Tesla-style battery modules.

This Green New Deal would reverse job creation, economic growth, revenue collection, and human health and welfare gains. It would also inflict ecological damage on scales unprecedented in history.

The Harris-Biden Administration wants 80% hydrocarbon-free electricity generation by 2030, 100% by 2035 and elimination of fossil fuels from all sectors of the U.S. economy by 2050. This would require replacing coal and natural gas for generating electricity; gasoline and diesel for powering vehicles; natural gas for smelting and manufacturing; and natural gas for heating, cooking and water heating.

Together, this would send the nation’s annual electricity requirement soaring from about 2.7 billion megawatt-hours (the fossil fuel portion of total U.S. electricity in 2018) to almost 7.5 billion MWh per year by 2050. Substantial additional generation would be required to constantly recharge backup batteries for windless, sunless days, to safeguard society against blackouts, cyberattacks and wholesale collapse.

Generating all that electricity without new nuclear and hydroelectric plants would require tens of thousands of 850-foot-tall offshore wind turbines, hundreds of thousands (perhaps millions) of somewhat smaller onshore turbines, and billions of photovoltaic solar panels. Backing up sufficient nationwide electricity for even one week of windless, sunless days would involve well over a billion battery modules. Connecting all this and our cities would require thousands of miles of new transmission lines.

The number are sky-high because wind and sun generate electricity only 25-50% of the year in the best locations (less than 33% on average nationwide), and the more “green” electricity we need, the more we must put turbines and panels in lower quality areas, where they generate power only 15-20% of the year. Just President Biden’s plan to install 30,000 megawatts of wind power off America’s coasts by 2030 would require 2,100 14-MW turbines. Even if they operated at full capacity 24/7, they would not meet peak summer electricity needs for New York State, much less coastal states or the entire USA.

Even if wind and solar facilities avoided the most highly sensitive areas, they would still disrupt or destroy scenic areas, croplands and wildlife habitats. Turbine blades would kill millions of birds and bats. Vibration noise from offshore turbines would disrupt whale and dolphin navigation and communication.

All these turbines, panels, batteries and power lines would require tens of billions of tons of non-renewable iron, copper, aluminum, cobalt, lithium, rare earth elements, plastics, limestone and other materials. That would necessitate mining, crushing, processing, refining and transporting tens of billions of tons of ores – from thousands of mines and quarries, using gigantic gasoline and diesel equipment – followed by smelting and manufacturing, all with fossil fuels. None of this is clean, green or sustainable.

These energy-intensive activities often employ hazardous chemicals and release toxic pollutants. They require enormous volumes of water, often in the world’s most water-deprived regions. They cause acid mine drainage, create mountains of waste rock, and often result in vast “lakes” of toxic chemicals.

Just that initial Biden offshore wind program would require millions of tons of materials, including 110,000 tons of copper. At an average of 0.44% copper in all types of copper ore deposits today, that means just those first 2,100 offshore turbines would require mining, crushing and processing 25 million tons of copper ore, after removing some 40 million tons of overlying rock to reach the ore bodies.

Add in materials for solar panels, onshore wind turbines, backup battery systems, subsea and onshore electrical lines, electric vehicles, electric heating systems and other technologies – and the “U.S. energy transformation” would require raw materials in excess of the entire world’s current and foreseeable mining and processing capabilities. A global Green Deal would require mining half our solar system.

Environmental fanatics insist that the United States continue to stymie or ban mining, even to support their grand energy, economic and societal reset. They and Team Biden insist that we outsource all this mining, mostly to China. They couldn’t care less about compromising our national security or their supposed commitment to environmental protection, human rights and climate justice.

Chinese companies already control the mining and processing of many GND minerals mined in Africa and other countries; they manufacture a majority of USA-bound wind turbines, solar panels and batteries. They certainly don’t adhere to U.S. laws and standards for environmental protection, pollution control, mined land reclamation, workplace safety, fair wages, child and slave labor, or human rights.

Some 40,000 children as young as four already toil with their parents in Democratic Republic of Congo mines, for a few dollars a day, under constant threat of cave-ins and exposure to toxic and radioactive mud, dust and water – just to meet today’s cobalt needs, which would skyrocket under a Green New Deal. The cobalt ore is sent to China for processing in plants that have equally abominable safety and pollution conditions, and have been linked to alarming cancer, blood disease and other health problems.

An enormous toxic dump for effluents from rare earth mining and processing in Inner Mongolia has destroyed agriculture and created serious health issues for workers and residents. China uses Uighur slave labor to build solar panels for sale to the United States and Europe.

Woke climate and human rights activists become apoplectic when clothing and coffee producers and importers fail to meet their lofty “fair trade” standards. Maybe they should travel to Moscow, Kinshasa, Beijing, Xinjiang and Hong Kong, don their ski masks, and rage, burn and loot for our planet, Uighur rights and “responsible sourcing” of raw materials for the Green New World they want to foist on us

Meanwhile CFACT’s amicus curiae brief supports a multistate lawsuit against the Biden Administration over its fossil fuel eradication plans and phony “social costs of carbon” claims. It brings much-needed reality to the “climate chaos” and “renewable” energy charade, including costs to people and planet.

*****

This article was published on July 6, 2021 and is reproduced with permission from CFACT, Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow.

Activists Panicked CFACT Will Correct Them On Climate

If there’s anything climate computer modelers and warming activists fear, it’s real-world hard data that corrects their exaggerations.

CFACT’s Marc Morano is expert on just that.  Climate Depot puts climate claims in perspective through reliance on actual measured temperature and historical weather data.  All that objective reporting gives the Left the willies.

Here’s a perfect example.  The blinkered warmists at Gizmodo / Earther are besides themselves over reports that Fox News is thinking of launching a weather channel.  What frightens them most? “If they bring on a denier like Marc Morano,” they write, “if he starts to get a platform there—that content is going to go on his website, it’s going to go into other right-wing media infosphere, it’s going to bounce back on Fox, it’s going to go on social media, and they’re going to push that out in moments when everybody else is saying, ‘this is climate change’–they’re going to be able to tell this right-wing media bubble, it’s not.” —  Allison Fisher, the director of the climate and energy program at Media Matters.

Media Matters is part of the far left propaganda online empire founded by David Brock.  Brock channels vast sums of dark money into websites designed to stifle balanced political discourse.  Sites like Media Matters don’t genuinely fear misleading or false information, they fear genuine facts that debunk their own false narratives.

Marc Morano just posted a Climate Depot Special Report which corrects the record on the recent heat wave that barreled through the American Northwest, which had nothing to do with “climate change.”

Here’s the warming narrative:

Model Based Study: Northwest heat wave impossible without climate change: “They logged observations of what happened and fed them into 21 computer models and ran numerous simulations. They then simulated a world without greenhouse gases from the burning of coal, oil and natural gas. The difference between the two scenarios is the climate change portion.”

Dr. Roy Spencer Dr. John Christy manage temperature satellites for NASA.  Here are the facts reported at Climate Depot:

  • Global satellite temperature for June 2021 is below the 30-year average
  • There are plenty of record cold outbreaks happening around the globe
  • Unusually strong cold weather outbreaks spread from Antarctica into central South America,
  • South America experiencing early winter temperature records and first snowfall in decades
  • About 75% of the U.S. states recorded their hottest temperature prior to 1955
  • Over 50 percent of the states experienced their record cold temperatures after 1940
  • EPA data shows that in the 1930s U.S. heatwaves were far more severe than current temperatures

In recent years global temperatures have been running slightly warmer when compared to various baselines, however, by less than one degree centigrade.  This does not account for today’s weather variations even when they are sometimes extreme (as they always have sometimes been).  Both the summer heat we experienced in the U.S. and the cold they are experiencing below the equator are natural.  Real world temperatures consistently run cooler than the climate computer simulations that form the basis of climate policy and reporting.

Today’s weather would have occurred whether you live in a free, prosperous, energy-rich society or not.

Leftist narratives collapse when measured against objective data and history.

That’s what has the Left in a panic.

Blackouts Loom in California as Electricity Prices Are ‘Absolutely Exploding’

Editors’ Note:  While California’s descent into mismanagement is a policy lesson for Arizona, it could well become a burden for Arizona. California will be looking to import power when power is needed for the growth of Arizona. Arizona must not follow in their footsteps with “green fantasies”. The actions and leadership of our Arizona Corporation Commission should raise voter consciousness to a high level of scrutiny. Very often wealthy, out-of-state environmental interests attempt to dictate policy for those of us that live here and pay the utility bills. Therefore, the Commission is no longer a technocratic board that voters can treat casually, but one of the most consequential offices in the state.

 

Two inexorable energy trends are underway in California: soaring electricity prices and ever-worsening reliability—and both trends bode ill for the state’s low- and middle-income consumers.

Last week, the state’s grid operator, the California Independent System Operator, issued a “flex alert” that asked the state’s consumers to reduce their power use “to reduce stress on the grid and avoid power outages.”

The California Independent System Operator’s warning of impending electricity shortages heralds another blackout-riddled summer at the same time California’s electricity prices are skyrocketing.

In 2020, California’s electricity prices jumped by 7.5%, making it the biggest price increase of any state in the country last year and nearly seven times the increase that was seen in the United States as a whole.

According to data from the Energy Information Administration, the all-sector price of electricity in California last year jumped to 18.15 cents per kilowatt-hour, which means that Californians are now paying about 70% more for their electricity than the U.S. average all-sector rate of 10.66 cents per kWh. Even more worrisome: California’s electricity rates are expected to soar over the next decade. (More on that in a moment.)

The surging cost of electricity will increase the energy burden being borne by low- and middle-income Californians. High energy costs have a particularly regressive effect in California, which has the highest poverty rate—and some of the highest electricity prices—in the country. In 2020, California’s all-sector electricity prices were the third-highest in the continental U.S., behind only Rhode Island (18.55 cents per kWh) and Connecticut (19.19 cents per kWh.)

Before going further, let me state the obvious: California policymakers are providing a case study in how not to manage an electric grid. Furthermore, that case study shows what could happen if policymakers at the state and federal levels decide to follow California’s radical decarbonization mandates, which include a requirement for 100% zero-carbon electricity by 2045 and an economy-wide goal of carbon neutrality by 2045.

Even though the state’s tattered electric grid can barely meet existing demand—and more rolling blackouts are almost certain this summer—California continues to pile bad policy on top of bad policy.

The state has banned the future sale of cars powered by internal combustion engines, which will result in dramatic increases in electricity demand and will require, according to a recent report by the California Energy Commission, the installation of 1.2 million new electric vehicle charging stations by 2030.

Bans on natural gas will further increase electricity demand. Cheered on by the Sierra Club, which is getting tens of millions of dollars from billionaire Michael Bloomberg, about 46 California communities have banned the use of natural gas in homes and businesses.

Making the whole thing even more absurd is that California is pledging to achieve these goals while closing the state’s last remaining nuclear power plant, the Diablo Canyon Power Plant, which by itself produces nearly 10% of all the juice consumed in California.

The state’s surging energy costs demonstrate the regressive nature of decarbonization policies and how renewable energy mandates drive up the price of power. California’s electricity prices are “absolutely exploding,” says Mark Nelson, an energy analyst and the managing director of the Radiant Energy Fund, who used that phrase on a recent episode of “The Power Hungry Podcast.”

He added that the electricity price hikes are happening before the state’s utilities have incurred all of the costs of the deadly wildfires that swept the state, trimming millions of trees to prevent future wildfires, and adding all the mandated renewable energy capacity, transmission lines, and new battery storage that the state will need to meet its climate goals. Further, the costs do not include all of the costs that will be incurred after the proposed shuttering of Diablo Canyon in 2025.

Last week’s power conservation requests are likely the first of many to come. On May 27, California Independent System Operator CEO Elliot Mainzer warned that if the state is hit with another hot summer like the one that required rolling blackouts that left more than 800,000 homes and businesses without power over two days last August, “our numbers tell us the grid will be stressed again.”

That warning followed a May 12 California Independent System Operator press release that warned that “reliability risks remain” and the state will likely need “voluntary” electricity conservation this summer to avoid a repeat of last year’s blackouts.

The specter of more blackouts is yet more bad news for California’s beleaguered consumers. Between 2010 and 2020, the state’s electricity prices jumped by 39.5%, which was the biggest increase of any state in the U.S. Even more worrisome: California’s electricity rates will soar over the next decade.

In a report issued in February, the California Public Utility Commission warned that the state’s energy costs are growing far faster than the rate of inflation, and that “energy bills will become less affordable over time.

What’s driving up prices? The report says that “electrification goals and wildlife mitigation plans are among the near-term needs … that place upward pressure on rates and bills.”

The report projected that residents living in hotter regions (that is, those who can’t afford to live close to the coast) who get their electricity from San Diego Gas & Electric could see their monthly power bills increase by 47% between now and 2030. When future gasoline price increases are included, overall energy costs for that same consumer are projected to increase by 60%.

Furthermore, the California Public Utility Commission expects residential ratepayers in San Diego Gas & Electric’s service territory will be paying close to 45 cents per kilowatt-hour by 2030. For reference, that is more than three times the current average price of residential electricity.

Meanwhile, the state’s renewable plans are being thwarted by rural Californians who don’t want wind and solar projects in their neighborhoods. California has added essentially no new wind capacity since 2013.

The latest rejection of Big Wind happened on Tuesday when the Shasta County Planning Commission unanimously rejected a permit for Fountain Wind, a project that proposed to put 216 megawatts of wind capacity (and about 71 turbines) in a mountainous area west of the town of Burney.

The project met fierce resistance. According to David Benda, a reporter for the Redding Record Searchlight, “The 5-0 vote capped a marathon meeting that went nearly 10 hours and ended just before 11 p.m. The unanimous vote was met with cheers.”

As I have previously reported, the backlash against Big Wind goes far beyond California. It can be seen throughout Europe and from Maine to Hawaii. Since 2015, more than 300 communities in the U.S. have rejected or restricted wind projects.

In addition to the raging land-use conflicts, California policymakers are facing a growing backlash from California’s Latino population, which is the largest in the country.

As I reported last year, the state’s Latino leaders have sued the state over its housing, energy, and climate regulations. Jennifer Hernandez, the lead lawyer for The Two Hundred, a coalition of Latino leaders, told me those regulations are “incredibly regressive” and are bringing “Appalachia economics” to California’s “non-coastal elites.”

Robert Apodaca, the founder of United Latinos Vote, a nonprofit group, told me recently that the ongoing electricity price hikes in the state “will be crippling for low- and middle-income Californians, particularly for those who live in the Central Valley and the Inland Empire. They are going to really feel the heat, in more ways than one.”

The punchline here is clear: The blackouts and high electricity prices that are plaguing California provide a neon-lit warning sign about the electric reliability and energy affordability crises that loom if policymakers attempt to decarbonize our economy too quickly.

*****

This article was published on June 25, 2021 and is reproduced with permission from The Daily Signal.

A “Tell” Upon America

The term “tell” is often used regarding poker playing or pulling a scam. It refers to a gesture, a look, a twitch someone has that indicates what they are thinking. For example, a person always scratches his forehead when he is bluffing in poker. I recently encountered a situation that was itself not significant. Yet it really “tells” you what the state of America is today.

Everyone knows that California has been a disaster regarding our water supply for a while. California lost allocation from the Colorado River and squandered water reservoir bond money for years. In addition, the sensible solution to the problem – desalination plants — has been denied by the elected officials, largely because of environmentalists. Then there is the agriculture industry that provides fruits and vegetables for the entire nation but uses a lot of water. Because of that most all Californians practice water savings procedures that many other Americans do not have to think about.

I signed up for an app called Nextdoor. You may be familiar with it. It allows people who live within a certain area near to one another to communicate concerns. These days a lot of it talks about the unruly homeless or increased crime due to lax enforcement in Los Angeles pushed by our new District Attorney George Gascon.

A gentleman wrote about his walk on a recent rainy day. Understand in Southern California we may get 10 days of rain a year. In a big year we might get 20 days of rain. This is not Seattle which is overcast 240 days a year. He expressed concern that neighbors had sprinklers operating on a rainy day. He suggested they solve the problem by getting a device for which the local power company (DWP) will reimburse them $200 as they did for him. There was a flood of positive responses.

There are so many things wrong with this it became immediately clear. Let us start with the fact that of all the problems in the world this is rather miniscule. We have so little rain here; why is he so concerned? I personally am very rigid about not wasting water, but on the scale of 1 to 10, I saw this as a 2. I asked the Beautiful Wife what she does when it rains. She goes outside and flips two timer switches, and the sprinklers are off. Not the biggest issue in the world. We do not need expensive devices to solve every one of our minor life challenges.

Then there is the device that this man was touting. He made clear that the device made sense not only as a convenience but in the end, it was free – FREE. This was the genius of the entire matter. It was quite clear that he thought that if the payment for the device was not coming directly out of his bank account it was – FREE. I did not waste my time responding via Nextdoor by explaining to him the basics of economics. Not only was he clueless that he was paying for the device, but he also was paying for all the staffing time to process the refunds. He did not seem to grasp that he was paying for this through inflated power bills, which are some of the highest in the nation. Amazingly, no one else seemed to understand this.

If this was such a good idea and this person was so water conscious, why did he not just go out and get the device without the prodding of the DWP reimbursement program?

There is a sickness going on in our country. People feeling the need to make public their good deeds instead of quietly doing what they know is right. Worse, these people promote their good deeds when they are either being done by others or with other people’s money (OPM).

There were a couple of interesting comments. One person suggested another device for $20, not $200. Another person suggested you send in the receipt for the device to the DWP and upon receiving reimbursement sell the device on eBay. Hard to tell whether the person who posted it was joking, but either way it tells you how reckless these programs are in the first place. I would not put it above some people to enact that scheme.

Major portions of our country have lost the concept of personal responsibility. They think they are entitled to OPM. They do not grasp doing simple tasks without others having to pay for them and they do not understand they always pay in the end. The worst part of this story is how many of my neighbors condoned this behavior.

There are many other instances where simple actions or attitudes are “tells” about the changing morals of our society. We used to be a country that took responsibility for what we did and expected that if we wanted to accomplish something, we would be the person paying. That seems to have disappeared and few people even noticed.

*****

This article was published on June 27, 2021 in FlashReport and is reproduced with the permission of the author.

Why We Shop at Walmart Instead of Whole Foods

Years ago it was popular for companies to sponsor a day for employees to take their kids to the office to see where mom or dad worked. My wife got stuck with organizing one of the days for her employer.

In an introductory exercise, she had the kids sit around a conference table and take turns in answering the question, “What do you want to be when you grow up?” Our son answered last. The extroverted jokester said, “I want to be a Walmart greeter.”

That answer is not the reason my wife and I buy most of our groceries at Walmart and none at Whole Foods, although Whole Foods is much closer to our house.

Nor are lower prices the driving reason, especially given our comfortable station in life—although our frugality makes us appreciate that we can buy the same organic stuff at Walmart at considerably lower prices.

Incidentally, frugality is a foolish trait, in that it will result in the Biden tax plan pillaging our savings and estate after a lifetime of living below our means. Saving money to have it confiscated later is evidence of not being very bright. Some will find this commentary to be additional evidence. Being of average intelligence, I’m okay with conceding the point.

Another example of our frugality is the ten-year-old RAV-4 that we drive to Walmart, a car that would look out of place in the parking lot of Whole Foods, which abounds with late-model Range Rovers, BMWs, Mercedes, Priuses, and Teslas—many of which are driven by bleach-blonde women with expensive fingernails and toenails, dressed in expensive torn jeans or skin-tight yoga pants, which reveal in intimate detail that organic arugula doesn’t make a butt smaller.

Nor do we shop at Walmart because we like big-box stores. In fact, we dislike them as much as we dislike other behemoths, including big media, big banks, big government, big teacher unions, big federal deficits, big butts in yoga pants, and big Amazon, which owns Whole Foods. Sadly, the corner grocer, baker, butcher, drug store, and farm stand of our youth don’t exist where we now live, or, for that matter, just about anywhere else in America. Likewise, store owners no longer live in the same neighborhood as their customers, unless by chance you live in the same hoity-toity hood as Jeff Bezos.

So, why do we shop at Walmart instead of Whole Foods?

It’s a class thing. Being oddballs and contrarians, we don’t see ourselves as members of the social class that shops at Whole Foods or the opposite one that shops at Walmart. But we’re more comfortable with the latter because the Walmart class is not pretentious or phony and better reflects our working-class roots.

There used to be four social classes in America: upper class, upper-middle class, middle class, and working class. Or in Marxist terms, there were three classes: bourgeoisie (capitalists), petite bourgeoisie (shopkeepers and artisans), and proletariat (serfs and working class).

Today, for all intents and purposes, there are only two classes: knowledge workers with a college degree and everyone else.

There are sub-groups within each of these, and one of the most influential is a subspecies of the degreed class. It has the scientific name of Platycercini and the common name of broad-tailed parrot. Its natural habitat is not only Whole Foods but also Trader Joe’s, Apple stores, Starbucks, and any store, restaurant, bar, health club, neighborhood, or vacation spot considered hip, trendy, and in accord with the governing zeitgeist.

Platycercini can be as tribal and easily led as the non-degreed but doesn’t have the excuse of being uneducated. Of course, more schooling doesn’t necessarily equate to more wisdom, especially when it’s a curriculum of miseducation.

What follows will be generalizations and stereotypes, but, hey, generalizations and stereotypes are back in vogue, especially the one that says all people of color are oppressed and disadvantaged, and all whites are oppressors and privileged. (As a swarthy Italian of peasant stock, I don’t know which I am.)

There are exceptions, but the Platycercini tend to dress alike, look alike, speak alike, think alike, vote alike, and parrot alike what they were taught alike in college, which is when they stopped learning. They see themselves as Green, woke, progressive, tolerant, educated, and open-minded, especially about racial diversity and social justice. Their virtue-signaling and sloganeering match their self-image.

Advertisers know them well, which is why so many commercials and ads spout hooey about the social responsibility and diversity of companies instead of the features and benefits of their products. This leads to such ridiculous messaging as the commercial that equates a Subaru to love, when in fact, Subaru made Japanese fighter planes flown by kamikazes in World War II. Equally ridiculous is a Toyota commercial touting the company’s commitment to diversity and inclusion, when in fact, Japan is one of the most racially homogenous nations in the world.

The lifestyle of the Platycercini doesn’t match their self-image, however. It’s not green to live in a huge house, or to heat and cool a second home, or to narcissistically put every moment of your life on the cloud (i.e., on power-hungry server farms), or to spew tons of carbon on vacations to exotic locales. It’s not tolerant to look down on the patrons of Walmart and other undesirables. It’s not woke to be unconcerned about working stiffs who toil in a factory or mine or live in a town suffering from deindustrialization and drug overdoses.

Speaking of factories and mines, few of the Platycercini have ever been in one, or, for that matter, have ever done any form of manual labor. But they tend to be opposed to mining for environmental reasons, in a display of willful ignorance about the source of the rare earth minerals in their gadgets and EVs.

Many of the Platycercini are immune from the negative consequences of voting for bigger government and a more intrusive regulatory state, because they are either uber-wealthy or work for the government or work in one of the millions of private-sector jobs that depend on the regulatory state, such as lobbyists, tax attorneys, regulatory specialists and consultants, and software coders who develop the regulatory reporting systems for businesses. A large number of these regulatory-related jobs are held by Republicans who see themselves as conservatives.

The Platycercini are for diversity and inclusion as long as it means associating with so-called minorities who are knowledge workers like themselves and in the same socioeconomic class as themselves—and as long as they are insulated from the crime, blight, bad schools, and broken families in the barrio, inner-city slums, and forsaken rural towns. Similarly, it’s easy for them to be for the mass immigration of unskilled and poorly educated migrants when the benefits of such immigration accrue to themselves and the costs are borne elsewhere by others.

They claim to care about the poor and black lives but are largely silent about one of the major causes of poverty, crime, and poor test scores: fatherless families.

Due to misguided social welfare policies and cultural rot allowed to stand by the Platycercini, the percent of such families has more than doubled over the last 60 years. Fatherless families are now the majority in some neighborhoods, communities, and ethnocultural groups. Yet in one of the most glaring double standards in human history, the broad-tailed parrots do their utmost to see that their offspring have two parents in the nest.

It used to be that higher education would bring introspection, healthy skepticism, continual questioning, a passion for free speech, and a knowledge of what one doesn’t know. Now it brings conformity of thinking, speech codes, phoniness, and hypocrisy—all evidence that the brainwashing of higher education is very effective.

Ironically, there is more diversity of class and race among the employees and customers at Walmart than at Whole Foods, ranging from poor whites with broken bodies from a lifetime of manual labor to recent immigrants of all colors, to the well-off like my wife and me, and to the African-American greeter who exudes friendliness and enthusiasm as he says hello when we enter the store and gives a hearty “Thanks for coming” when we leave the store.

Our son had the right idea when he said he wanted to be a Walmart greeter.

44 Things You Should Know about the Green New Deal

What should we make of this Green New Deal?


On Feb. 7, US Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and US Sen. Ed Markey introduced legislation known as the Green New Deal.

You’ve probably heard of it. It’s a big deal, to paraphrase Joe Biden.

Wikipedia, the internet’s fountain of knowledge, describes the legislation as “a proposed stimulus package that aims to address climate change and economic inequality.”

Okay. But what is that?

If the term “new deal” sounds familiar, it should. It’s a reference to FDR’s New Deal, which was itself a play off of Teddy Roosevelt’s Square Deal. (Politicians don’t win extra points for originality.)

So just imagine FDR’s New Deal took the Paris Climate Agreement out for drinks, one thing led to another, and—voila—nine months later they had a baby: The Green New Deal.

So what should we make of this Green New Deal? Since climate change is bad, and inequality is bad, can we assume the Green New Deal is good?

Well, that’s for you to decide. But here are 44 facts and reflections on the GND to consider:

1. The GND is necessary, we’re told, because global warming will cause “more than $500,000,000,000 in lost annual economic output in the United States by the year 2100.”

2. That’s a scary number. But even if we accept such a figure, it’s important to note, as Tim Worstall has, that we’re talking about .05 percent of the total US economy in 2100.

3. That $500 billion price tag, in context, is rather small, then—at least compared to what AOC’s legislation would cost. Some estimates put the price tag at $93 trillion.

4. Relax, relax. Fact-checking organizations are probably right when they say that these figures are mostly pulled out of a, ahem, hat (much like AOC’s own $500 billion figure).

5. In fact, all these big numbers make me think of this:

6. So why do we need to spend all those trillions in the first place? One reason AOC cites is “a 4-decade trend of wage stagnation.”

7. The problem? The wage narrative, as Bloomberg recently pointed out, is a myth. As in not true.

8. That’s right. Although wages flattened (briefly) in the mid-90s, they have grown steadily since, according to Federal Reserve data.

9. Uh, that’s actually good news.

10. Ditto on overall economic growth. Fact: Real GDP growth, per capita, has averaged nearly 1.7 percent per year since 1980. At that rate, the average person’s standard of living doubles every four decades or so.

11. Well, you wouldn’t know this by reading the GND. It cites grievance—“the top 1 percent of earners [accrue] 91 percent of gains”—after grievance—“a large racial wealth gap”—after grievance—“a gender earnings gap that results in women earning approximately 80 percent as much as men.”

12. Some of these claims are accurate. Others are not. But the point is that from reading the GND, one would have no idea that Ms. Ocasio-Cortez is living in the most prosperous era in human history.

13. The capitalism AOC decries as “irredeemable” has given us this:

14. Ms. Ocasio-Cortez can cite “life expectancy declining” as a reason to pass her GND. But take a look at the actual data on US life expectancy over the last 135 years.

15. Surelife expectancy did briefly dip between 2014 and 2016—by three-tenths of 1 percent. However, that decline was the result of drug overdoses and suicides. The trend has nothing to do with climate change and, more importantly, it’s a trend that’s not expected to continue.

16. Okay, okay, okay, you say. But what about the climate? What good is wealth and a long life if the planet BOILS IN A LAKE OF FIRE?!

17. Because that’s what AOC said is going to happen. “We’re, like, the world is going to end in 12 years if we don’t address climate change,” she explained in January.

18. It gets worse. Climate scientist Politician Beto O’Rourke says 12 years is actually wishful thinking. It’s more like 10.

19. AOC might be right. Or maybe O’Rourke is. On the other hand, some scientists who have, like, Nobel Prizes, are less convinced that a global warming apocalypse is upon us.

20. Perhaps realizing that there is a small chance the world will still be here in 2031, AOC recently hedged on her assertion that the world will end in 12 years if we don’t act.

21. It was all big joke, you see.

22. The world’s not really ending in 12 years.

23. And yet—the GND is still on the table, and fossil fuels are still the enemy. In fact, the stated goal of the GND is to meet “100 percent of the power demand in the United States through clean, renewable, and zero-emission energy sources.”

24. Is this possible? The cars we drive, the homes we cool and heat, and the lights that illuminate our world all require vast amounts of energy. How much energy? Well, Americans on average use about 310 million BTU annually. That’s roughly 1.005400000E+17 nationally.

25. The lowest cost alternative to coal and natural gas is nuclear energy. The US currently has 99 nuclear reactors, each of which have a generating capacity between 582 megawatts and 3937 megawatts. Together, these 99 reactors generate 20 percent of US electricity.

26. Sixty-three percent of US electricity comes from fossil fuels, however. To switch that 63 percent to nuclear energy would require more than 200 additional nuclear reactors. At approximately $15 billion per plant, the total cost over the 10-year period would be around $3 trillion just to build the reactors.

27. Yeah, that’s a pretty penny. In fact, that’s nearly all federal revenue collected in 2017. So it’s doable but extremely expensive. However, AOC said building more nuclear plants is off-limits.

28. Graciously, however, she said she will allow nuclear plants already built to continue operating… for now. Her office said that’s because it’s unclear just how fast “we will be able to decommission every nuclear plant.”

29. This is odd because nuclear power is safecheapreliable, and generates zero greenhouse gasses. That’s why the Union of Concerned Scientists recently said nuclear energy is necessary to address climate change.

30. In fact, the idea that we could come close to meeting our energy needs without fossil fuels, nuclear plants, or a historic breakthrough in fusion is, well…

31. Perhaps this is why House Speaker Nancy Pelosi came up with a pet name for the Green New Deal: “The Green Dream or Whatever.”

32. Pelosi didn’t stop there. “It’s enthusiastic, and I appreciate the enthusiasm,” said the House Speaker.

33. Ouch. Perhaps this is why AOC backed off and said maybe nuclear energy is still on the table.

34. Either way, the Green New Deal would mean big changes. But how big? And how would those changes be made? Steve Inskeep, a journalist at NPR and host of the Morning Edition program, asked AOC if her plan requires “massive government intervention.”

35. “It does. It does. Yeah. I have no problem saying that,” she responded, according to the transcript.

36. Say what you will about AOC, she deserves points for honesty. At least that morning she did. Here is what she said later in the day: “One way the right tries to mischaracterize what we’re doing as though it’s like some kind of massive government takeover… obviously, it’s not that.”

37. The Green New Deal, it’s safe to say, is rather confusing. The big question: How worried should you be?

38. Not that worried, actually. The legislation that comprises the GND, as Factcheck.org explains, is nonbinding. This means that if the bill passes, it will not “have the force of law.”

39. That’s right. Political parties and pundits have spent millions of hours(ish) talking about legislation that is essentially meaningless. The GND, one could say, is a massive PR stunt. (Consider this: if you Google “Green New Deal,” you’ll get 2.32 billion—billion—hits in .62 seconds.)

40. That’s frustrating, but keep in mind: a) politics is dumb; b) we should be thankful—exceedingly thankful—the Green New Deal will not have the power of law behind it should it actually pass.

41. Why? Because as former Greenpeace president Patrick Moore pointed out, untold numbers of people likely would die if the GND became binding law.

You don’t have a plan to grow food for 8 billion people without fossil fuels, or get food into the cities. Horses? If fossil fuels were banned every tree in the world would be cut down for fuel for cooking and heating. You would bring about mass death.

42. Yeah, that’s kind of terrifying. Now, nobody is saying AOC wants millions to die. No one wants that. But it’s an overlooked fact that most of the horrors of the 20th century were committed by people attempting to use government and force to improve the world, not markets and free exchange.

43. “The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to [humans] how little they really know about what they imagine they can design,” the Nobel Prize-winning economist F.A. Hayek observed in The Fatal Conceit.

44. Hayek’s statement includes everyone—even the charming young congresswoman from the Bronx New York City.

READ THE GREEN NEW DEAL FOR YOURSELF HERE.

COLUMN BY

Jon Miltimore

Jonathan Miltimore is the Managing Editor of FEE.org. His writing/reporting has been the subject of articles in TIME magazine, The Wall Street Journal, CNN, Forbes, Fox News, and the Star Tribune. Bylines: Newsweek, The Washington Times, MSN.com, The Washington Examiner, The Daily Caller, The Federalist, the Epoch Times.

EDITORS NOTE: This FEE column is republished with permission. ©All rights reserved.

Media Balanced Newsletter: Energy, Environment, Covid, Policy, Politics and More

Welcome to the latest issue of our Media Balance Newsletter, which covers a wide range of national interest topics: from COVID to Climate.

(For all 2020 Newsletters, go here. For all 2021 Newsletters, go here.)

(Our ten Election Integrity Reports are now at: Election-Integrity.info. Please pass that link onto your social media contacts…)

COVID-19: Therapy

Ivermectin is effective for COVID-19 when used early. Analysis of 60 studies

Sen. Johnson says early treatment of COVID could’ve saved thousands

Study: ‘staggering’ number of American lives could have been saved with HCQ

A Guide to Home Based COVID-19 Treatment

COVID-19: Vaccines

COVID’s warped vaccines

Pfizer VP: The thing to be Terrified of, is your Government

4,000± fully vaccinated people in MA test positive for COVID-19

Inventor of mRNA Technology Warned FDA That Shots Could be Dangerous

Politics Not Science Behind Failure to Acknowledge COVID Vaccine Risks

Canadian surgeon FIRED for voicing vaccine concerns

Choice Is Fine; Mandates Are Not!

Pakistan Shuts Off Phone Service To Non-Vaccinated Citizens

COVID-19: Misc

Fabulous Fauci Falters

WHO Declares Mask And Social Distancing Policies To Continue Indefinitely

The Failure of Imperial College Modeling Is Far Worse than We Knew

Scientists Admit Lab-Leak Hypothesis Was Valid Last Year

Pandemic: The Original Star Trek Series Foretold a Future Biological War

Short video: How Does It End?

Greed Energy Economics

China Delivers Crushing Blow To Wind, Solar Power

In Texas, Wind and Solar Got $22 Billion in Subsidies

Scientists See No Science in Carbon Tax

Carbon tax hurts competitiveness

Wind Turbines: Health and Ecosystem Impacts

Fact Sheet: Wind Energy – Coatings (Resins & Systems)

Epoxy Resins in Wind Energy Applications

Study: The adverse health effects of Bisphenol A (BPA)

Bisphenol A (BPA) into the environment from wind turbines

Bisphenol A in wind turbines damages human fertility

Bisphenol A and the environmentally destructive nature of industrial wind turbines

NGO raises concerns over environmental impact of chemicals used in turbines

Study: Emissions from corrosion protection systems of offshore wind turbines

Study: Unsustainable Wind Turbine Blade Disposal Practices in the United States

Are Wind Turbines A Significant Threat To Birds?

Wind Energy: Other

South Dakota rocked again as a wind turbine plant shuts its doors

Almost Everyone Hates Wind Turbines

French military restricts wind turbines within 70km (43+ miles) of a base

Public Opposition kills an Ohio Wind Project

Hawaii Community Has Had Enough Of Towering Wind Turbines

Solar Energy

Harvard Study: The Dark Side of Solar Power

Why Everything They Said About Solar Was Wrong

Solar panels ‘chronically underperforming’ and degrading faster than anticipated

NY County hopes new recycling law will discourage solar developers

The Real Solar-Panel Price Crisis Hasn’t Begun Yet

Solar panels are creating 50x more waste than predicted, and much of it is toxic

Indiana appeals court rejects solar opponents’ request for review

Short video: Solar concerns, Chautauqua Township (NY)

Nuclear Energy

Nuclear Power Just Doesn’t Need Much Fuel

Wyoming towns eager to host next-generation nuclear reactor

Legislation introducing nuclear production tax credit

The Real Reason Biden’s Climate Agenda Is Failing Is Because It’s Anti-Nuclear

Fossil Fuel Energy

Electric power fantasies are lining up

The Current Legal Onslaught Is Unlikely To Limit World Oil Production

Pipeline vs Train vs Ship to Transport Crude Oil

Blame fossil fuels for the world populating to 8 billion

The CLEAN Future Act Could Cripple the American Oil & Gas Industry

Texas Legislature advances bills to shield oil and gas from climate initiatives

Texas Bill to End Energy Discrimination Sent to Governor’s Desk

Report: Global fossil fuel use similar to decade ago

Russian Supply Curbs Exacerbate Squeeze On European Gas Market

Manmade Global Warming: Some Deceptions

Wind turbines contain the world’s most powerful green house gas, SF6

Is Climate Change ‘Science’?

The Myth of Humans Causing Global Warming Is Shattered

The Warmers and the Wilders

New Studies Show Drought is Now Less Common and Severe than in the Past

Roger Pielke Jr. Weighs in on This Week’s Hysteria: Drought

Study: The Global Mean Temperature Anomaly Record

Clubs of Doom and the Limits to Climate Models

Great Barrier Reef has completely recovered from 2016 bleaching event

Dutch court gets climate science wrong

The Claim 37% of Heat Deaths are Caused by Global Warming is Absurd

Manmade Global Warming: Misc

Study: How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temp trends?

Is a “Climate Lockdown” on the Horizon?

COVID Lockdowns Morphing Into Climate Lockdowns

Swiss voters reject key climate change measures

The Utter Uselessness of Climate Change ‘Science’

Climate Change Elitists, Spineless Bankers and Insurers Assault our Liberty

US Climate Policy by Judicial Decree

Archive: The Environmental Scam: One Quick and Easy Response

US Elections: General

A.U.D.I.T. of Elections: Is the Dam Breaking?

Election Fraud is an Issue that Will Not Go Away

Accurate List of 2020 Presidential Election Lawsuits…

Important Recommendations for Meaningful Election Reform

The Real Big Lie: You Can’t Question Elections

Why a forensic election audit is vital

Post-election forensic audits ‘only way’ to verify election integrity

What difference does proving a stolen election make – all the difference in the world

The Supreme Court’s Day of Reckoning is Coming

Movie: The Deep Rig

US Election: January 6th, 2021

What I Saw At The ‘Save America Rally’ In Washington, DC On Jan. 6

What really happened on Capitol Hill on Jan 6?

Unindicted Conspirators in 1/6 Cases Raise Questions of Federal Foreknowledge

Several good articles about the 1-6-21 situation

Carlson Raises a Serious Alarm Bell About Babbitt’s Murder and the Enemy Within

Deprogramming of January 6 Defendants Is Underway

Congressman Gaetz Demands Transparency on FBI’s Involvement on January 6th

US Election Laws, HR.1/S.1

Democrats’ Election Bill S.1—Amended, or not—Is Wrong for America

Bipartisan Groups Unite to Fight Anti-Citizen Privacy Provisions in HR.1 and S.1

Manchin Offers Compromise on Voting Rights Bill

Manchin moves shake up Dem strategy for massive elections bill

Manchin’s Voter-ID Deception

There’s a Reason Why Democrats Can’t Get Their Election Bills Passed

Democrats’ partisan power grab fails — for now

US Election Laws, HR.4

The Left’s Next Voting Bill Is Even Worse Than HR 1

Quashing S.1 is not enough

The Unnecessary and Unconstitutional Lewis Voting Rights Act (HR.4)

Dems’ HR.4 another election power grab – here’s what’s in it and how to fight back

Demand Justice in Election Integrity Without Sacrificing Our Principles

US Elections, Arizona Issues

Attorney General Brnovich Slams Garland’s Threat to Involve Feds in Audit

AZ Senator: State Lawmakers Prepared to Act on Findings From Election Audit

US Elections, Georgia Issues

Georgia to remove 100k ‘outdated’ names and 18k dead people from voter rolls

Georgia audit documents expose significant election failures in largest county

Georgia investigator’s notes reveal ‘massive’ election integrity problems in Atlanta

Why a Judge Has Georgia Vote Fraud on His Mind

Georgia Conducting Secret 2020 Ballot Review — Keeping Plaintiffs in the Dark

Election Integrity Alliance Statement on DOJ Interference in Georgia Elections

Atlanta: The Cesspool of the South

Fulton County (GA) Official Admits Chain of Custody Missing for 2020 Absentee Ballots Deposited in Drop Boxes

US Elections, Other State Issues

Wisconsin Legislature Passes Strong Bill to Limit Private Election Funding

Wisconsin Legislature Passes Common Sense Voter I.D. Protections

Wis. official says Zuckerberg-funded group seized control of 2020 election

Why PA Needs a Forensic Audit

Study: A Comprehensive Review of Pennsylvania’s Election Laws

US Politics and Socialism

Biden Asks Americans to Report ‘Potentially’ Radicalized Friends and Family

Mark Carney, man of destiny, arises to revolutionize society. It won’t be pleasant

A challenge to Mark Carney — let’s talk it out

Finally! US Bill Introduced To Clamp Down On Big Tech Censorship

Even North Korea is not this nuts: Defector slams ‘woke’ US schools

Explosive New Book on Marx Explains the Left’s Plan for America

Jailed Murderer Wins Public Office in D.C. Election

Letter to black America explaining the real purpose of made-for-TV racial conflict

Other US Politics and Related

Fight to Win the Propaganda Wars or Die

Anatomy of the Woke Madness

Welcome to Wokespeak: Its Logic-Defying Rhetoric Is Making Heads Spin

The World Loves Free Speech—Except When They’re Offended

The Three-way Squeeze

Biden Spews More Misinformation Overseas

Corrupt EPA stacks CASAC panel with agency grant cronies

Extremists in the Military — God I Hope So

Iran’s new, hardline leader Raisi may complicate U.S. sanctions deal

$500/mo “basic income’ payments tested in upstate NY

Canada ‘s Top Ten List of America ‘s Stupidity

Religion Related

Chinese Communist Party-linked newspaper political cartoon mocks Christianity

Democratic Ted Lieu accuses Catholic bishops of hypocrisy

Still Silent Shepherds—An Open Letter To Post-Pandemic Pastors

Vatican in ‘unprecedented’ challenge to Italy homophobia law

Education Related

The Single Best Thing Americans Can Do to Retake America

Florida bans ‘critical race theory’ from its classrooms

We Need to Teach About the Socialist Alternative…and Its Failure

The Pros And Cons Of Going Into Crippling Debt To Acquire A Useless Degree

Kim Jong Un Attends Ivy League School To Learn New Brainwashing Techniques

A Conservative Student’s Experience at UNC-Chapel Hill

Science and Misc Matters

How ‘Experts’ Abused Science to Saddle America with the Microaggression Mania

Moving beyond passwords will happen much faster thanks to Apple’s latest move

A fascinating study about US vacation home sales

A guide to living at a black hole

The Rise and Fall of an American Tech Giant: Kodak

Please use social media, etc. to pass on this Newsletter to other open-minded citizens…

Note 1: It’s recommended to read the Newsletter on your computer, not your phone, as some documents (e.g. PDFs) are much easier to read on a large computer screen…  Common fonts, etc. have been used to minimize display issues.

Note 2: To accommodate numerous requests received about prior articles, we’ve put together detailed archives — where you can search by year, or over the ten+ years of the Newsletter. For a detailed background about the Newsletter, please read this.

Note 3: See this extensive list of reasonable books on climate change that complements the Newsletter. As a parallel effort, there is also a list of some good books related to industrial wind energy. Both topics are also extensively covered on our WiseEnergy.org website.

Note 4: If you’d like to join the 10,000+ worldwide readers and get your own free copy of this periodic Newsletter, simply send John an email saying that.

Note 5: John is not an attorney or a physician, so no material appearing in any of the Newsletters (or the WiseEnergy.org website) should be construed as giving legal or medical advice. His recommendation has always been: consult a competent, licensed attorney when you are involved with legal issues, and consult a competent physician regarding medical issues.

Copyright © 2021; Alliance for Wise Energy Decisions (see WiseEnergy.org)

PODCAST: Ending Hydraulic Fracturing Will Sabotage America as Energy Prices Soar!

GUESTS AND TOPICS

CONGRESSMAN TOM PRICE

Congressman Tom Price served as the U.S. Representative for Georgia’s 6th congressional district, encompassing the northern suburbs of Atlanta, A physician Dr Price He was appointed Secretary of Health and Human Services by President Donald Trump. While in Congress, Price chaired the House Committee on the Budget, Republican Study Committee and Republican Policy Committee.

TOPIC: Former HHS Secretary Dr. Tom Price Reacts to Affordable Care Act Surviving Latest Challenge in Supreme Court.

TOM HARRIS

Tom Harris is Executive Director of the Ottawa, Canada-based International Climate Science Coalition, and a policy advisor to The Heartland Institute. He has 40 years experience as a mechanical engineer/project manager, science and technology communications professional, technical trainer, and S&T advisor to a former Opposition Senior Environment Critic in Canada’s Parliament.

TOPIC: Ending Hydraulic Fracturing Will Sabotage America as Energy Prices Soar!

©Conservative Commandoes Radio. All rights reserved.

Climate Models: Worse Than Nothing?

“Climate modeling is central to climate science….” (Stephen Koonin, below)

 

When the history of climate modeling comes to be written in some distant future, the major story may well be how the easy, computable answer turned out to be the wrong one, resulting in overestimated warming and false scares from the enhanced (man-made) greenhouse effect. 

Meanwhile, empirical and theoretical evidence is mounting toward this game-changing verdict despite the best efforts of the establishment to look the other way.

Consider a press release this month from the University of Colorado Boulder, “Warmer Clouds, Cooler Planet,” subtitled “precipitation-related ‘feedback’ cycle means models may overestimate warming.”

“Today’s climate models are showing more warmth than their predecessors,” the announcement begins.

But a paper published this week highlights how models may err on the side of too much warming: Earth’s warming clouds cool the surface more than anticipated, the German-led team reported in Nature Climate Change.

“Our work shows that the increase in climate sensitivity from the last generation of climate models should be taken with a huge grain of salt,” said CIRES Fellow Jennifer Kay, an associate professor of atmospheric and oceanic sciences at CU Boulder and co-author on the paper.

The press release goes on to state how incorporating this negative feedback will improve next-generation climate models, something that is of the utmost importance given the upcoming Sixth Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). But will conflicted modelers and the politicized IPCC be upfront with the elephant in the room?

Background

Strong positive feedbacks from the release of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other manmade greenhouse gases (GHG) are what turn a modest and even positive warming into the opposite. The assumption has been that increased evaporation in a warmer world (from oceans, primarily) causes a strongly positive feedback, doubling or even tripling the primary warming.

In technical terms, water molecules trap heat, and clouds or vapor in the upper tropical troposphere – where the air is extremely dry – trap substantially more heat, thickening the greenhouse. How water inhabits this upper layer (≈30,000–50,000 feet) to either block (magnify) or release (diminish) the heat is in debate, leaving the sign of the externality unknown for climate economics. And it is the upper troposphere where climate models are data-confounding.

Assuming fixed relative atmospheric humidity allows modelers to invoke ceteris paribus against altered physical processes that might well negate the secondary warming. This controversial assumption opens the door for hyper-modeling that is at odds with reality. (For economists, the analogy would be assuming “perfect competition” to unleash hyper theorizing.)

For decades, model critics have questioned the simplified treatment of complexity. Meanwhile, climate models have predicted much more warming than has transpired.

Theoreticians have long been at odds with model technicians. MIT’s Richard Lindzen, author of Dynamics in Atmospheric Physics, has advanced different hypotheses about why water-vapor feedback is much less than modeled. Judith Curry, whose blog Climate Etc. is a leading source to follow physical-science and related developments, is another critic of high-sensitivity models.

“There’s a range of credible perspectives that I try to consider,” she states. “It’s a very complex problem, and we don’t have the answers yet.”

And now we have way too much confidence in some very dubious climate models and inadequate data sets. And we’re not really framing the problem broadly enough to … make credible projections about the range of things that we could possibly see in the 21st century.

Mainstream Recognition

Climate scientists know that climate models are extremely complicated and fragile. In What We Know About Climate Change (2018, p. 30), Kerry Emanuel of MIT explains:

Computer modeling of global climate is perhaps the most complex endeavor ever undertaken by humankind. A typical climate model consists of millions of lines of computer instructions designed to simulate an enormous range of physical phenomena….

Although the equations representing the physical and chemical processes in the climate system are well known, they cannot be solved exactly. …. The problem here is that many important processes happen at much smaller scales.

The parameterization problem is akin to the fallacies of macroeconomics, where the crucial causality of individual action is ignored. Microphysics is the driver of climate change, yet the equations are unsettled and sub-grid scale. Like macroeconomics, macro-climatology should have been highly qualified and demoted long ago.

My mentor Gerald North, former head of the climatology department at Texas A&M, had a number of observations about the crude, overrated nature of climate models back in 1998–99 that are still relevant today.

We do not know much about modeling climate. It is as though we are modeling a human being. Models are in position at last to tell us the creature has two arms and two legs, but we are being asked to cure cancer.

There is a good reason for a lack of consensus on the science. It is simply too early. The problem is difficult, and there are pitifully few ways to test climate models.

One has to fill in what goes on between 5 km and the surface. The standard way is through atmospheric models. I cannot make a better excuse.

The different models couple to the oceans differently. There is quite a bit of slack here (undetermined fudge factors). If a model is too sensitive, one can just couple in a little more ocean to make it agree with the record. This is why models with different sensitivities all seem to mock the record about equally well. (Modelers would be insulted by my explanation, but I think it is correct.)

[Model results] could also be sociological: getting the socially acceptable answer.

The IPCC 5th assessment (2013), the “official” or mainstream report, recognizes fundamental uncertainty while accepting model methodology and results at face value. “The complexity of models,” it is stated (p. 824), “has increased substantially since the IPCC First Assessment Report in 1990….”

However, every bit of added complexity, while intended to improve some aspect of simulated climate, also introduces new sources of possible error (e.g., via uncertain parameters) and new interactions between model components that may, if only temporarily, degrade a model’s simulation of other aspects of the climate system. Furthermore, despite the progress that has been made, scientific uncertainty regarding the details of many processes remains.

The humbling nature of climate modeling was publicized by The Economist in 2019. “Predicting the Climate Future is Riddled with Uncertainty” explained:

[Climate modeling] is a complicated process. A model’s code has to represent everything from the laws of thermodynamics to the intricacies of how air molecules interact with one another. Running it means performing quadrillions of mathematical operations a second—hence the need for supercomputers.

[S]uch models are crude. Millions of grid cells might sound a lot, but it means that an individual cell’s area, seen from above, is about 10,000 square kilometres, while an air or ocean cell may have a volume of as much as 100,000km3. Treating these enormous areas and volumes as points misses much detail.

Clouds, for instance, present a particular challenge to modellers. Depending on how they form and where, they can either warm or cool the climate. But a cloud is far smaller than even the smallest grid-cells, so its individual effect cannot be captured. The same is true of regional effects caused by things like topographic features or islands.

Building models is also made hard by lack of knowledge about the ways that carbon—the central atom in molecules of carbon dioxide and methane, the main heat-capturing greenhouse gases other than water vapour—moves through the environment.

“But researchers are doing the best they can,” The Economist concluded.

Climate models, in fact, are significantly overestimating warming, even by one-half. And the gap is widening as a coolish 2021 is well underway. And as for the future, anthropogenic warming is constrained by the logarithmic rather than linear effect of GHG forcing. The saturation effect means that as the atmosphere contains more CO2, the warming increase becomes less and less. The warming from a doubling of CO2, in other words, does not reoccur at a tripling but a quadrupling.

The mitigation window is rapidly closing, in other words, explaining the shrill language from prominent politicians. But it is the underlying climate models, not the climate itself, that is running out of time.

“Unsettled” Goes Mainstream

The crude methodology and false conclusions of climate modeling is emerging from the shadows. Physicist and computer expert Steven Koonin, in his influential Unsettled: What Climate Science Tells Us, What it Doesn’t, and Why It Matters (chapter 4) explains:

Climate modeling is central to climate science…. Yet many important phenomena occur on scales smaller than the 100 km (60 mile) grid size (such as mountains, clouds, and thunderstorms), and so researchers must make “subgrid” assumptions to build a complete model….

Since the results generally don’t much look like the climate system we observe, modelers then adjust (“tune”) these parameters to get a better match with some features of the real climate system.

Undertuning leaves the model unrealistic, but overturning “risks cooking the books—that is, predetermining the answer,” adds Koonin. He then quotes from a paper co-authored by 15 world-class modelers:

… tuning is often seen as an unavoidable but dirty part of climate modeling, more engineering than science, an act of tinkering that does not merit recording in the scientific literature…. Tuning may be seen indeed as an unspeakable way to compensate for model errors.

Conclusion

Climate modeling has arguably been worse than nothing because false information has been presented as true and “consensus.” Alarmism and disruptive policy activism (forced substitution of inferior energies; challenges to lifestyle norms) have taken on a life of their own. Fire, ready, aim has substituted for prudence, from science to public policy.

Data continue to confound naïve climate models. Very difficult theory is slowly but surely explaining why. The climate debate is back to the physical science, where it never should have left.

*****

This article was published on June 23, 2021 and is reproduced with permission from AIER, The American Institute for Economic Research.

Swiss Voters Reject Climate Legislation

The Swiss have one of the few federal systems in the world. And interestingly, they are perhaps the only country to limit government power through a federal system of cantons and direct initiative voting that developed before, and independently of England.

Other countries that have a dispersion of power systems like the United States and Canada, all were offspring of mother England.  Switzerland was not. Few, if any countries, allow direct referendums to have a say on taxes, as they do in Switzerland.

Switzerland also has a stronger sense of national identity than most European nations.  It is striking traveling from either France or Germany into Switzerland. In France and Germany, one rarely sees a flag.  In Switzerland, it is not uncommon to see Swiss flags openly displayed on homes and even woodpiles. The Swiss feel differently than the rest of the Euro blob and display this openly. The nation-state still lives in Switzerland.

The Swiss are a very knowledgeable and worldly people, trading with everyone they can, neutral in most disputes, and they host numerous diplomatic parleys and are the home to many international organizations. But with all this international sophistication, they don’t view themselves as US elites do as “citizens of the world.” No, they are Swiss.

Perhaps then, there is a signal that the hysteria about climate change, which is reaching a fever pitch in the United States right now, may be ebbing.

According to Euro Intelligence, having withdrawn from talks with the EU, Switzerland decided to make her own decisions about climate change legislation in the form of a referendum.

There were three parts to the proposed law: CO2 emissions (the supposed cause of global warming), pesticides, and drinking water quality. All three portions of the law were rejected by voters.

The law had been approved by a cross-party majority, reflecting the gains in the Green Party in 2019. But when sent before the people, the recent referendum failed 52-48%.

As in voting seen in the United States with Trump, and in England with Brexit, there was a distinct division between rural and urban voters. Also striking was that opposition in the 60-70% range came from 18-34-year-olds. Without the opposition of the young, it arguably would have passed.

Given the brainwashing that is done in public education these days, that outcome is a bit of a surprise.

It is going to take more political forensics to determine why this has occurred, but here are several theories.

The Swiss likely felt whatever they did, their tiny footprint would have little impact on the climate as long as China is given a free ride to burn all the coal they want to. It is no use wrecking your standard of living to no avail.

There is a strong skepticism that the “science” of climate, based largely on computer modeling, is bogus. After the disasters of Covid modeling, there certainly is justification for such skepticism.

What started with a claim that carbon dioxide would create a “greenhouse effect”, has morphed into murky “climate change”. This switch in verbiage permits the green lagoon, which is the powerful combination of corporate interests seeking subsidies and socialist politicians, to grab power for any reason, since the climate is always changing, with or without human actions.  It could be voters are getting wise to this scam.

Wealthy urban elites often push policies that crush the economic potential of rural areas that survive with farming, logging, ranching, and mining. Rural people often pay the costs, directly, and through lost opportunities, to the urban wealthy whose view of nature is often solely through the narrow lens of recreation. Talking about the theory of climate change can make you feel hip and cool, but when presented with the bill, it is not so cool.

Whatever adaptation we must make to climate change, man-made or natural, can be done much cheaper and without giving such arbitrary power to government by addressing specific problems rather than attempting grand scale central planning, hoping efforts will in the end, actually change the climate of the planet. Human efforts have to compete with changes in ocean temperatures often changed by natural undersea volcanoes, ocean currents, the tilt of the earth on its axis,  sunspot, and sun intensity changes, plus radiation.

The interaction of all these variables is not understood well and man plays virtually no role in most of them. Voters are growing wary of schemes that destroy the economy and warp choices through subsidies. It is watermelon politics. That is, green on the outside and red on the inside.

Perhaps, the pure hubris of the environmental movement is just starting to turn people off.  It has very much become a hectoring secular religion. Only instead of teaching people to treat their fellow man better, it teaches people to treat people quite poorly, (let them die of malaria) especially if they don’t agree with your vision. Worse yet, this secular religion is not separated from the state, it has in fact become the state.  We have seen that model of governance before, and it is not pretty.

Whatever the set of factors are, it was good to see the Swiss vote No.

 

 

Watch: COVID Lockdowns Morphing Into Climate Lockdowns

Climate Depot’s Marc Morano reacts to climate activist fantasy for keeping emissions down.

WATCH:

“Chuck Schumer is urging Biden to declare a national climate emergency. Just like a blue-state governor, he could have emergency powers,” Marc Morano of Climate Depot said on Tucker Carlson’s Fox News show last night. Morano continued: “The World Health Organization employees are now recommending these climate lockdowns. …In the UK they’ve proposed CO2 ration cards that the government or employers would monitor your CO2 levels, your energy use. This is the world…A CO2 budget for every man, woman, and child on the planet has been proposed by a German climate advisor. This is what we’re looking at.”

“We have the major UK report that came out; we have an International Energy Agency report that came out… calling for essentially the same type of lockdowns — everything from restrictions on your thermostat to restrictions of moving. You can only fly in a climate emergency when it’s ‘morally justifiable.'”

Morano warned: “They’re going after freedom of movement; they’re going after private car ownership, they’re going after everything it means to be a free person and turning it over to the administrative state.”

©Marc Morano. All rights reserved.

Biden Backward On Energy

The Biden White House is run by ideologues who do not understand the real world.

Nowhere is this more evident than on energy.

CFACT joined a coalition of nine public policy organizations to co-sign a letter detailing the egregious mistake that regressing to the “CAFE” fuel standards for vehicles would be.  Read the full letter.

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) wants to go back to the problematic Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards for vehicles. The Trump Administration had previously replaced CAFE with the Safer Affordable Fuel Efficient (SAFE) Vehicles Rule.

CAFE standards mandate unrealistic fuel efficiency requirements which force automakers to push tiny little vehicles and electric cars that are less safe or short range and not what the American driver wants or needs.

CAFE essentially gave California the power to bully the rest of the nation into its fuel efficiency rules, as the Obama Administration granted California an unlawful exemption from federal standards.

The people running Biden’s energy policy are making an even bigger mistake in their plans to factor in a radical “social cost of carbon” number to press a dishonest big green thumb down on the scales when undertaking cost-benefit analysis of their energy policies.

Not only is this “social cost” factor derived through wildly inaccurate assumptions, it ignores the tremendous social benefits which flow from affordable, abundant, domestically produced energy.

This social cost ploy is so mistaken that 12 states have filed suit against it.  CFACT is taking direct action by informing the court through a fact-filled amicus brief which debunks the mistaken assumptions behind social cost math and details the social benefits Biden’s handlers so blithely ignore.

Details and plans to follow.

EDITORS NOTE: This CFACT column is republished with permission. ©All rights reserved.

DEMOCRAT EPIC FAIL: Federal Judge Lifts Biden’s Moratorium on New Oil and Gas Leases on Federal Land

The Democrats war on Americans, American businesses and American freedoms has suffered a serious setback. Harder! Faster!

Federal Judge Lifts Biden’s Moratorium on New Oil and Gas Leases on Federal Land

By: New York Post, June 17, 2021:

A Louisiana federal judge issued an order lifting President Biden’s moratorium on new oil and gas leases on federal land Tuesday, ruling that the White House did not give any “rational explanation” for implementing the pause.

US District Judge Terry Doughty sided with 13 states in granting a preliminary injunction that applies nationwide. The states challenging the moratorium were Louisiana, Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Georgia, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Texas, Utah and West Virginia.

Louisiana Attorney General Jeff Landry hailed Doughty’s ruling as “a victory not only for the rule of law, but also for the thousands of workers who produce affordable energy for Americans.”

Biden implemented the moratorium on Jan. 27 as part of a series of executive orders signed during his first days in office, which included the cancellation of the Keystone Pipeline.

In his ruling, Doughty found that only Congress has the power to pause offshore oil and gas leases and ordered that plans be resumed for delayed lease sales for the Gulf of Mexico and Alaska. The judge also agreed with the states’ argument that a pause on oil and gas leases would do “irreparable injury ” by depriving them of revenue and causing massive job losses.

“Millions and possibly billions of dollars are at stake,” Doughty wrote. “Local government funding, jobs for Plaintiff State workers, and funds for the restoration of Louisiana’s Coastline are at stake. Plaintiff States have a reliance interest in the proceeds derived from offshore and on land oil and gas lease sales.”
see also

Oil demand will exceed pre-COVID levels by end of 2022: energy agency

Doughty also agreed with the states that the administration enacted the pause without providing adequate notice or the ability to comment on the policy.

Lawyers for the Biden administration had argued that the lease sales held up by the moratorium aren’t required by law and that the secretary of the interior has broad discretion in leasing decisions.

“No existing lease has been cancelled as a result of any of the actions challenged here, and development activity from exploration through drilling and production has continued at similar levels as the preceding four years,” they argued.

The White House had no immediate reaction to the ruling.

EDITORS NOTE: This Geller Report column is republished with permission. ©All rights reserved.

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Beijing Power Players Poised To Pull Plug On Prospects To Go ‘All-Electric’

Editors’ Note:  Even if one accepts the dubious proposition that carbon emissions cause global warming, it seems to us almost insane to wreck America’s energy infrastructure, while giving China a free pass on coal-fired plants until 2030. All of the U.S. sacrifices would do nothing to improve the situation as China is the main contributor to the problem. You wind up with the worst of both outcomes: the climate does not improve and we placed ourselves at the mercy of the Chinese Communist Party. It is naive to think the Chinese Communist Party would alter its ambitions because they feel the need to copy America’s supposed righteous behavior.

 

Feckless far-left fantasies of trading away the 80% of American fossil-fueled energy independence and prosperity for technologies that are 80% dependent on China’s rare earth materials makes for a gullible green new deal that only Beijing beneficiaries can love.

Included are 17 indispensable metals including lithium, that will be needed to supply those so-called green “technologies to decarbonize industry and power.”

Such 21st Century technologies are used in the manufacture of domestic and strategic military airplanes, computers and smart phones; electricity generation and transmission systems; advanced weapon guidance systems; and yes, those solar panels, wind turbines, and batteries for utility-scale energy storage and electric vehicles (EVs).

To the inevitable delight of Beijing oligarchs, Biden’s new policy priority focuses on a singular issue above all else that plays entirely to their advantage … namely to forego American energy independence for China’s support in promoting the administration’s climate crisis-premised agendas.

China is reportedly known to be looking into strategies to leverage its control of rare earths against competitive Western interests. Last January, according to the Financial Times, their Ministry of Industry and Information proposed draft controls where industry executives were asked to assess how U.S. and European companies could be affected if Beijing decided to cut rare-earth exports during a bilateral dispute.

A Chinese government adviser told the Financial Times that one of the topics discussed was whether the U.S. “may have trouble making F-35 fighter jets if China imposes an export ban.”

Meanwhile, as President Biden and his handlers have re-upped the U.S. in the Paris Climate Accord and called for slashing our greenhouse emissions by 50% or more by 2030 over the 2005 level, China, the largest CO2-emitter gets a free pass to continue ramping up its coal development until 2030.

Last year, China built over three times as much new coal power capacity as all other countries in the world combined — the equivalent of one large coal plant per week.

The Biden administration’s vainglorious holy war on hydrocarbons exemplified by capping off the Keystone XL pipeline, canceling oil and gas permitting on federal lands and waters, and this month suspending drilling leases in Alaska’s Arctic National Wildlife Refuge will vastly increase Beijing’s rare earth leverage and control over our national economy and security.

An unnecessary irony is that many of those “rare earths” aren’t truly all that rare.

Whereas China only actually possesses about an estimated one-third of global rare earth reserves, America also has an abundance of these natural resources.

The big problem is that environmental opposition to mining these dirty materials needed to create that “clean energy” has resulted in a regulatory minefield of local, state, and federal rules that have turned permitting into a costly decades-long process.

Lawmakers have all but banned rare earth mineral exploration and development on materials-rich federal lands, and the few once-active mines have been shuttered largely due to compliance costs.

Making matters even worse, many of the rare earths mined in the USA are processed in the People’s Republic of China because it’s cheaper to have them do it than to pay for American regulatory environmental and workplace safety costs.

Shortage pains will worsen as Democrat plans to transform America’s transportation to 100% EVs dramatically add to power demands, dependence on rare earth imports, and auto industry trade deficits.

In January 2020, Tesla Inc. kicked off production of its first vehicle manufactured outside the U.S. in its new $2 billion Shanghai, China factory.

GM, China’s second-biggest foreign automaker, is aiming to offer four models as it looks to improve its brand image and support a sales recovery: Chevrolet’s Tahoe and Suburban, Cadillac’s Escalade, and the GMC Yukon Denali.

Ford announced plans last January to manufacture its Mustang Mach-E, an all-electric SUV, in China.

In addition to providing a large automotive sales market, China will maintain a chokehold over batteries needed for U.S. EV and hybrid production everywhere.

A report from Securing America’s Future Energy indicates that China currently controls nearly 70% of electric vehicle battery manufacturing capacity, compared to just 10% by the U.S.

The report projects that 107 of the 142 EV battery manufacturing projects scheduled by 2021 will be in China… with only nine in the U.S.

Add to this disaster-in-waiting that Taiwan – a central target of exploitive Chinese Communist Party territorial ambitions – produces 92% of the world’s most sophisticated sub-7 nanometer semiconductor computer chips which form the backbone of many sectors in the rapidly evolving digital economy, ranging again from automotive – to smartphones – to advanced weapons systems.

The island is home to Taiwan Semiconductor CO. (TSMC), the world’s largest foundry and go-to producer of chips for Apple Inc. smartphones, artificial intelligence and high-performance computing.

Taiwan’s importance to the international auto industry recently became too important to ignore as shortfalls of chips used for everything from parking sensors to emission reduction recently forced carmakers including the U.S. Ford Motor Co., Germany’s Volkswagen AG, and Japan’s Toyota Motor Corp. to halt production.

Although the United States lacks a formal diplomatic relationship with Taiwan, we maintain unofficial ties with the self-ruled island under a 1979 Taiwan Relations Act which authorizes the U.S. to provide defensive military equipment through a nonprofit corporation called the American Institute in Taiwan which serves as a de facto American embassy.

Nevertheless, Washington has always been cautious about provoking a major confrontation with Beijing over Taiwan’s sovereignty, a circumstance which can be expected to be particularly true with the current White House.

President Biden and his B Team are transparently desperate in seeking China President Xi Jinping’s symbolic support for their obsessive Paris partnership.

We can also but imagine that Biden Family Inc. isn’t anxious to risk ugly Beijing extortion blowback regarding legendary foreign influence-peddling demons known to be residing in Hunter’s laptop from Hell.

Altogether, team Biden’s clueless climate crisis-premised carbon-cutting cooperation canard awards huge gifts to China.

First, Beijing gains leverage over America in establishing unserious and unrealistic CO2 emission concessions as key bargaining chits in bilateral economic and trade policies.

In concert with a weak and compliant U.S. president, Chinese oligarchs then gleefully watch as America abandons its rich hydrocarbon resource advantages to eliminate competition from an economic and military adversary.

On top of all this, the Chinese Communist Party gains control to hold hostage over the commercial, industrial, and military materials needed to power Biden’s fossil-free fantasy future.

Such destructively dunderheaded green new dealings will not end well for America.

*****

This article was published on June 11, 2021 and is reproduced with permission from CFACT, The Committee For a Constructive Tomorrow.

How Many Species Have Gone Extinct?

Editors’ Note:  Not many people keep a scorecard on the veracity of public statements.  If they did, they would find that most predictions from government and private organizations concerning “the environment” have a poor track record.  Many are based on faulty computer modeling and many tend to the hyperbolic to encourage fundraising or political action. Yet, even today, we are expected to upend our entire way of life, based on their predictions.  We offer what is below as an example.

 

In 1979, the EPA along with other federal agencies and the world’s leading environmental groups projected that “at least 500,000-600,000” species would become extinct by the year 2000. By how much did this projection overshoot reality?

What do you think?
Less than 10 times?
Less than 100 times?
More than 1000 times?

The correct answer is…more than 1000 times.

In 1977, President Jimmy Carter tasked the EPA and other federal agencies to estimate “probable changes” to the world’s environment up through the year 2000. This effort involved hundreds of people, including advisors from the world’s leading environmental groups. In 1979, this team released “The Global 2000 Report to the President of the U.S.,” which stated that under current policies and continued technological progress, “at least 500,000-600,000” species “will be extinguished during the next two decades.”

In 2004, the International Union for Conservation of Nature, the world’s leading authority on extinctions, reported: “At least 27 species are recorded as having become Extinct or Extinct in the Wild during the last 20 years (1984-2004).” The report notes that other extinctions may have occurred, such as “eight species of birds,” but more research is needed to be certain. Even if 100 species went extinct, the 1979 projection overshot the actual loss by more than 5,000 times.

*****

This article is adapted from Just Facts Daily, published on June 13, 2021.