Kari Lake Trial Bombshells: Data Expert Testifies ‘No Doubt’ She Would Have Won
By The Geller Report
“We can conclude with a degree of mathematical certainty that this affected this chunk of voters. Is That enough to have changed the outcome? And I am offering the opinion that that range is enough to put the outcome in doubt.”
2022 Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake and her attorneys once again took the stand on Thursday as the trial moved forward proving she was the rightful winner of the race.
Lawyers for Lake are focusing on problems with ballot printers at a majority of the polling places in Maricopa County, home to more than 60% of voters. The defective printers produced ballots that were too light to be read by the on-site tabulators at polling places. Lines backed up in some areas amid the chaos and confusion.
Expert in Kari Lake election suit: ‘No doubt’ she would have won without Maricopa Election Day chaos
The trial is set to conclude Thursday.
By Natalia Mittelstadt, Just The News, December 22, 2022:
Election modeling expert Richard Baris said Thursday in the Kari Lake election lawsuit that his projections showed as many as 40,000 voters were disenfranchised over Election Day chaos in Arizona’s Maricopa County, causing him to “have no doubt” that she would’ve won the gubernatorial election had there been no problems at polling centers.
Baris is the final witness for Lake in the scheduled two-day trial for her election lawsuit.
Baris testified that 25,000 to 40,000 voters were disenfranchised in the county as a result of roughly one in five vote centers suffering problems with ballot tabulator machines in the first hours of Election Day
“We’ve got about 20% of the locations out there where there’s an issue with the tabulator,” Maricopa Board of Supervisors Chairman Bill Gates, a Republican, said on election night. Describing the problem, he said that after some voters filled out their ballot, the machine wouldn’t accept it. Since then, the county has admitted that 70 out of the 223 vote centers experienced issues on Election Day.
Election officials, however, assured voters their ballots would still be counted as a result of redundancy protocols.
The vote margin between Lake and Hobbs is 17,117 votes.
Baris said the net gain Lake would’ve received in the votes that weren’t cast on Election Day would have made her the winner of the Arizona gubernatorial election.
Baris testified that his firm, Big Data Poll, typically finds the difference in the exit-poll participation rates between early voters and Election Day voters is about 5-8%. In Maricopa County last month, however, the difference was about 20%, further suggesting that would-be voters there stayed home upon learning about voting machine problems.
That has “never happened to me before,” he said.
Following Baris’ testimony, Lake’s lawyers rested their case, and legal counsel for the defendants called their first witness, Kenneth Mayer, a political science professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Mayer, who said he has been involved in polling for the last 30 years, testified that there was no data to support the idea that ballot tabulator issues on Election Day caused voters to be disenfranchised and affected the outcome of the election.
The professor discounted Baris’ polling data, noting issues with self-reporting rather than using systematic methods, and said that Baris’ conclusions about his own data weren’t supported by the data.
During direct examination by the defendants’ legal counsel, he addressed the declarations regarding long wait times at vote centers, saying that the estimates widely varied and people generally do not correctly guess wait times due to the frustration of waiting in line.
Under cross-examination by Lake’s legal counsel, Mayer said that he didn’t verify the accuracy of the wait times provided by Maricopa County.
Lake, the 2022 Arizona GOP gubernatorial nominee, is suing her Democratic opponent, Governor-elect and Secretary of State Katie Hobbs; Maricopa County Recorder Stephen Richer; the county Board of Supervisors; and county Director of Elections Scott Jarrett.
Lake’s case alleges the “number of illegal votes cast in Arizona’s general election … far exceeds the 17,117 vote margin” between her and Hobbs.
The trial began Wednesday with the testimony of Richer, Jarrett, cybersecurity expert Clay Parikh, county temporary technician Bradley Benticort, and Republican National Committee attorney Mark Sonnenklar.
Following Baris’ testimony, the defendants’ legal team will call four witnesses to the stand, then each side will give closing arguments.
Rich Baris testifies u that the number of Republican voters suppressed EXCEED the 17,000+ margin of victory that Katie Hobbs won by.
“In my professional opinion, the amount of Election Day voters that we’re talking about here would have changed the outcome of the race #KariLake pic.twitter.com/f5dwK5i1Ha— Bruce R Snyder AKA The Dude 🇺🇸 (@realBruceSnyder) December 22, 2022
🚨 Breaking 🚨
Elections director Scott Jarrett confirms that the printer setting change that led to the mass disenfranchisement of Arizona voters DID occur the morning of election day.
— Kari Lake War Room (@KariLakeWarRoom) December 22, 2022
Rich Baris testifies that early voters completed their exit poll at a rate of 93% vs only 72% of Election Day voters.
“I can tell you that has never happened to me before, ever…these people didn’t complete this questionnaire because they didn’t vote. They didn’t get to vote.” pic.twitter.com/DPStMHMgp1
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) December 22, 2022
BREAKING: Pollster Rich Baris testified in Kari Lake’s trial that voter disenfranchisement was so bad in Maricopa County that Lake would have won if the tabulator issues had not taken place.
Should the Arizona election be redone?
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) December 22, 2022
They printed Mutant Ballots on Election day–using a 19″ image on a 20″ ballot paper. That’s why the tabulators rejected the ballots and that’s why chaos ensued as Lake supporters flooded Voting Center to cast ballots.
Clowns & Crooks run our elections. #LakeTrial #Sabotage https://t.co/LrSvh6gDQq— Kari Lake (@KariLake) December 22, 2022
🚨
48 of 113 ballots reviewed during our examination were 19-inch ballots produced on 20-inch paper.
This one-inch discrepancy cause chaos on Election day. Causing the mass rejection of these votes as they were attempted to be read through the tabulators.
— Kari Lake War Room (@KariLakeWarRoom) December 21, 2022
AUTHOR
Pamela Geller
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