Entries by Ed Cochran

Quitting Afghanistan: President Biden’s Amateur National Security Follies

 The American historian Daniel J. Boorstin (1914 – 2004) once wrote, “History should be our Cautionary Science” and argued we should not “underestimate the probability of the unexpected” in gaining an understanding of past events¹. This not to argue that we should disregard the probability of expected outcomes based on the demonstrated past performance of individuals […]

Who Do You Think Will Be Listening, Mister President?

On Monday afternoon, while audiences around the world watched the unfolding of the evacuation of Kabul, President Biden offered the American people the rationale behind his decision to order the end of America’s commitment to its longest war. The story isn’t over, of course; six thousand U.S. military personnel have been ordered to Afghanistan to […]

President Biden’s New Strategy To Address The Roots Causes Of Immigration From Central America: A First Look

On July 21, the White House released its new U.S Strategy for Addressing the Root Causes of Migration in Central America (Root-Causes-Strategy.pdf (whitehouse.gov). As Vice President Harris emphasized in her cover message, “the root causes of migration run deep—and migration from the region has a direct impact on the United States. For that reason, our […]

Identifying The “Root Causes” of The Migrant Crisis On The Southern Border: Conclusion

This series of articles began with a number – 891,213 encounters with undocumented aliens reported by the Border Patrol on the southern U.S. border during the first nine months of this fiscal year.  That number was followed by a statement by Vice President Harris that she would focus her attention on determining the “root causes” […]

Identifying The “Root Causes” of The Migrant Crisis On The Southern Border: Part III

The third article in this series examines the “root causes” of migration from Guatemala and El Salvador. So far this fiscal year, the Border Patrol reports having encountered 153,478 people from Guatemala and 49,845 from El Salvador on the southern border (Southwest Land Border Encounters (By Component) | U.S. Customs and Border Protection (cbp.gov). Much […]

Political Theater Is Not A Substitute For Strategy: Vice President Harris Visit To El Paso

Vice President Harris’s visit to El Paso last Friday marked her first official visit to the southwest border as the Biden Administration’s “border czar.” After a few hours of largely symbolic activity – she visited a migrant processing center, posed for photographs with Border Patrol agents and local officials, and made a speech – she […]

Arizona’s Economic Relationship With China: Short-Term Benefits, Long-Term Risks

State governors usually seek to grow their states’ economies. One of Governor Ducey’s priorities has been to create a “21st Century Economy” in Arizona, which includes supporting “21st century companies that employ Arizonans.”[1]  As part of his efforts to attract “21st Century companies” to the state, the Governor has actively sought to foster greater Chinese […]

China’s Push for Global Power

HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE U.S. INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY’S ANNUAL 2021 THREAT ASSESSMENT One of the unique aspects of the United States Intelligence Community is that it often publishes its collective thinking in the public domain. Each year, for instance, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence produces an unclassified version of a report of worldwide threats […]

China’s Espionage Assault on the United States

In an earlier article, I discussed the meaning behind the “China Dream” of “rejuvenating” China as a great power – which essentially means supplanting the United States to create an authoritarian, China-centric global system (What Does China Want? Xi Jinping’s “China Dream” . In pursuit this objective, China uses all of its instruments of national power, […]

What Does China Want? Xi Jing’s “China Dream”

In his first speech after taking office as the general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in 2012, Xi Jinping employed a phrase not used in public by previous Chinese leaders – qiang zhongguo meng, or “strong nation dream” (1). Since then, Xi and other Chinese leaders have repeatedly referred to the “dream” of “resurrecting” or […]

CHINA’S “Three Warfares”: Influence Operations and the People’s Liberation Army

The People’s Republic of China is engaged in a long-term, wide-ranging strategic competition with the United States and its allies. The 2018 National Defense Strategy of the United States characterized China as a “revisionist power” that seeks to “shape a world consistent with [its] authoritarian model – gaining veto authority over other nations’ economic, diplomatic, […]