Biden’s Fascistic EV Edict thumbnail

Biden’s Fascistic EV Edict

By David Harsanyi

President Joe Biden is set to “transform” and “remake” the entire auto industry—“first with carrots, now with sticks”—notes The Washington Post, as if dictating the output of a major industry is within the governing purview of the executive branch.

The Environmental Protection Agency is proposing draconian emissions limits for vehicles, ensuring that 67% of all new passenger cars and trucks produced within nine years will be electric. This is state coercion. It is undemocratic. We are not governed; we are managed.

In fascist economies, a powerful centralized state—often led by a demagogue who plays on the nationalistic impulses of people—controls both manufacturing and commerce and dictates prices and wages for the “common good.” Any unpatriotic excessive profits are captured by the state. All economic activity must meet state approval. And crony, rent-seeking companies are willing participants.

Now, I’m not saying we already live in a fascist economic state. I’m just saying the Democratic Party economic platform sounds like it wishes we were.

The coverage of Biden’s edict has gone exactly as one might expect. “Biden makes huge push for electric vehicles. Is America ready?” asks Politico, for instance.

The conceit of so much modern media coverage rests on the assumption that the Left’s ideas are part of an inevitable societal evolution toward enlightenment. The only question remaining is when will the slaw-jawed yokels in Indiana and Texas finally catch on.

I’m sorry, EVs are not a technological advancement—or much of an environmental one—over vehicles with internal combustion engines. Most of the comforts EV makers like to brag about have been a regular feature of gas-powered cars for decades. At best, EVs are a lateral technology. And, as far as practicality, cost, and comfort go, they’re a regression.

If EVs are more efficient and save us money, as administration officials claim, manufacturers would not have to be compelled and bribed into producing them.

The problem for Democrats is that consumers already have perfectly useful and affordable gas-powered cars that, until recently, could be cheaply fueled and driven long distances without stopping for long periods of time.

Fossil fuels—also the predominant energy source used to power electric cars—are the most efficient, affordable, portable, and useful form of energy. We have a vast supply of it. In recent years, we’ve become the world’s largest oil producer. There are tens of billions of easily accessible barrels of fossil fuels here at home and vast amounts around the world.

By the time we run out, if ever, we will have invented far better ways to move vehicles than plugging an EV battery—which is made by emitting twice as many gases into the air as a traditional car engine—into an antiquated windmill.

“I want to let everybody know that this EPA is committed to protecting the health and well-being of every single person on this planet,” the EPA’s Michael Regan explained when announcing the edicts.

No one is safer in an EV than a gas-powered vehicle. The authoritarian’s justification for economic control is almost always “safety.” But the entire “safety” claim is tethered to the perpetually disproven theory that our society can’t safely—and relatively cheaply—adapt to slight changes in climate.

If the state can regulate “greenhouse gases” as an existential threat, it has the unfettered power to regulate virtually the entire economy. This is why politicians treat every hurricane, tornado, and flood as an apocalyptic event. But in almost every quantifiable way, the climate is less dangerous to mankind now than it has ever been. And the more they try to scare us, the less people care.

So let the Chinese communists worry about keeping their population “safe.” Let’s keep this one innovative, open, and free.

*****
This article was published by The Daily Signal and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

Provisional Ballots May Flip Arizona Attorney General Race for Hamadeh: Analysis thumbnail

Provisional Ballots May Flip Arizona Attorney General Race for Hamadeh: Analysis

By Natalia Mittelstadt

There is a 280-vote gap between Abe Hamadeh and Kris Mayes, with 8,000 provisional ballots still outstanding.

An analysis of uncounted provisional ballots shows the 2022 Arizona attorney general’s race may be called for GOP nominee Abe Hamadeh instead of the now-Democratic Attorney General Kris Mayes.

Hamadeh is challenging the election in court, suing Mayes to ensure all votes were counted in their midterm election contest, which Hamadeh lost by just 280 votes, according to an automatic statewide recount.

Last week, Mohave County Superior Court scheduled oral arguments on May 16 for Hamadeh’s motion for a new trial, which he filed after learning that vote total discrepancies in Pinal County were allegedly not brought to the attention of his legal team or the judge in his initial election challenge.

Data from all Arizona counties shows that about 8,000 provisional ballots remain outstanding, AZ Free News reported, based on a collaborative analysis by Republican National Committee analysts, outside investigators, and Hamadeh’s legal team. Hamadeh won an average of 70% of votes cast by voters on Election Day, and Election Day votes were 2-to-1 Republican.

While there were fewer voters casting ballots in Arizona for the November 2022 election compared to the November 2020 election, there were more provisional ballots cast and higher rejection rates last year than in 2020.

For example, Santa Cruz County had an increase of rejected provisional ballots cast from 1-in-117 ballots to 83 out of 139. While Pima County doubled in its rejection rate, Pinal’s rate increased from 59% to 63%, despite having a comparable number of provisional ballots between the 2020 and 2022 elections.

Nearly 9,000 provisional ballots were rejected statewide during the 2022 general election, and Hamadeh’s legal team estimates that, based on their research, at least 1,200 of them across roughly half of the state’s counties were “erroneously rejected,” former Arizona Assistant Attorney General Jennifer Wright previously told Just the News, and there could be more in other counties…..

*****

Continue reading at Just the News.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

Tennessee thumbnail

Tennessee

By Bruce Bialosky

Whenever one blinks these days, there is a new story about which people get hysterical.  Tennessee has always been best known for Nashville country music and Memphis barbeque.  But it has become focused currently on two cultural events that are related, but in their own way completely separate.

You certainly are familiar with the fact a transgender individual entered a Christian day school and killed six people – three older adults and three young children. If you read the “wrong” news service, there is no mention the shooter was transgender.  Or you might read seven people were killed due to the fact that the Nashville police did their job and killed the shooter –possibly saving many lives. That is not the topic of this column. It is another incident.

A gun control proposal was put forth in the Tennessee State Legislature. Everyone I know is in favor of gun control. It is just the Left wants to control guns for law-abiding citizens.  They cite countries that have confiscated guns from their citizens, and you pretty much saw what happened during the pandemic where these countries ran roughshod over people’s rights in ways Americans could not imagine.

Republicans and Conservatives want to control guns in the hands of people who are most likely to commit crimes and punish those who use guns in the commission of a crime. There is an argument that reasonable procedures should be analyzed to see if that would help in controlling incidents like what happened in Nashville at the day school.

That is where the story goes off the rails. The Tennessee legislature is a part-time bicameral body. It meets 90 days a year. The Senate voted in a committee to floor any gun laws until 2024 to give people a chance to analyze what might be best. The Left wanted to “strike while the iron is hot” and move legislation now. The Republican-controlled legislature paused on the issue until 2024.

That was not good enough. I previously stated: “It never fails to amaze me how focused or preoccupied some get on issues like this that they cannot accept reasonable boundaries. And then they call the opposition zealots.”

The first moment I became aware of the issue continuing was when I read the Assembly was moving to expel three members. My initial thinking was that was an extreme action. I knew nothing of the three members other than they were Democrats.  This to me was an over-the-top reaction.

Then I read up on the facts and not the slanted press that omits facts. I found out two of the members had not only goaded a crowd to disrupt the Assembly, but they had also used a bullhorn on the floor of the Assembly. One of the two expelled said he was not educated on the decorum of the Assembly. He asked how he could be tossed for being ignorant. If he was ignorant, it was willful ignorance. When I found out the two had used a bullhorn, I knew nothing about the two — sex, ethnicity, etc. I just knew they were either idiots, zealots, or both. 

I found out Justin Jones in his short 27 years has been arrested multiple times for his political activism. He ran for office before but this time he beat another Democrat in the primary and received 8,596 votes (100%) in the general election. He appears to never have had a job in private industry. His running mate, Justin Pearson, bills himself as a “community organizer.” He is currently 28 years old. Pearson won his special election with 52% of the vote (1,235 votes).    None of these facts were known to me when I decided they were justifiably expelled. They apparently think they can harass the other members of the Assembly into complying with their policy wishes.

Here is a fun fact: The leadership of their caucus told them to stop their errant behavior. They “walked off the House floor after a heated confrontation with their own Democrat leadership.”   BTW, the white woman who was the third protester did none of this extreme behavior. She survived the expulsion vote because of that, but not by much.

It was pointed out to me that if the two were expelled then the third person should also have been because it now seems it was based on race.  I responded that it would then be characterized as being racist and sexist. Sure enough, Rep. Gloria Johnson argued the expulsion was racist despite arguing in her own defense that she did not participate in the same activities as Jones and Pearson. Then she claimed the action was sexist and racist. She invoked possibly the stupidest expression in history (and it’s a high bar), “I was talked down to as a woman and man-splained to.”

This isn’t about race, ethnicity, or sex. But that does not matter to some as race-baiters like Kammy Harris rushed to Tennessee to assuage the wounded miscreants.  While Democrats in the Assembly understand the proper conduct of a legislator, the band of “everything you think is based on race,” jumped in to defend these two juveniles in men’s clothing.

The problem we have in this country is there is a lack of boundaries. No sense of propriety.  Even the Three Stooges would have understood you don’t whip out a bullhorn on the floor of a legislature and start having a rally.

Members of their community have stated they will reinstall these two knuckleheads into their seats. My question is, don’t you have anything better to offer? A wise man once said, “The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.”

*****

This article was published in Flash Report and is reproduced with permission from the author.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

What Would Happen if the Fed Caves to 4%-5% Core PCE Inflation, Gives up on 2%, as some Folks are Clamoring For? thumbnail

What Would Happen if the Fed Caves to 4%-5% Core PCE Inflation, Gives up on 2%, as some Folks are Clamoring For?

By Wolf Richter

The economy would muddle through, but in the markets, all heck would break loose. Here’s why.

The issue is this: Since April 2022, the Fed has hiked its policy interest rates by 450 basis points, but consumer price inflation as measured by the “core” PCE price index – which excludes volatile food and energy products – has been moving up and down in the same high range without much visible improvement.

The core PCE price index, the Fed’s favored inflation index for its 2% inflation target, was at 4.6% in February, according to the latest release, roughly the same as in July 2022. “Core” CPI, which has been running at about 5.5% for months, actually accelerated in March.

So now there are voices – voices with big megaphones – that say that the Fed will and should change its inflation target because this inflation will not go back to 2% without a lot of economic damage, and to get that kind of economic damage, interest rates would have to rise much further, and neither the Fed nor the White House nor Congress is willing to go there.

Americans can live with 4% to 5% core PCE inflation just fine, they say. And once everyone gets used to it, it’ll vanish off the headlines, they say.

Oh really? What does acceptance of 4%-5% inflation mean for yields and asset prices? We probably don’t want to find out.

But let’s play along with it for a moment to see where this will go. Let’s assume that the Fed will actually do this, that it will say, ok, fine with us, we went as far as we’re going to go with interest rates, and 4% to 5% core PCE inflation is acceptable even over the longer term, and we’ll just closely monitor how this develops, etc. etc.

It would completely annihilate the current dream that inflation will revert to 2% by the end of 2023, or at the latest by the end of 2024.

Short-term rates are going to stay high for a long time. At 4% to 5% core PCE inflation, the Fed won’t cut short-term rates by much if at all, even if it accepts this high inflation as the new normal.

Long-term yields will explode. Long-term yields are what really matter for asset prices. They are a bet on long-term inflation. This dream of inflation reverting to 2% in short order is part of what keeps long-term Treasury yields so low. The 10-year Treasury yield is currently at about 3.5%, well below the rate of inflation. Investors buying a 10-year maturity at 3.5% are confidently betting that inflation will revert to 2% shortly.

And if bond markets – including the Treasury market, good grief! – are told by the Fed that core PCE inflation will be 4% to 5% and that core CPI will be at 5% to 6% for years to come, and that everyone will get used to it, and that the Fed will be happy with it, and won’t do anything about it, then the 10-year yield will spike to 6% or 7% to be above this long-tern new normal.

And mortgage rates will blow out. With the 10-year yield spiking to 6% or 7% in response to this much higher-than-expected inflation, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate will spike to somewhere between 7% and 9%. And stay there.

Higher yields = lower asset prices.

The whole entire logic for low yields in the markets was based on low inflation rates. Core PCE was below the Fed’s 2% target for most of the 13 years between 2008 and 2021. And when it exceeded the Fed’s target for brief periods, it was only by a hair.

The entire QE philosophy since 2008 was based on low inflation, and on the now-crushed theory that QE won’t trigger and fuel inflation…..

*****

Continue reading this article at Wolf Street.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

10 Things The U.S. Can Start Doing Right Now To Counter China’s Dominance thumbnail

10 Things The U.S. Can Start Doing Right Now To Counter China’s Dominance

By Mike Coté

The Heritage Foundation released a thorough report titled “Winning the New Cold War: A Plan for Countering China” on March 28. In an address to introduce the plan, Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., declared that the report will “help us to wake up and to realize that we are not just in a competition; we’re in a conflict.”

“It is time to acknowledge reality: The United States is in a New Cold War with the PRC [People’s Republic of China],” Heritage President Kevin Roberts wrote, expressing a sentiment espoused throughout the report.

This foregrounding of the stark reality of the geopolitical competition with China characterizes Heritage’s expert analysis, cutting through the typical attitude of the corporate media and President Joe Biden.

For decades, America has followed a bipartisan and naïve policy of unfettered engagement with China, which has allowed the Chinese Communist Party to entrench and enrich itself within the international system while facing no consequences for its aggression abroad or totalitarianism at home. China now uses its wealth and technology to supercharge a policy of civil-military fusion, linking economics and military strategy.

One of the biggest challenges presented by China as compared to the USSR is the depth of the Chinese penetration of America’s economy, politics, culture, and society. The Heritage plan leaves no stone unturned when discussing these malign activities, advocating a “whole-of-government and whole-of-society effort” to counter them.

1. Ban Dangerous Chinese Apps

TikTok and other CCP-linked apps are incredibly popular, especially among American youth. These apps threaten personal privacy and national security. Heritage recommends an outright ban of TikTok and a more aggressive, risk-oriented approach to assessing foreign-owned information technologies in the U.S.

This would take very little in terms of new law, and the federal government has processes in place to monitor or ban these apps. Congress is already debating this issue, so the prognosis looks good.

2. Ban the Import and Sale of Chinese Drones

Although a lesser-known issue, CCP-linked drone manufacturers, specifically Da-Jiang Innovations (DJI), dominate the commercial and recreational markets. As with TikTok, all information collected by those drones is stored on CCP-accessible servers.

Local, state, and federal agencies have used DJI drones — some given as free “gifts” during the pandemic — to “monitor every aspect of life in these cities,” including “the precise location of critical infrastructure and other sensitive information.”

Bans on these drones can be included in the annual National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or implemented via executive order. Educating non-federal officials about the drones could reduce the threat at the state and local levels.

3. Risk-Manage Inbound Investment

China’s direct investment in American firms peaked in 2015, but its national security implications remain. Often funneled through middlemen who camouflage Chinese involvement, CCP-linked investment still reaches into the billions annually.

The federal government has the tools to properly manage and review this. The 2018 Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act (FIRRMA) enabled the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) to scrutinize these investments more.

Expanding definitions in FIRRMA can empower CFIUS to address all forms of Chinese investment, even through intermediaries, while direct legislative language can force reviews when agencies decline to use the power granted by law.

4. Reject Damaging ESG Policies

So-called environmental, social, and governance policies have been a debacle for investors and a sop to Chinese-linked firms, which control the supply chains for ESG-mandated renewable energy. ESG weakens the U.S. while strengthening its greatest foe.

Congress can end this damaging strategy through legislation, which it indeed did before President Biden vetoed it. Congress should continue pushing to end ESG through law and work to advance the understanding of ESG’s danger in the corporate sector.

5. Increase Munition Production and Arm Taiwan

This issue is paramount to countering China, particularly as the CCP has advanced its aggression toward Taiwan. The Heritage report acknowledges the trade-offs inherent in the decisions about arms sales and transfers and proposes an augmentation of our defense-industrial base to overcome these scarcity issues going forward.

Today, we can prioritize Taiwan by sending critical munitions, ensuring that capabilities sent elsewhere do not overly affect the defense of Taiwan, drawing down our own stocks in accordance with the law, and facilitating arms purchases from other nations.

6. Foster Innovation in the U.S. Maritime and Shipping Sectors

America’s “uncompetitive and outdated shipbuilding and shipping sector diminishes U.S. competitiveness, undermines the resilience of the economy, constrains the nation’s ability to mobilize and sustain a wartime economy, and meet the U.S. Navy’s global responsibilities,” according to the report.

The major stumbling block to reform is the restrictive Jones Act, which should be repealed and replaced with a law focused on promoting innovation in the maritime sector. The Jones Act, or the Merchant Marine Act of 1920, mandates that U.S.-made and U.S.-owned vessels transport goods between American ports, and that U.S. citizens operate the vessels.

Free-market solutions will allow the creativity of American industry to excel, developing novel methods of transportation, growing our shipbuilding and shipping capacities, and backstopping American naval power.

7. Expand Export Controls

The U.S. policy of engagement with China had allowed the chronic export of technologies used to advance China’s military aims. Legislation has since limited certain “foundational technology” exports, but the federal bureaucracy has failed to implement controls by refusing to label these technologies.

Congress must exercise its oversight power and force executive branch agencies to make these determinations in line with the law, so as to cease the transfer of critical security technology to the CCP.

8. Hold China Accountable for Covid-19

Regardless of the pandemic’s specific origin, a great deal of evidence has shown the CCP deliberately covered up the virus, allowing it to spread unchecked. Since then, the CCP has stonewalled investigations into its behavior, using its leverage at the World Health Organization to avoid accountability.

The U.S. government should cease funding the WHO until it conducts a thorough investigation of China’s involvement in the pandemic, end all financing of Chinese biomedical research, and propose unbiased international standards by which pandemics can be detected and limited without interfering with national sovereignty.

9. Prioritize the Pacific Islands

The Pacific Islands are often overlooked in the geopolitical competition with China. Many small island nations comprise the region, but it is strategically important to maintain a U.S. presence in the Pacific, especially through its links to Asia and Australia.

China has focused on this region, seeking to cut off the U.S. from its Indo-Pacific allies.

“Winning the New Cold War” suggests the U.S. compete on the same turf by renewing existing diplomatic and security agreements, exploring the expansion of those accords to other nations, and engaging diplomatically through high-level visits and summits.

10. Establish a Quad Select Initiative

The Quad — the U.S., Australia, India, and Japan — is one of America’s most important initiatives to counter China. It links the key players in the Indo-Pacific and builds bridges for future cooperation.

Expanding this multilateral format by selectively inviting other nations to join for military, economic, or planning purposes would allow the U.S. to enhance regional alliances and foster broader anti-CCP cooperation.

This would not require any legislation but merely a change in the executive posture. Creating a more open architecture for the Quad would serve as a significant counter to Chinese regional aggression.

These 10 points are the plan’s low-hanging fruit, and the federal government could adopt these policies tomorrow if it had the will. Heritage’s “Winning the New Cold War” aims to bolster that resolve. Time will tell if it succeeds, but the plan is an excellent start.

*****
This article was published by The Federalist and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

American Elections Shouldn’t Be Bankrolled By Billionaires thumbnail

American Elections Shouldn’t Be Bankrolled By Billionaires

By Fred Lucas

State and local governments are sending the message they care enough about the credibility of elections to reject the taint of private money.

On March 29, the Georgia legislature gave final approval to a stricter ban on private money for running public elections. This came after the same left-leaning group that doled out the Mark Zuckerberg elections grants in 2020 attempted to skirt the existing ban with a $2 million grant to DeKalb County.

It’s been about a year since the Chicago-based Center for Tech and Civic Life — which doled out $350 million in Zuckerberg grants — launched the U.S. Alliance for Election Excellence. A five-year, $80 billion project, the CTCL is a partnership with other organizations — including one funded by the far-left political funder Arabella Advisors. But the alliance, which is primarily a CTCL operation, has faced plenty of skepticism.

The North Carolina counties of Brunswick and Forsyth opted against taking money from the alliance, as did Ottawa County, Michigan. Greenwich, Connecticut — among the wealthiest municipalities in the United States — nearly rejected a $500,000 grant for its elections department, but the cash proved too alluring. However, these are among the 15 jurisdictions that remain members of the alliance.

It should be encouraging that accepting money from the alliance has proved so contentious. It demonstrates that public opinion is solidly against allowing wealthy individuals or private organizations to finance the running of public elections. It’s why 24 states banned or restricted private funding of election administration.

Still, the alliance may have found a way around the funding bans without cash–by getting a foot in the door of election offices with training and promoting “best practices.”

Lawmakers at the federal, state and local levels are taking notice.

In the aforementioned case of Georgia, the 2021 state election reform prohibited funding specifically to election offices. So the alliance gave $2 million to the DeKalb County treasury — which then gave it to the elections department. In the wake of this clever move, the Georgia legislature plugged loopholes in the letter of the law.

Idaho, Montana and North Carolina have also advanced legislation to either enact or tighten existing bans.

Rep. Claudia Tenney, R-N.Y., co-chairwoman of the House Election Integrity Caucus, introduced a reasonable bill to amend the tax code to prohibit 501(c)(3) tax-exempt organizations from directly funding election administration through donations or donated services. The donated services would seemingly encompass what the alliance is doing.

This is one of the best reforms that could come out of Congress, since it should be up to states to run elections, not the federal government. But clearly Congress has a say over tax laws and tax-exempt status.

Zuckerberg swore off funding any more election administration. Perhaps that’s because it was such a public relations nightmare, or perhaps Joe Biden’s election meant the mission was accomplished. Either way, one billionaire — regardless of his political persuasion — pouring vast sums into the running of elections does not pass the smell test for most Americans.

Notably, the U.S. Alliance for Election Excellence is chiefly financed by The Audacious Project. Inside Philanthropy describes its donors as “a tech-heavy group of funders that lean liberal in their grantmaking.” So in theory, a group of wealthy, left-leaning donors is preferable to one Big Tech oligarch. But the point is the taint of private money.

Zuckerberg said the grants were to help election offices deal with the pandemic, but almost none of the money was used for personal protective equipment. Further, he gave $350 million to an organization clearly identified as left-leaning. The Center for Tech and Civic Life is mostly funded by left-of-center donors such as the Democracy Fund, the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation, and the Rockefeller Brothers Foundation.

As noted in my book, “The Myth of Voter Suppression,” the CTCL was founded in 2012 by Tiana Epps-Johnson, Donny Bridges, and Whitney May, all of whom previously worked together at the New Organizing Institute, which the Washington Post referred to as “the Democratic Party’s Hogwarts of digital wizardry.”

While the group notes it issued grants to 2,500 US election offices in 49 states, analysis of the grants from the Foundation on Government Accountability show the money went disproportionately to blue areas.

For Wisconsin, Zuckerberg grants were divided almost entirely among Democrat strongholds. The state House of Representatives appointed former Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice Michael Gableman as special counsel, and he determined the state’s grants were used as “impermissible and partisan get out the vote efforts.”

American elections shouldn’t be bankrolled by billionaires of either side. In 2020, this helped drive up the Democrat voter participation to the disdain of Republicans. But it’s quite likely Democrats would not be happy if Koch Industries, or any billionaire or entity on the right, used their fortune to push government operations to drive up the vote in Republican areas.

If bipartisanship comes on this matter, it will likely have to occur after both parties feel put upon.

*****
This article was published by The Daily Caller and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

De-dollarization Has Begun: Redux thumbnail

De-dollarization Has Begun: Redux

By Peter C. Earle

Last week’s article (“De-dollarization Has Begun”) produced a large number of comments and follow-up questions. Enough, in fact, that it feels necessary to address the most common of them in a follow-up piece. Some of these responses require a degree of speculation, while others are quite straightforward.

1. Is the reduction in use (or complete abandonment) of the dollar as the global reserve currency something I should be worried about?

Almost certainly not. A few points need to be made here. First, barring a truly extraordinary event or series of developments, a scenario in which the dollar is no longer used (at all) in international trade is highly unlikely. The prospect of such a thing happening in a short period of time – days, weeks, months, or even a few years – is virtually impossible.

The size and breadth of the US economy and our vast trading relationships virtually assure that to some extent or another, the dollar will remain, at the very least, among the top currencies used to denominate and/or settle global transactions. The power of path dependence in this context is demonstrated by the fact that the first-mover advantage imparted by the Bretton Woods agreement, which ended in 1971, remains in effect. There are high barriers to exit and switching costs, and presently much of the international commercial community, be it individuals, firms, or governments, “think” and calculate economically in dollars. If the dollar were to be cast off in favor of some other currency, the transformation would take decades, and possibly generations, to complete. There are far more pressing issues, economic and otherwise, for Americans to worry about.

2. What are the odds that the Chinese yuan will transplant the dollar as the currency of choice in world trade?

At present, even beyond the decades that such a change would probably take, the likelihood of the yuan becoming the global reserve currency ranges between profoundly unlikely to essentially impossible. The yuan is pegged to the US dollar, and thus does not float. In other words, its exchange value is not subject to market forces. That peg permits Chinese monetary authorities to adjust the currency value to benefit Chinese exports. Additionally, the Chinese capital account is closed, which essentially means that capital does not flow out without approval. These (and a handful of other characteristics) are simply not conducive to establishing a currency that will be used as a unit of account, medium of exchange, and/or basis for settlement in countless international transactions daily.

3. What are the most viable candidates among currencies to replace the dollar or take “market share” from it, if any?

Let’s return to two core assertions: first, that a more probable scenario is for the dollar to be joined by other currencies in a multi-reserve currency regime than to be replaced outright, and second, that the currencies of China (and others) that are pegged are improbable replacements for USD. It bears remembering that there are transactions of considerable volumes and sizes which take place in other currencies other than the dollar every day.

An estimated 95 percent of world dollar payments are settled via SWIFT (the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications). That’s an estimated 11,000 member institutions, in 200 nations and territories, transacting via some 42 million messages per day. The average daily amounts are estimated, in dollars, at about $5 trillion, or $1.25 quadrillion dollars per year.

Below is the average percentage of payments made daily in any number of currencies in the SWIFT system during February 2023. The US dollar and the euro clearly dominate global payments. And even 70+ years after ceding the top spot to the dollar, the pound sterling averages two to three times what the yuan, ruble, or even yen account for. (The white line representing ruble ends in early 2022, which coincides with the SWIFT ban.)

SWIFT payment shares in percent (Sept 2011 – Feb 2023)

The euro would need to take at least ten percent of the dollar’s current “market share” to equal the transaction volume of US dollars in the primary global financial payment system. That’s a tall order, representing as it does a shift of hundreds of billions of dollars per day from USD to EUR. One could also imagine the Canadian dollar, the Korean won, or the Swedish krona – all of which are unpegged and produced by economies with open capital accounts – increasing in their share of global transactions, but nevertheless remaining far too small to reach the proportions of the dollar or euro.

4. If the dollar were to lose its reserve currency status completely, or the share of the dollar’s use in international transactions were to plummet, wouldn’t we experience hyperinflation/deflationary collapse/a recession/a depression?

Neither the dollar nor America as a nation would disappear if the dollar were to somehow lose its perch, barring exceptional or unforeseen circumstances. The English pound is no longer the world’s reserve currency, and yet England and the pound are very much alive.

There’s no reason to believe that an economic disaster would necessarily result from less use of the dollar in global transactions, although the situation surrounding that decline factors into the outcome. Over time, less global demand for the dollar would result in a gradual depreciation of its value to some degree or another. That depreciation, depending upon whether mild or severe, would have certain effects. A mild depreciation would tend to make US exports more attractive to foreign consumers while imports would become more costly. A rapid depreciation would (among other problems) result in severe difficulties for producers and consumers – in particular where the production of sophisticated goods and services requires numerous inputs from around the world. There is also the possibility that the global demand for US government securities would decline as well, as was discussed in the previous article. Those effects could significantly impact both US fiscal and monetary policy over time.

5. If the yuan, ruble, and other currencies are no match for the dollar, why are some other countries beginning to transact in them?

It’s a question of tradeoffs. Transacting in less-liquid currencies is bound to be a bit more inefficient, more costly, and involve more underdeveloped (thus possibly error-prone) practices and technology than in established dollar or euro systems. But given the increasing use of the dollar as a means of imposing sanctions, some foreign powers see a pressing need to develop the capability to transact outside of US-dollar-based systems. We are witnessing the development of financial contingency plans.

The possibility also exists that recent Federal Reserve missteps, in particular those which led to the highest inflation in 40 years, are feeding an instinct to develop hedges against US monetary policy.

National pride is undoubtedly a factor as well. It’s probably difficult for autocratic regimes to convince their populations that everything is under control when most business is conducted in US dollars. (Imagine the dissonance arising of a state trying to convince its citizenry that it is protecting them from Yankee imperialists…even as most of the population eagerly seeks to acquire currency with pictures of Washington, Lincoln, or Hamilton on it.)

6. It sounds as if there really isn’t much to worry about. What’s the point of discussing this now?

New reserve currency ideas and proposals go back a long way. But recent developments suggest a distinct ratcheting-up of projects explicitly pursuing non-dollar trading relationships. The knock-on effects of changes of this sort, even developing gradually, may be more far-reaching than anyone may envision. This is especially the case considering that unleashing the full potential of comparative advantage requires trade. Taking note of these developments, even as they slowly unfold, is in the best interest of all Americans.

*****
This article was published by American Institute for Economic Research and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

State Voices: The Left-Wing Nonprofit That Made 140 Million Voter Contacts in 2022 thumbnail

State Voices: The Left-Wing Nonprofit That Made 140 Million Voter Contacts in 2022

By Parker Thayer

In September, two months before the 2022 elections, the Republican National Committee (RNC) announced that the committee had “surpassed another historic milestone: over 50 million voter contacts made cycle-to-date.” This January, State Voices, a nonprofit that convenes and coordinates left-wing nonprofit activist groups across the nation, issued a similar statement.

In 2022, the State Voices network made 140 million voter contacts “including 1.9 million calls, 34.5 million texts, and over 1 million doors, and 90 million contacts over mail via Voter Participation Center.” They also reported registering 820,000 new voters and making 3 million voter contacts during the Senate run-off election in Georgia.

Clearly, 140 million is a much larger number than 50 million, but while many have heard of the RNC, few have heard of State Voices. Who is State Voices, and why are they contacting so many voters?

ACORN Reborn

In the early 2000s the most powerful left-of-center nonprofit activism group in the country was the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now, or ACORN for short. The group convened protestors, organized rallies, supported ballot initiatives to change laws, and generally worked to move American politics leftward. Originally founded in Arkansas, ACORN grew nationwide using a system of state-level chapters under the national head that worked hard to get out the vote for left-wing causes in their respective states. ACORN was highly effective at reaching and mobilizing voters, winning numerous victories until it collapsed amid scandal in 2010.

State Voices is essentially today’s new and improved ACORN.

Operating in 25 states, State Voices organizes “state engagement tables” that bring together most, if not all, the major left-wing nonprofit activism organizations within the state. Using weekly office hours, meetings, email blasts, and conference calls, the state tables gather up scattered single-issue activist groups and coordinate their get-out-the-vote efforts, protests, and awareness campaigns to be more effective and “intersectional.” Their state tables bring together a whopping 1,200 partner activists and activist groups with thousands of volunteers and employees.

How Is State Voices So Effective?

State Voices is extremely impressive.

In their 2022 annual report, State Voices claimed partial credit for successful ballot initiatives that raised the minimum wage in Nebraska, increased taxes in Massachusetts, inflated early childhood education budgets in New Mexico, and amended the Michigan state constitution to include a right to abortion. That’s not to mention their 140 million voter contacts and 820,000 registrations that undoubtedly impacted election results in swing states. Their successes aren’t new, either. During the 2020 cycle, State Voices reported making 124 million voter contacts, and registering 2.1 million new voters.

How could just one organization do so much?

It’s important to note that neither State Voices nor even their state engagement tables are operating alone. State Voices is not out on the streets doing the heavy lifting. That’s up to the state-based partners. What State Voices does is train, equip, fund, and organize the partners to supercharge their operations.

When it comes to securing funding, State Voices is no slouch. State Voices raised and re-granted $8.7 million to the state engagement tables in 2022 and $9.4 million in 2020. The state tables, in turn, distribute funds to their partners, ensuring State Voices a certain level of influence as a funder while giving the partner organizations a reason to keep collaborating.

The money that isn’t sent to the partners is then spent on training and equipping activists with “civic tech” tools that would normally be outside the reach most of small-time state activists. The State Voices Tools for All program gives partners access to Catalist, a Democrat-aligned database containing the information on 240 million voters; the State Voices Voter Action Network, which helps manage online activism campaigns using the Catalist database; and the State Voices Data Certification Program, which trains activists to become “data practitioners” and use the NGP VAN database, another of the Democratic Party’s largest voter databases. Since 2017, State Voices has trained at least 520 NGP VAN “data practitioners.” In addition, the State Voices Tools and Tech Guide gives aspiring activist groups a full list of all the digital wizardry tools, databases, and office equipment they might need to start up a Democratic-vote-getting nonprofit of their own.

In exchange for all this, all State Voices asks for is a bit of their time and for all newly gathered voter information to be sent back up the chain to populate the Democratic Party’s all-important voter databases. That’s not merely speculation. In its 2020 annual report, State Voices bragged openly that its partners added 100 million phone numbers to the NGP VAN database, which were then sold by NGP VAN to virtually every single Democratic campaign.

An Elegant System

It’s a beautifully simple scheme. Instead of building from the ground up, State Voices created a network to rival ACORN by enticing existing groups into their fold with funding and free access to expensive, state-of-the-art tools. Calling this work charity, they have cost-effectively built a get-out-the-vote empire larger than even the RNC.

Yet there is no semblance of charity in this work, no matter what garbled language is used to describe it. Leaked memos from Democratic super PACs (political action committees) confirm that left-wing get-out-the-vote nonprofits targeting minority groups are “4 to 10 times more cost-effective” at netting Democratic votes when compared to traditional PAC spending.

Because of their tax-exempt status, State Voices and groups like it can draw on the tax-free money of billionaires alive and dead, foreign and domestic, that is stored in the American charitable sector, and spend every penny on getting people from their chosen Democrat-favoring demographics in swing states to vote. This corruption of the nonprofit sector is transparent, yet the IRS and FEC have both turned blind eyes because words like “representation” and “equitable” get thrown around.

*****
This article was published by Capital Research Center and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

What Racial and Gender Spoils Have Wrought thumbnail

What Racial and Gender Spoils Have Wrought

By Craig J. Cantoni

The Disadvantaged Business Enterprise program is an example of the downside of race- and gender-based federal assistance.

A recent Wall Street Journal editorial detailed the pervasive fraud with the federal Disadvantaged Business Enterprise (DBE) program.

The DBE program is just one of the scores of programs that dole out loans, preferences, and set-asides based on race, or more accurately, concocted races.  DBE adds gender to the mix.

As the editorial explained, “The DBE program, set up in the 1980s, steers money to small businesses that are at least 51% owned by ‘disadvantaged’ persons. Women are ‘presumed disadvantaged,’ along with people who are black, Hispanic, Native American, Asian-Pacific or Subcontinent Asian, although there are also limits on net worth and firm size. The government’s general goal is for 10% of its highway and transit funds to be spent with DBEs. But they’re supposed to do real work, not merely pass money through.”

The editorial didn’t say this, but programs like DBE explain why various ethnocultural groups have lobbied over the decades to be classified as racial minorities.  The latest manifestation is a new “race” that the government is thinking of formally adding to the list of racial minorities—namely, MENA, which stands for Middle Eastern and North African.

Below is a table from the online edition of the editorial.  It shows how many millions of dollars were distributed by race and gender in 2021 through just the DBE program.  (Look for a transgender category in the future.)

Predictably, as the table shows, when something is based on a specious premise, much of what follows will be incongruous.  The incongruities will be described after the table.

Disadvantaged Business Enterprise contracts and subcontracts in fiscal 2021, by DBE category, in millions of dollars
WOMEN MEN TOTAL
Black $114 $542 $656
Hispanic $324 $1,374 $1,698
Native American $46 $302 $348
Asian-Pacific $105 $326 $430
Subcontinent Asian $46 $306 $352
Non-Minority [White] $2,525 $16 $2,541
TOTAL $3,160 $2,866 $6,027

The dollar figure represents only the federal share.

U.S. Department of Transportation, WSJ Freedom of Information Act request

Incongruities

Only $16 million out of the total DBE outlay of just over $6 billion, or 2.7%, went to white men, probably reflecting the premise that white men can’t be disadvantaged, although over 30 million white Americans live in poverty, and, it’s safe to assume, many of them are male.

– In the same vein, white women received over $2.5 billion, versus $16 million for white men, or 156 times more, although men have a lower life expectancy than women, commit suicide at four times the rate of women, graduate from college at a lower rate, and are imprisoned at a much higher rate.

– For all of the “races” except the white race, men have received considerably more DBE money than women of the same race.  The greatest difference is in the Hispanic category, where Hispanic men received over $1.3 billion, or four times as much as the $324 million received by Hispanic women.

– Hispanic men and women received nearly $1.7 billion in total, versus $656 million for black men and women in total.  Of course, there are a lot more Hispanics in the US population than blacks, even taking into account that many Hispanics are categorized as white.  But it should be remembered that set-asides such as DBE were first targeted to blacks and not other races. Clearly, the original intent has been subverted.

– No doubt, East Indians comprise the majority of the category labeled “Subcontinent Asian.”  East Indians rank at the top by a comfortable margin in household income compared to other racial/ethnic groups.  This is partly due to many Indian immigrants have been in an upper caste in India and thus having access to education and money.  It’s also partly due to how they tend to fund each other’s business ventures, which is how the Patel clan rose to dominance in the ownership of independent hotels in the US.  And it’s partly due to them having a high percentage of two-parent households.  Do they really need DBE money?

Historical Closing Note

If you’re at my advanced age and come from a poor ethnic family with immigrant grandparents, you know that programs such as DBE didn’t exist for your forebears and that they faced awful discrimination, albeit not to the degree of African Americans.  Yet, they funded each other as today’s East Indians have done and found a way to start businesses.  In my hometown of St. Louis, for example, the major construction companies in town were started by the Irish and Italians.

My dad was a non-union tile setter, and his sister was married to a union tile setter.  The sister (my aunt) and her husband (my uncle) raised five kids in a 700 sq. ft., one-bedroom flat, which they co-owned with my grandparents, who lived in the upstairs flat on a barkeep’s pay.  My mom and dad got the money for the down payment on my boyhood home through a private loan from my dad’s uncle.

Then there was Amadeo Peter Giannini.  The son of poor Italian immigrants and a produce peddler, Giannini started the Bank of Italy in San Francisco to provide banking services and loans to Italian fishermen who were shut out of mainstream banks.  The bank became the Bank of America.

Was this a better system than fighting over racial spoils?  I’m unable to be objective about that but certainly have an opinion, which I’ll keep to myself.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

Joe Biden Just Committed His Most Impeachable Offense Yet thumbnail

Joe Biden Just Committed His Most Impeachable Offense Yet

By Scoops Delacroix

Where are the Republicans with Demands Answers letters? Where are the hearings? Where are the NFL superstars kneeling in protest?

It’s often said that politics stops at the water’s edge, but no one told Joe Biden that. When he went to Ireland this week, he disgraced America more than Phil Mickelson did when he took Saudi blood money. “I’d rather have my children playing rugby now for health reasons than I would have them playing football,” Sleepy Joe said to his fellow tater-munchers.

Bald eagles are plummeting from the sky. Drunken Little League dads are punching the air. If Tom Brady’s tear ducts weren’t destroyed by plastic surgery I’m sure he’d be weeping too.

Joe Biden has got to go. The botched Afghanistan withdrawal, Hunter’s Chinese business deals, and open borders are child’s play compared to this.

Let me educate the president, because no one else has stepped up to the plate. Like many great American products, we took a middling European version and made it better. Hamburgers? Originated in Germany. Golf? Originated in Scotland. America? Originated in England.

The first organized American football game was played in 1869, between Rutgers and Princeton. The working-class public school kids won 6-4 (Scorigami alert). Britcels claim that football originated from Rugby, but I have yet to see a shred of compelling evidence on the matter. What everyone except Joe Biden knows, however, is that rugby is a lower-grade substitute for football. The Mr. Pibb to Coca-Cola. The Samsung to Apple. The OAN to Newsmax.

Article Two of the Constitution is quite clear on this: “The President… shall be removed from Office on Impeachment for, and Conviction of, Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors.” If bashing our national sport in a country that has exactly zero Super Bowls and zero SEC championships is not treason, I don’t know what is. Congress can finally do something useful. It can impeach and remove Joe Biden.

*****
This article was published by The Daily Caller and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

The Biden 10-Step Plan for Global Chaos thumbnail

The Biden 10-Step Plan for Global Chaos

By Victor Davis Hanson

Why is French President Emmanuel Macron cozying up to China while trashing his oldest ally, the United States?

Why is there suddenly talk of discarding the dollar as the global currency?

Why are Japan and India shrugging that they cannot follow the United States’ lead in boycotting Russian oil?

Why is the president of Brazil traveling to China to pursue what he calls a “beautiful relationship”?

Why is Israel suddenly facing attacks from its enemies in all directions?

What happened to Turkey? Why is it threatening fellow NATO member Greece? Is it still a NATO ally, a mere neutral, or a de facto enemy?

Why are there suddenly nonstop Chinese threats toward Taiwan?

Why did Saudi Arabia conclude a new pact with Iran, its former archenemy?

Why is Egypt sending rockets to Russia to be used in Ukraine?

Since when did the Russians talk nonstop about the potential use of a tactical nuclear weapon?

Why is Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador bragging that millions of Mexicans have entered the United States, most of them illegally? And why is he interfering in U.S. elections by urging his expatriates to vote for Democrats?

Why and how, in just two years, have a confused and often incoherent Joe Biden and his team created such global chaos?

Let us answer by listing 10 ways by which America lost all deterrence.

1) Joe Biden abruptly pulled all U.S. troops from Afghanistan. He left behind to the Taliban hundreds of Americans and thousands of pro-American Afghans. Biden abandoned billions of dollars in U.S. equipment, the largest air base in central Asia—recently retrofitted at a cost of $300 million—and a $1 billion embassy. Our government called such a debacle a success. The world disagreed and saw only humiliation.

2) The Biden Administration allowed a Chinese high-altitude spy balloon to traverse the continental United States, spying on key American military installations. The Chinese were defiant when caught and offered no apologies. In response, the Pentagon and the administration simply lied about the extent that China had surveilled top-secret sites.

3) In March 2021, at an Anchorage, Alaska mini-summit, Chinese diplomats unleashed a relentless barrage at their stunned and mostly silent American counterparts. They lectured the timid Biden Administration diplomats about American toxicity and hypocrisy. And they have defiantly refused to explain why and how their virology lab birthed the COVID virus that has killed tens of millions worldwide.

4) In June 2021, in response to Russian cyber-attacks against the United States, Biden meekly asked Putin to at least make off-limits certain critical American infrastructure.

5) When asked what he would do if Russia invaded Ukraine, Biden replied that the reaction would depend on whether the Russians conducted a “minor incursion.”

6) Between 2021 and 2022, Joe Biden serially insulted and bragged that he would not meet Muhammad bin Salman, the de facto ruler of Saudi Arabia, and one of our oldest and most valuable allies in the Middle East.

7) For much of 2021, the Biden Administration made it known that it was eager and ready to offer concessions to re-enter the dangerous Iran nuclear deal—at a time when Iran has joined China and Russia in a new geostrategic partnership.

8) Almost immediately upon inauguration, the administration moved the United States away from Israel, restored financial aid to radical Palestinians, and both publicly and privately alienated the current Netanyahu government.

9) In serial fashion, Biden stopped all construction on the border wall and opened the border. He made it known that illegal aliens were welcome to enter the United States unlawfully. Some 6-7 million did. He reinstated “catch and release.” And he did nothing about the Mexican cartel importation of fentanyl that has recently killed over 100,000 Americans per year.

10) In the last two years, the Pentagon has embarked on a woke agenda. The army is short by 15,000 in its annual recruitment quota. The defense budget has not kept up with inflation. One of the greatest intelligence leaks in U.S. history just occurred from the Pentagon.

The Pentagon refused to admit culpability and misled the country about Afghanistan and the Chinese spy balloon flight. The current chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff called his Chinese communist counterpart and head of the People’s Liberation Army to advise him that the U.S. military would warn the Chinese if it determined an order from its commander-in-chief Trump was inappropriate.

This list of these self-inflicted disasters could be easily expanded.

But the examples explain well enough why our emboldened enemies do not fear us, our triangulating allies judge us unreliable, and calculating neutrals assume America is in descent and too dangerous to join.

Yet without America, the result is a new Chinese order in which, to quote the historian Thucydides, “the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must.”

*****
This article was published by American Greatness and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

Transgender Inc.: A Running List Of Corporate Gender Insanity Insulting Women, Kids, And Reality thumbnail

Transgender Inc.: A Running List Of Corporate Gender Insanity Insulting Women, Kids, And Reality

By The Federalist Staff

Rather than highlight the dangerous and irreversible procedures associated with transgenderism, such as chemical castration and genital mutilation, many major corporations have opted to champion trans ideology — even for unsuspecting children. In order to help Americans hold these companies financially accountable, The Federalist has compiled a list of major businesses promoting and glorifying gender dysphoria.

24. Ulta
The women’s beauty company, Ulta, featured two men on its new “Beauty Of…” podcast last fall, including transgender-identifying TikTok star Dylan Mulvaney.

23. Calvin Klein
Calvin Klein has been advertising its underwear line with transgender models for years.

In May last year, the company celebrated Mother’s Day with a feature of transgender partners, one of whom was pregnant and bearded.

22. Nike
The athletic fashion company advertised its women’s products through a paid partnership with woman-imitator and TikTok star Dylan Mulvaney.

21. Build-a-Bear
The once family-friendly toy company decided to throw its hat in the rainbow ring with the March 2023 launch of a teddy bear inspired by drag performer RuPaul. According to Breitbart, the bear comes with “exaggerated drag make-up” and “a gold-sequined dress, gold pumps, and a flowing blonde wig.” On the Build-a-Bear website, the company refers to the bear with female pronouns.

20. The Hershey Company
For International Women’s Day 2023, the popular chocolate company put the face of Fae Johnstone, a man who masquerades as a woman, on its candy bar wrappers.

19. Anheuser-Busch
In a statement provided to Fox News, the beer company confirmed that its Bud Light brand has officially partnered with Dylan Mulvaney, a man who parades around in women’s clothes. On April 1, 2023, Mulvaney revealed on social media that Bud Light had sent him a beer can with his face on them to celebrate a year of “girlhood,” calling it his “most prized possession.”

18. Country Music Television
Several days after a woman who apparently identified as transgender killed six people, including three children, in a shooting at a Nashville Christian school, country singer Kelsea Ballerini took the stage at the 2023 CMT Awards to perform “If You Go Down (I’m Going Down Too)” alongside drag performers from “RuPaul’s Drag Race.”

In an Instagram post, CMT declared itself and Ballerini to be “proud supporters” of the Trevor Project, an activist organization that assists young people in obtaining so-called “gender-affirming care,” meaning “hormones and genital surgeries rather than counseling to accept one’s biological sex.”

17. Apple
Apple users who visited the App Store on International Women’s Day 2023 were greeted with a giant poster of Naomi Hearts, a man who pretends to be a woman. Clicking on the poster directed users to an article detailing Hearts’ campaign for “self-love” and advocacy for dangerous trans procedures.

16. Google
Google India released an ad on International Women’s Day 2023 that featured Prakriti Soni, a man “who expressed the belief that he was a woman starting in 2020.”

15. Seafolly
The notable Australian swimwear company chose a bearded man posing as “nonbinary” to be the star of its advertising campaign prior to International Women’s Day 2023.

14. KitchenAid
Ahead of Women’s History Month, KitchenAid featured woman-pretender Dylan Mulvaney on the cover of its 2023 Color of the Year campaign launch and newsletter.

13. Disney
Arguably the most notable child entertainment corporation in the world, The Walt Disney Company has become obsessed with forcing leftists’ radical gender theory on unsuspecting children. In March 2022, unearthed videos revealed Disney’s plans to incorporate a “not-at-all-secret gay agenda” into its children’s programming. Around the same time, the company publicly denounced Florida’s “Parental Rights in Education” law, which prevents school officials from instructing students in kindergarten through third grade on concepts such as “sexual orientation” and “gender identity.”

The company has bent over backward to insert LGBT characters into its programming in recent years, including the Disney Plus show “Baymax!” and Marvel’s “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness.”

12. National Hockey League
In November 2022, the professional sports league posted a tweet promoting a tournament “comprised entirely of transgender and nonbinary players.” In response to fan criticism, the NHL doubled down, tweeting “Trans women are women. Trans men are men. Nonbinary identity is real.”

11. Netflix
In March 2023, the streaming platform released an episode of “Ridley Jones” — a Netflix Jr. cartoon show created for preschoolers — in which a bison character comes out as “nonbinary” and explains the concept of pronouns.

10. M&Ms
In January 2022, the candymaker announced that the M&Ms in the company’s television ads would “dress and act in more gender-neutral ways.”

“We took a deep look at our characters, both inside and out, and have evolved their looks, personalities and backstories to be more representative of the dynamic and progressive world we live in,” said Jane Hwang, the global vice president for M&Ms.

In September 2022, M&Ms separately announced the creation of its purple “spokescandy,” an M&M “designed to represent acceptance and inclusivity.”

9. Cartoon Network
After President Joe Biden declared March 30, 2023, to be “Transgender Day of Visibility,” the children’s entertainment network posted a tweet commemorating the so-called holiday.

“Addressing someone using their pronouns and name shows that you RESPECT them as their authentic self!” the tweet reads. “We celebrate the journey of our trans and gender-non-conforming friends on this #TransgenderDayofVisibility!”

8. Paramount
The company’s streaming service, Paramount Plus, celebrated 2023’s “Trans Day of Visibility” by posting a tweet highlighting trans-identifying characters in its programming. The Paramount Plus Twitter account also posted a video of former “RuPaul’s Drag Race” contestant Kylie Sonique Love, who claimed “we are born this way, obviously.”

7. Black Entertainment Television
On March 31, 2023, the entertainment outlet posted a tweet highlighting Bré Rivera, a man pretending to be a woman who is purportedly the first so-called “Black Trans woman to lead a Black Trans fund.”

“There’s power in knowing who you are not only on #transdayofvisibility but every day,” the BET account wrote.

6. Twitch
In celebration of 2023’s “Trans Day of Visibility,” the streaming platform posted a tweet highlighting four transgender streamers.

5. Freeform
The television network posted a banner on its Twitter account that reads, “Trans Rights Are Human Rights,” to commemorate “Trans Day of Visibility.”

“This statement stays true 365 days, but using #TransDayofVisibility to make sure y’all are aware that this is and will always be a safe space,” the tweet reads.

4. WNBA
“Today we support #TransDayOfVisibility,” the NBA-subsidized league wrote in a March 31, 2023, tweet. “To our trans and gender-fluid community, we celebrate and will continue to stand with you.”

3. NASCAR
The motor sports organization announced it was partnering with the Carolinas LGBT+ Chamber of Commerce in January 2022. The Christian Post reported that the latter “describes itself as ‘an organization of gay, lesbian, bisexual, transgender and LGBT+ and allied businesses, corporations and professionals throughout western North Carolina and most of South Carolina’ with a mission to ‘foster equity, inclusion and economic prosperity for the LGBTQ community through strategic policy, professional enrichment, ally partnerships and economic development.’”

2. Kate Spade
Similar to other major corporations, Kate Spade has partnered with social media influencer and woman-wannabe Dylan Mulvaney. In March 2023, Mulvaney posted a TikTok video of himself prancing around the company’s New York store, while promoting the Kate Spade 2023 women’s spring fashion line.

1. Nickelodeon
For “Pride Month,” the children’s entertainment network released a video in June 2021 in which drag queen Nina West sings about the meaning behind each color on the “pride flag.” That same month, the network also confirmed it had cast its first transgender-identifying teen actor in one of its children’s shows.

The network released a separate video featuring West as a cartoon that same year in its most recent adaptation of “Blue’s Clues.” During the sing-along, West discusses different kinds of families, including “those with trans, non-binary, lesbian and gay parents,” as the New York Post noted.

*****
This article was published by The Federalist and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

FACT CHECK: Has One In Five U.S. Adults Had A Family Member Killed By A Gun? thumbnail

FACT CHECK: Has One In Five U.S. Adults Had A Family Member Killed By A Gun?

By Charlotte Whelan

A new report from the Kaiser Family Foundation claims that 19% of American adults say a family member was killed by a gun. They note that this includes death by suicide but fail to add any more context to the gripping headline. So how true or helpful is this claim?

The biggest issue with this new gun death statistic is the lack of definition for a “family member.” As some have pointed out, “Is your great-aunt’s second cousin you’ve never met a family member?” Or as one of my IW colleagues quipped, “Since my great great great grandpa, who was a bank and train robber in California, was killed by gunfire, I can claim that I’ve had a family member killed by guns.”

Even the bare numbers don’t make sense.

The most problematic aspect of the Kaiser poll is that it hides how small its poll sample was. If you track down the methodology, you find that this study was conducted online and by telephone among a sample of only 1,271 U.S. adults. That number is hardly enough to represent the 258.3 million American adults, nor make the claim that familial gun death has affected 51,660,000 U.S. adults.

It is a tragedy for anyone to be killed, and the recent shootings in just the last two weeks have brought the issue of gun violence to the forefront of many minds. And the mental health crisis in the U.S., noted in the study by the mention that “about half of deaths (55%) in the U.S. involving guns are suicides,” is a real problem we need to address as a nation and as individual communities. But using vague and likely inflated statistics to get an attention-grabbing headline is no way to make headway on the issue.

*****
This article was published by Independent Women’s Forum and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

That Kaiser Gun Study The Media Love Is Garbage thumbnail

That Kaiser Gun Study The Media Love Is Garbage

By David Harsanyi

It’s become virtually impossible to find reliable data or polling on gun violence these days. A new Kaiser Family Foundation report being shared by virtually every major media outlet this week offers us a good example of why. The headlines report that “1 in 5 adults” in the United States claim that a “family member” has been “killed” by a gun. And, let’s just say, that’s a highly dubious claim.

There are 333 million people living in the United States, and somewhere around 259 million of them are over the age of 18. Twenty percent of those adults equals nearly 52 million people. There were more than 40,000 gun deaths in 2022, and around 20,000 of them were homicides — a slight dip from a Covid-year historic high that followed decades of lows. So, according to Kaiser’s polling, every victim of gun violence in the past few years had hundreds, if not thousands, of “family members.”

Now, to be fair, we can’t really run the numbers because Kaiser doesn’t define its terms or parameters. For example, what constitutes a “family member”? Is your second cousin a family member? Because if so, that creates quite the nexus of people. What about your stepbrother’s second cousin? Or how about your uncle who died in Iraq? Or how about that grandfather you never met who committed suicide in 1968? Kaiser could have asked people about their “immediate” relatives. The opacity is the point.

Then again, you can always spot a misleading firearms study by checking if the authors conflate suicides and murders. Kaiser does. The underlying problems leading to a homicide or a suicide are typically very different. So are the solutions. There are numerous countries with virtually no private gun ownership that have persistently high suicide rates. There isn’t any other societal problem in which Kaiser wouldn’t stress the distinction between criminality and mental health struggles.

But even if we count suicides, the claim is fantastical. As are many of the others. If we trust this poll, we would have to accept that around 50 million Americans were personally threatened with a gun. And that 54 percent of American adults — which can be extrapolated to mean 140 million adults — have personally or have a family member who has witnessed a shooting, been threatened by a gun, or been injured or killed by one. (Another 28 percent, or 72 million people, contend they have carried a gun in self-defense — which is also exceedingly unlikely.)

Kaiser’s “key findings” highlight many issues tied to anti-gun activist talking points. In the middle of polling, Kaiser conveniently switches up the definition of an “adult” from 18 and older to over 19, so it can regurgitate the claim that firearms are the leading cause of death among children. Kaiser wonders if your “health care provider” has talked to you about guns or gun safety. Did you know, Kaiser asks, that 6 in 10 parents with guns in their households say a gun is stored in the same location as ammunition?

What Kaiser doesn’t mention in its press-friendly “key findings” — and no media piece I’ve read mentions — is that 82 percent of those polled feel “very” or “somewhat safe” from gun violence in their own neighborhoods. Only 18 percent of Americans say they worry about gun violence on a daily or almost daily basis, while 43 percent say they worry about it “rarely” or “never.” So, you’re telling me, half of American adults have personally experienced gun violence themselves or toward someone in their family, but less than 20 percent worry about it often?

There are numerous other problems with Kaiser’s findings. Perhaps the most important, though, is the sample size. Granted, I’m no polling expert, but I suspect that the self-reported thoughts of 1,271 people — answering a bunch of poorly defined questions about a highly emotional and politically charged issue “online and by telephone” — should not be relied on with any certitude. And yet, there isn’t a single establishment media reporter writing about the report that exhibits a hint of skepticism.

*****
This article was published by The Federalist and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

Trump Is Out of Line thumbnail

Trump Is Out of Line

By Neland Nobel

You probably have noticed television ads attacking Ron DeSantis from groups supporting Donald Trump.  One of these ads “You don’t know Ron DeSantis” goes after the Florida Governor for voting for changes in Social Security and Medicare while DeSantis served in Congress.

It is certainly fine with us if politicians point out their differences with each other in the primary season.  However, the 11th Commandment from Ronald Reagan should be observed.  The Gipper’s wisdom was that one should not attack a fellow Republican.  Point out differences for sure, but don’t attack the integrity of the other candidate.

Maybe we have devolved too far to even entertain such gentile views and attitudes today.  But attacks often just aid the opposition party.  That was the reason for Reagan’s admonition.

Trump is no longer an outsider and has to use flying elbows to get position under the basketball hoop to make a shot.  He is the titular head of the party.  He is a former President and thus has a good position to start with.  This is not like the first time he ran, as a complete “outsider.”

However, that is not the chief reason for concern about this ad.  What is most bothersome is that it is just this kind of demagoguery that has driven much of America’s deficit crisis and stifled any attempts to fix a very serious problem.  The reason is if you want to be serious about fixing the deficit, and all the spin-off problems it causes ( inflation,wealth redistribution, capital markets distortion, accounting distortion, savings destruction, intergenerational transfers, Federal Reserve hyper-interventionist action, rising interest rates, and generally the problem of enormous government and citizen dependence on the state), you have to go where the spending is.

Below is the source of new spending as projected by the Congressional Budget Office.

No one can speak seriously about dealing with chronic deficits and chronic inflation unless they are willing to talk about entitlement reform in both Social Security and Medicare.  It simply can’t be done.

These two social “entitlement” programs are already about 50% of all spending and along with interest (caused by the rising deficit) will be the source of  79% of new spending.  And they are growing fast. Because we are living longer, and the number of new workers is falling because fewer seem to want babies,  it creates a big problem.

Look at what is going on in France.  Just suggesting that the retirement age be extended by two years is bringing the country to the edge of civil war.

The cold hard fact is when most of these programs were designed, people started getting their benefits at about the time of their actuarial death.  It was never designed for people to live 20 or 25 years in retirement.

In the 1930s, when you were 65 you were quite old (actuarial death), but that is certainly not true today.  We had more intact families then,  having children, three or four, was the norm.

Well, you say you have paid into the program.  Indeed you have, and on average, most people will pull everything they paid into the program out in about 6 to 7 years.  Who pays after that? It is not a fully funded retirement program but rather a “pay as you go system” where you paid in for your parent’s retirement and your kids’ pay for yours.  For such a Ponzi-like structure to work, you need a larger younger population coming in behind the elderly.

That used to be the case.  In the mid-1950s, there were about 14 workers for each Social Security recipient. But now it is below 3:1 and falling.

The program needs to be fixed!  It is unsustainable.

Already Social Security is in negative cash flow, i.e. the system is paying out more money than it is taking in.  The “trust fund” or “lock box” in Al Gore’s terminology, is in nonmarketable US Treasury bonds. This is simply a slick accounting trick where one agency of government lends money to another.  As these “bonds” must be sold to pay benefits, it will cause the “unfunded” liability to become a “funded” liability.  Who will buy these bonds and at what price (interest rate)?

Politicians will not be able to reduce the deficit by having Social Security buy a big slug of the national debt, Social Security will be selling its bonds to fund benefits and others will have to take up the slack.  It is complicated, but the short explanation is that it will drive the deficit even higher, causing a disturbance in either interest rates or inflation because the sums needed are so massive.

Reform will likely require some reduction or restriction in benefits and some increase in funding…increasing payroll taxes or other funding.  To remain solvent, you must have more money coming in than going out.

Social Security and Medicare (and its sister Medicaid) are by far the largest expenditures made by the US and State governments.

They were poorly designed in many ways and are now being eaten alive by demographic changes.

There is no doubt politicians have abused the system. The government has used “trust funds” as its own piggy bank.  Politicians have regularly increased benefits to specific groups for political reasons, without having those groups actually pay into the program.  We have just seen a version of this from Biden, demanding Medicare healthcare coverage for DACA people.  But with Medicare already in financial jeopardy, extending benefits without funding simply weakens the system for everyone, including those that have paid into the program for a long period of time.

Previous attempts to reign in spending, raise revenue, and otherwise stabilize some of these programs have been met by the worst kind of political demagoguery by Democrats.  Remember the now infamous Democrat TV commercial of Speaker Paul Ryan pushing Grandma off the cliff?

The Democrats have made any discussion of reform of these programs the third rail of American politics.  Even by bringing up the subject of the need to reform these programs,  you are basically committing political suicide.

Well, now we see some Trump supporters use the same tactic.  It is just as despicable.  Worse, they should know better.

We have just had another report from the Trustees of Social Security that the program will be short of funds by 2034, one year earlier than the last calculation, and that if nothing is done, it will cause an approximate 24% cut in benefits across the board.  There is no assurance, especially if we have a recession and slow growth, that the due date will not come even closer.

Almost a third of Americans retiring today will depend solely on Social Security.  For many others, it is a third to even more of their retirement income. Thus keeping the program solvent, by initiating sometimes painful and politically risky reforms, are necessary.

But doing nothing is actually worse than talking about reform.  It will cause indiscriminate cuts which will adversely hurt those most dependent on the programs.

Actually imposing such cuts, will stir social rebellion.  It is unfair to make those kinds of cuts when people have been assured of the benefit and already planned their lives around it.  That is especially true for the elderly, who have little time left and can’t earn money to make up for the differences.  This is not like breaking an agreement with a 25-year-old who has both time and opportunity to adjust to the failure to deliver on a promise.

The Republican Party is the closest we have to “an adult party.”  If we want something fixed, we Republicans will have to do it.  We are supposed to be the party of fiscal responsibility and financial probity.  Lately, we seemed to have abandoned that role.  If so, who is going to fill it?

If we can’t have a civil discussion, even within our own party and among our own candidates, how are we ever going to solve these quite serious and difficult problems?  We can’t with such limited space explore and expound upon the various options available.  What we are saying is we need to have a discussion in a civil way to discuss reasonable options to fix Social Security.  

What we don’t need is more political shenanigans to make both discussion and reform impossible.

Trump makes having that discussion more difficult by demagoguing the subject like a Democrat. 

It is beneath him and his supporters to act this way.  They need to stop behaving like this.

We can’t talk about controlling deficits, inflation, and sound monetary policy if we can’t talk about the very programs driving spending and deficits through the roof.

We don’t need to act like childish Democrats.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

After Expulsion, the Process Begins to Replace Former Arizona GOP Lawmaker thumbnail

After Expulsion, the Process Begins to Replace Former Arizona GOP Lawmaker

By Cameron Arcand

Following the expulsion of Republican Rep. Liz Harris from the state House, it’s now up to a mix of local and county officials to decide who will ultimately be her replacement.

Republican precinct committeemen in Legislature District 13 will choose three names to give to the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, who will have the final say in picking one of the three to fill Harris’s now vacant seat.

The Arizona Republican Party said in a statement that the process of coming up with three names would be five days and that the Board of Supervisors does not necessarily have to go with their options. It can essentially be anyone that meets the qualifications in Legislative District 13 that’s a Republican.

According to AZ Law, the Board of Supervisors can assemble a group of citizens to decide who the replacement is if the precinct committeemen do not give them names in time to decide from. One likely name will be Julie Willoughby, according to the Arizona Capitol Times. Willoughby narrowly lost to Harris in the 2022 midterm election.

In addition, there is no law that gives the board a timeline for a new appointment.

The Board of Supervisors has a Republican majority, but they have been vocal against false claims regarding widespread election fraud in the 2020 and 2022 elections. Candidates with a record of election denial could see pushback.

Lawmakers removed Harris in a 46-13 vote on Wednesday. She had an ethics complaint filed against her after facilitating a presentation by Scottsdale insurance agent Jacqueline Breger, in which many Arizona officials and the LDS church were falsely accused of having financial ties to the Sinaloa Cartel in Mexico.

*****
This article was published by The Center Square – Arizona and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

The Fed Is Bankrupt thumbnail

The Fed Is Bankrupt

By Thomas L. Hogan

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently testified before Congress on the current state of the US economy. In addition to monetary policy, Powell was questioned about the Fed’s regulatory proposals regarding cryptocurrencies and climate-related financial risks.

Barely mentioned, however, was the Fed’s balance sheet. The Fed has experienced significant operating losses over the last six months, which have exhausted its existing capital. Those losses represent foregone revenue to the US Treasury.

Operating losses
In the post-pandemic period, the Fed expanded the money supply significantly to support a swift economic recovery. It did so by purchasing vast amounts of US Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities. While those assets seemed like good investments at first, they are now a major hole in the Fed’s financial position.

When the bulk of the Fed’s quantitative easing (QE) programs took place in 2020 and 2021, market rates on long-term Treasury bonds fluctuated mostly in the range of 1.5 to 2.0 percent. At the time, the Fed was paying interest on bank reserves and overnight reverse repurchase (ONRRP) agreements of 0.15 or less. The Fed profited on the difference between the higher rate it received from its bond purchases minus the lower rates it paid on reserves and Overnight Reverse Repurchases (ONRRPs).

Now, the Fed has raised the interest it pays to 4.55 percent on ONRRPs and 4.65 percent on bank reserves, but the rates it earns on its QE purchases remain mostly unchanged. Assuming, as a rough approximation, that the bonds it purchased pay an average rate of 1.75 percent, and the average rate paid on bank reserves and ONRRPs is 4.6 percent, then the Fed is paying about 2.85 percent per year more than it receives on its $8 trillion dollar securities portfolio. That’s a loss of $228 billion per year!

The bankrupt central bank
The Fed is bankrupt — and I don’t just mean intellectually.

Like a private bank, the Fed maintains some level of capital as a buffer against losses. When those losses exceed the value of its capital, the Fed becomes insolvent, meaning the liabilities it owes to others are greater than the total value of the assets it holds.

The most recent data show that the Fed owes the Treasury over $41 billion, which exceeds its total capital. The Fed, by common standards, is indeed insolvent.

Deceptively deferred assets
What does the Fed do when its liabilities exceed its assets? It doesn’t go into legal bankruptcy like a private company would. Instead, it creates fictitious accounts on the assets side of its balance sheet, known as “deferred assets,” to offset its increasing liabilities.

Deferred assets represent cash inflows the Fed expects in the future that will offset funds it owes to the Treasury. As the Fed describes, “the deferred asset is the amount of net earnings the Reserve Banks will need to realize before their remittances to the US Treasury resume.” The Fed had already accrued $41 billion in deferred assets, and the amount is only getting larger.

The advantage to deferred assets is that the Fed can continue its normal operations without disruption, although considering the 40-year-high inflation, its recent performance has been less than ideal.

The disadvantage is that, at a time when the Fed is already worsening the US fiscal position by raising interest rates (and therefore interest payments on the federal debt), it is further robbing the Treasury of revenues by deferring them into the future. Those deferred payments, of course, must be shouldered by American taxpayers until the Fed’s remittances resume.

These losses may be offset by any previous gains on the Fed’s QE portfolio, but assessing the net effects of those actions is even more difficult. QE has created massive distortions in the financial system. The Fed’s interest rate tools of interest on bank reserves and ONRRPs have significantly curtailed short-term lending in the banking and financial systems.

A job for Congress?
In addition to its role in managing the money supply, the Fed is the primary regulator of most US banks. If any private bank behaved this irresponsibly, regulators, such as the Fed or Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), would force it to close. Bank managers would lose their jobs and incomes.

Clearly, Congress is not planning to shut down the Fed, and is unlikely to punish it for its poor performance, but there are changes that could be made. The banks that are members of the Federal Reserve System could be forced to cover the capital shortfall, as described in the Federal Reserve Act. The Fed could return to a corridor system of monetary policy, resulting in lower interest paid on bank reserves and ONRRPs relative to market rates and therefore fewer reserves held at the Fed.

Shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet would make another Fed insolvency less likely, while also reducing the Fed’s footprint and the distortions it creates in the financial system. At very least, Fed officials should better manage its operations so as not to be a drain on American taxpayers again in the future.

*****
This article was published by The American Institute for Economic Research and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

Pro-Border Security Sheriff Announces Run for US Senate Against Prominent Incumbent thumbnail

Pro-Border Security Sheriff Announces Run for US Senate Against Prominent Incumbent

By Virginia Allen

Sheriff Mark Lamb of Pinal County, Arizona, a strong advocate for border security, is running for U.S. Senate in 2024.

If Lamb wins the Republican nomination, he will face off against incumbent Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, a former Democrat who left the party to become an independent last year.

“Arizona needs a proven conservative fighter that’s going to stand up for the people of Arizona, and honestly, that’s going to fight for the values that we espouse, which is God, family, [and] freedom,” he told The Daily Signal.

The sheriff filed with the Federal Election Commission on Monday and announced his campaign in a two-minute video on Tuesday, telling voters, “Washington needs a new sheriff in town.”

“We need leaders in this country that aren’t too politically correct to protect us,” Lamb said in the video, “and that’s why I’m running for the United States Senate.”

If elected, “the first priority is representing the people of Arizona, focus[ing] on what America was built on, which is the Constitution,” he said. “I think if you look at the pressing matter, the kitchen table items for not just Arizonans, but Americans, I mean, obviously, [are] the border crisis [and] fentanyl.”

Lamb is no stranger to the fentanyl crisis in America. As the sheriff of Pinal County, located between Phoenix and Tucson, Lamb regularly deals with drug smugglers and cartel members crossing the border from Mexico and bringing drugs onto his community. He also says the drug crisis in America has affected his own family.

“[O]ur son Cooper struggled with drug addiction. He even spent time in my jail for an issue stemming from fentanyl abuse,” Lamb said, after sharing in the campaign video that his son and 1-year-old granddaughter died in a car crash.

“I know what deadly drugs and the criminals peddling them are doing to families and communities. I know what it did to my family,” the county lawman said.

Lamb is a vocal critic of the Biden administration’s border policies and testified before the House Homeland Security Committee on Feb. 28, raising concerns over a dramatic spike in the amount of fentanyl flooding into his community.

The federal Customs and Border Protection agency has seized 106,000 pounds of drugs, including 11,000 pounds of fentanyl, at the southern border just since the start of fiscal year 2023 on Oct. 1.

Asked how he would respond to criticism over his qualifications to be a senator, Lamb said, “I have run an agency with over 600 employees, a $55 million budget,” referring to his sheriff’s department. “[Pinal County is] the size of the state of Connecticut. I will tell you, it’s bigger than any senator’s office or budget, and I’ve been doing legislation.”

“I’ve worked with Republicans and Democrats … . I think that I bring the most experience when you talk about not just the border, but when you talk about having to work with people, not just in your own county, but on a state level. I think I’ve become uniquely qualified for that,” he said.

Sinema defeated her Republican rival, Martha McSally, in 2018, garnering 50.0% of the vote, with McSally taking 47.6%. Though Sinema has yet to formally announce her bid for reelection, she is raising money for a campaign.

“I’m running my race right now,” Lamb told The Daily Signal, adding, “I’m focused on what I have to do.”

U.S. Rep. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., announced in January his plans to run as a Democrat for the Senate seat.

*****
This article was published by The Daily Signal and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

Bringing America Back on Course and Defeating the Left thumbnail

Bringing America Back on Course and Defeating the Left

By Mark Wallace

The last 150 years have been the most amazing 150 years in all of human history.  If we turn the clock back to, say, 1870, we find a world where there were no automobiles, no airplanes, no electric washing machines or gas dryers, and no computers — you get the point.  Economic growth powered by invention, human productivity, and our standard of living has all skyrocketed during the last century and a one-half.

More recently, the prospect for economic growth has dimmed.  International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva has predicted that worldwide economic growth will remain below 3 percent in 2023 and that the years 2024-2028 will see similar subpar growth.

Director Georgieva’s predictions are in line with an exhaustive study of American economic growth and the standard of living conducted by Professor Robert J. Gordon for the period 1870 to 2015 and recounted in his magisterial work entitled “The Rise and Fall of American Growth” (published in 2016 by the Princeton University Press).  Professor Gordon divides his analysis into three periods:  1870 to 1939, 1940 to 1969, and 1970-2015.  His general conclusions in his 652-page book (not counting data appendices, index, and bibliography) are that America’s growth got off to an excellent start in the period 1870-1939, went into warp speed from 1940 to 1969, and began a long decline in 1970 to 2015.   He concedes that the post-1969 era was interrupted by a surge of growth attributable to computers and the internet from 1995 to 2004 (what he terms “the revival decade”) but notes that this was insufficient to reverse the overall downtrend that began around 1970.

While Professor Gordon’s analysis of the period 1870 to 1969 is certainly of historical interest, it is his analysis of what began happening in 1970 (and continues all the way to the present day when one extrapolates his analysis) that is of more concern to Americans living in 2023.  In chapter 18 of his book, he refers to “a more pessimistic note about the prognosis for the future of the standard of living based on the power of gale-force headwinds that are currently operating to slow the growth of the standard of living for the majority of Americans.”

Professor Gordon identifies four “gale-force headwinds”:  increased income inequality; the fading role of educational attainment as a creator of productivity growth; shrinkage in hours worked per person (what he calls “the demographic headwind”); and the “fiscal headwind,” where taxes raised to fund entitlement spending will reduce the future growth of disposable personal income. 

He supports his analysis of the post-1969 decline with a mountain of economic charts and data.  For example, on page 609 he displays a chart of the growth of real income in three periods from 1917 through 2013.  From 1917-1948, the average per annum real income grew at 1.11 percent, from 1948 to 1972 at 2.58 percent, and from 1972 to 2013 at 0.48 percent.  For the bottom 90 percent of the population, however, real income rose at 2.65 percent per annum from 1948-1972 but then fell to a negative 0.17 percent from 1972 to 2013.  This is consistent with other sources stating that real wages for average people peaked in the early 1970s and have been declining in fits and starts ever since.

And what does the good professor propose as solutions to rekindle American growth?  Disappointingly, what he serves up to us is a potpourri of warmed-over “progressive” Left nostrums:  raise taxes on the rich, raise the minimum wage, boost the earned income tax credit, pardon prisoners en masse, and let them out of jail and legalization of drugs.

Have things been getting worse for the average guy or gal since 1969 as Professor Gordon contends?  Yes and no. Measured by real income growth, yes.  Measured by standard of living?  That’s more difficult to assess.  The average guy is a beneficiary of improved health care (statins, coronary bypasses, and an entire host of other medical advances) and the general improvement in technology between 1969 and now.  Such advances offset some — but certainly not all — of the effect of a half-century worth of declining wages.

This multi-generational decline in the real income of 90 percent of Americans is something that should be of grave concern to conservatives.

A man who can make a good living with his two hands and his brain is in less need of government giveaways than a man who cannot support his family even though he is working two or three jobs.  Although times have changed between Thomas Jefferson’s era and today, the underlying reasons supporting Jefferson’s belief that the yeoman farmer was the bastion of liberty and the best defense against despotism remain the same.  A man who can raise a family and enjoy a comfortable life on the wages and salaries or small business profits provided to him by reason of a free marketplace has little need of government largesse and therefore will turn away from corrupt politicians promising free handouts.  Of course, there will always be those greedy people for whom the wage or salary or profit they obtain from a free market is insufficient and who will seek government giveaways (it’s called crony capitalism), but they are in a minority.

It can be seen, then, that the person who can adequately support himself and his family with his own labor and intelligence and who does not want or seek government bread and circuses is a nightmare for liberal and progressive politicians.  Such a man has integrity, and corrupt Left-leaning politicians cannot buy his vote with earned income tax credits, Section 8 housing, food stamps, etc.

This brings us to the most important point of this article: the Left (and distressingly some who purport to be on the Right) have embarked on a 50-plus year campaign to reduce salaries and wages of average Americans so that they can make them dependent on corrupt government leaders offering free handouts. Make no mistake about it, the goal of the Left (together with its fellow travelers on the Right) is to destroy American’s middle class and make its former members dependent upon handouts from Leftist politicians.

Reducing the real (inflation-adjusted) wages and salaries of ordinary Americans serves other critically important purposes for the Left and the elites who have joined forces with the Left:  (1) it permits the federal government to engage in massive deficit spending without creating much in the way of consumer price inflation; (2) it permits the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates low and to print vast quantities of money, again without unleashing the Inflation Genie.  Average Americans largely spend their salaries and wages on consumer goods (unlike the very wealthy, who spend a larger portion of their income and wealth on investment assets).  Thus, consumer price inflation can be reined in by keeping most average Americans living paycheck to paycheck.

Wages and salaries have been kept reined in by a variety of factors.  A major factor has been the increase in the supply of labor.  According to the St. Louis Fed, 64.8 percent of those between 25 and 54 years of age were in the U.S. workforce in January 1950.  By January 2000 that same percentage had climbed to 84.3 percent.  In January 2023 it was 82.6 percent.  Women entering the workforce have had a dramatic impact.  In 1950, 33.9 percent of women were in the workforce.  By 2000, that percentage had climbed to 59.9 percent (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics).  Other factors include the outsourcing of good manufacturing jobs to countries overseas, a decline in the unionized workforce, and trade policies that have rendered America the world’s importer of last resort and have hugely reduced American exports.

Professor Gordon’s income inequality argument is a red herring.  The issue is not how much the corporate CEO is earning, it is what the average American is earning.  The ratio between the two is of little or no importance.  Would you rather live in a society where the median income of the bottom 90 percent is $40,000 and that of the top 10 percent is $100,000 (2.5 to 1) or in a society where the median income of the bottom 90 percent is $80,000 and that the top 10 percent is $1.6 million (20 to 1)?

In summary, we should strive as a society to increase the wages and salaries of average Americans through the operation of the marketplace and thereby reduce (or ideally eliminate) the demand of citizens for government subsidies, handouts, bread, and circuses.  The principal means for accomplishing this is to reduce the supply of labor through strict enforcement of immigration laws, a reduction in the number of legal immigrants, changes in trade policies, the imposition of civil (not criminal) penalties on those who choose to eliminate American jobs through outsourcing to foreign countries and the enactment of fair but labor-friendly laws.

If this effort is successful, we can move toward a society in which government handouts are eliminated or at least greatly reduced, budgets are balanced, the Federal Reserve no longer engages in the printing of money or quantitative easing, and minimum wage laws are extinct because they have become pointless.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.

One Thousand One Hundred Thirty Five Days thumbnail

One Thousand One Hundred Thirty Five Days

By Justin Hart

1,135 days.

That’s the extant of time the United States has spent under a national emergency declaration. On Monday, the White House issued a single sentence press release noting that President Biden had signed into law House Joint Resolution 7 which ended the Covid pandemic emergency declaration first initiated by President Donald Trump on March 13th (backdated to March 1, 2020).

The emergency was “renewed” 13 times by the director of Health and Human Services— first Azar and most recently Becerra.

At this point, one is tempted to say: “… and thus ends our long national nightmare” but the damage and impact of the policies enacted during the declaration are just now being tallied and some are ongoing.

The healthcare system experienced significant disruption as a result of the disease but arguably more-so from Covid policies themselves. Medical errors increased in hospitals due to the constraints on resources and mandates. Millions of cancer screenings were missed, potentially causing a future surge in late-stage cases. HIV testing was disrupted, leading to delayed diagnoses and treatment.

Many of the Covid models that informed Covid policies proved to be flawed or unreliable, further eroding trust in the institutions that promoted them. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) faced multiple controversies, including accusations of hiding data, unreliable data, and tracking millions of Americans’ phone locations. Additionally, the influence of unions on CDC policy raised concerns about political interference in public health decisions. Additionally, decisions to count Covid illnesses with the widest latitude led serious inaccurate death counts, prompting more fear and furthering egregious policies.

Privacy and censorship concerns related to Covid policies also loomed large. Governments and private companies used Covid apps to expand surveillance, stop protests, and profit from user information. Reports of CDC collusion with big tech have prompted multiple hearings on Capitol Hill. Credentialed experts, like Stanford’s Jay Bhattacharya, were targeted for censorship by unelected government bureaucrats and even former officials used their influence to try and silence others – like yours truly.

The massive spending on Covid relief programs also had significant consequences — arguably leading to the many of the financial hardships we are experiencing today. In Canada, billions were wasted in poorly managed programs. Similarly, in the United States, the vaunted PPP loans – designed to help American businesses retain W2 workers – suffered over $80 billion in fraudulent claims. LIkewise, billions in aid went to hospitals that didn’t need the funds, raising questions about the allocation and oversight of any and all Covid relief funds.

One of the most significant consequences of Covid policies has been the impact on child health and development. Lockdowns led to a distressing increase in infant abuse and a surge in anxiety among children. Notably, the restrictions had a devastating impact on teenagers, as well as causing developmental delays in babies. The development of children was negatively impacted by masks and isolation, exacerbating speech and expression difficulties. The reporting of abuse was diminished by lockdowns, and the implementation of Covid regulations led to an increase in cases of child sexual abuse.

Globally, Covid regulations also led to a rise in child labor worldwide, with millions of additional child marriages predicted as a consequence of the pandemic. These policies contributed to a significant crisis in child development.

The consequences of Covid regulations on education are equally jarring. Learning loss was a significant outcome of lockdowns, as remote learning proved to be unsatisfactory and even a complete failure. The learning of 1.6 billion children was disrupted due to Covid regulations, worsening the global learning crisis. Students were greatly affected by the disastrous impact of lockdowns, leaving them ill-equipped for the future.

Despite evidence showing that immunocompromised children have a low risk of contracting Covid and that it is uncommon for children to experience Long COVID, the debate around vaccination and its effectiveness in children continues. The UK has initiated compensation payments for vaccine-related injuries, and some experts advise against children receiving boosters due to potential risks.

Interestingly, interacting with children has been shown to improve Covid outcomes, suggesting that isolation measures may not have been the most effective approach. Lastly, vaccination rates for other diseases among children continue to decline, raising concerns about future public health challenges – demonstrating the serious loss of trust in our health institutions.

Journalist David Zweig recently highlighted a Montessori school in Ithaca, NY that just can’t seem to shake the stringencies. Like some remote tribe in the Amazon, the school goes on foisting Covid mandates on its pupils long after its peer schools have moved on. A good majority of major universities still require vaccine mandates for their students and numerous public institutions will run visitors through the gauntlet of plexiglass and pandemic policies which are a distant memory in some states.

This litany of terrible consequences should trigger a long reflection on our deeds – even to the level of sackcloth and ashes – but don’t hold your breath. We succumbed – all of us – in one way or another to the terrible decisions. It took the climate lobby four decades to convince us that what we exhaled was killing the planet. It took the Covid lobby all of four weeks to convince us that what we exhaled would kill grandma.

The Covid pandemic policies have had far-reaching impacts on our society. People now have lowered trust in public institutions, raised worries about privacy and freedom of speech, and the financial ramifications will persist for a long time. As we tally up the damage, it’s vital to draw lessons from these missteps so future responses are more balanced, open, and successful in tackling public health crises without compromising civic rights and public confidence.

*****
This article was published by Brownstone Institute and is reproduced with permission.

TAKE ACTION

As we move through 2023 and into the next election cycle, The Prickly Pear will resume Take Action recommendations and information.